Realized P&L
-$926
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
6.5%
Resolved
14,651
Trades
25,945
lifetime
Volume
$4.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$5
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 11-01 18:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Crypto
97% 1% -$872
Other
2% 0% -$57
Politics
1% 1% +$2
Tech
0% 1% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 710 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +50 $0 3¢ $2 +$2 10-30 04:05
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +50 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 11-01 15:42
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 20:19
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-29 21:53
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 20:19
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes — +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-31 18:28
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-30 21:36
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 20:22
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 20:19
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-25 22:02
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 20:22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-28 06:18
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 19:57
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-29 10:19
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes — +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-30 08:48
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-26 07:08
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 19:57
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 20:19
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-25 16:15
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 20:32
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 20:32
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-31 09:17
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 20:19
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 20:23
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 20:19
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes — +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-31 18:28
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 20:23
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 20:19
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes — +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-31 18:18
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-01 16:56