Powerful-Waste 0x8fe730…4d6c1f
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$24.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.33K
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved
39,449
Trades
84,774
lifetime
Volume
$828.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$5.84K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 10-27 21:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
83% 66% +$15,700
Sports
9% 63% +$5,779
Politics
5% 79% +$729
Tech
1% 74% +$2,278
Crypto
0% 71% -$68
Pop-Culture
0% 77% +$394
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1237 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +972 $618 99¢ $961 +$344 09-04 23:09
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? Yes +674 $414 94¢ $630 +$216 09-05 06:35
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +600 $123 80¢ $479 +$356 10-20 19:16
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +400 $194 80¢ $320 +$126 10-25 15:46
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +686 $374 38¢ $263 -$111 10-25 14:49
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +293 $162 88¢ $258 +$95 10-05 11:51
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +360 $261 70¢ $252 -$9 10-27 16:46
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +411 $92 60¢ $248 +$155 06-03 14:32
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +345 $111 56¢ $193 +$83 10-26 13:20
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +207 $186 87¢ $180 -$6 07-28 18:44
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +176 $145 93¢ $163 +$19 10-04 16:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +970 $377 16¢ $160 -$217 09-05 23:37
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +470 $66 30¢ $141 +$75 10-25 14:18
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +410 $98 32¢ $131 +$33 05-23 14:36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Over +338 $127 36¢ $120 -$7 10-25 15:07
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No +122 $102 93¢ $113 +$11 10-21 10:35
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No +355 $87 29¢ $104 +$17 10-27 16:46
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 08-26 21:10
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 08-26 21:10
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 08-26 21:10
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +97 $28 96¢ $93 +$64 06-04 17:00
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +93 $44 97¢ $90 +$46 09-13 17:56
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +100 $63 89¢ $89 +$26 10-09 14:15
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +90 $82 98¢ $89 +$7 08-26 12:06
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No +88 $82 99¢ $87 +$5 08-28 15:14
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +394 $122 21¢ $83 -$39 10-26 13:20
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +149 $54 54¢ $80 +$27 08-12 23:33
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +98 $77 77¢ $76 -$1 08-26 20:14
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +210 $61 34¢ $71 +$11 10-26 17:42
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? No +70 $70 100¢ $70 +$0 08-13 11:00