Realized P&L
+$1.17K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.31K
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
110
Trades
3,265
lifetime
Volume
$39.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$18.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 10-30 03:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Politics
79% 35% +$1,863
Other
19% 25% -$31
Sports
2% 1% -$659
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -8,318 -$6,342 97¢ $-8081 -$1,739 06-02 19:23
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $942 87¢ $1.3K +$363 07-23 22:07
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,752 -$131 16¢ $895 +$1,025 10-29 03:19
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,221 $500 72¢ $873 +$373 06-09 16:02
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +1,917 $404 32¢ $623 +$219 07-09 20:23
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +33,334 $281 2¢ $617 +$336 10-12 02:37
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +1,800 $395 32¢ $585 +$190 09-28 15:29
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +3,289 $277 14¢ $444 +$167 10-21 01:16
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,909 $243 15¢ $422 +$179 10-29 15:04
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +927 $367 46¢ $422 +$54 06-08 15:59
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes -402 -$264 86¢ $-343 -$79 08-07 20:38
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +1,065 $311 30¢ $319 +$9 10-25 15:58
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +578 $148 52¢ $298 +$149 10-12 03:05
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No -299 -$239 87¢ $-260 -$21 08-21 01:26
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes -534 -$158 46¢ $-246 -$87 08-24 12:13
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +476 $185 46¢ $219 +$34 08-23 00:20
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,759 $202 5¢ $192 -$10 10-18 15:12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,136 -$101 17¢ $-190 -$89 05-22 15:06
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +355 $90 52¢ $183 +$93 10-06 21:41
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +258 $141 66¢ $172 +$31 07-02 15:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +231 $95 72¢ $165 +$70 08-08 19:17
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -6,034 -$54 2¢ $-151 -$97 06-02 11:56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -813 -$207 18¢ $-150 +$57 05-28 21:50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +209 $117 70¢ $147 +$30 07-05 18:02
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +995 $116 15¢ $144 +$28 06-16 07:52
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -33,831 -$101 0¢ $-118 -$17 09-16 02:42
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,095 $172 11¢ $115 -$57 06-13 13:41
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +280 $71 40¢ $112 +$41 10-22 13:37
Blue wave in 2026? Yes -125 -$106 88¢ $-111 -$4 07-23 12:53
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,162 $47 9¢ $110 +$62 06-17 17:47