Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
+$81
Hit rate
93.9%
Resolved
16
Trades
7,343
lifetime
Volume
$968.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$132
Open exposure
$12.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-19 19:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
63% 67% $-0
Politics
21% 33% $-22
Sports
11% 86% +$5
Crypto
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 288 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +12,385 $11,619 95¢ $11.8K +$140 07-19 19:28
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No -24 $-16 91¢ $-21 $-6 06-11 22:16
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -23 $-15 88¢ $-20 $-5 06-11 22:14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -21 $-20 94¢ $-20 $-1 06-11 22:16
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -21 $-18 91¢ $-19 $-2 06-11 22:16
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -22 $-11 82¢ $-18 $-8 06-11 22:16
Canva IPO before 2027? No -19 $-17 96¢ $-18 $-1 06-11 22:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -19 $-17 90¢ $-17 $-0 06-11 22:16
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -23 $-16 74¢ $-17 $-1 06-11 22:32
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -19 $-16 88¢ $-17 $-1 06-11 22:15
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-11 88¢ $-17 $-6 06-12 20:19
Natural Disaster in 2026? No -20 $-15 83¢ $-16 $-2 06-11 22:15
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -17 $-16 94¢ $-16 $-0 06-11 22:31
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -17 $-13 92¢ $-16 $-2 06-11 22:14
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-15 90¢ $-16 $-1 06-11 22:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-11 78¢ $-15 $-4 06-11 22:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -18 $-12 84¢ $-15 $-3 06-11 22:16
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No -18 $-12 80¢ $-15 $-3 06-11 22:31
Anduril IPO before 2027? No -16 $-13 92¢ $-14 $-1 06-11 22:31
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -16 $-12 88¢ $-14 $-3 06-11 22:16
Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026? No -14 $-11 97¢ $-14 $-3 06-11 22:16
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -16 $-13 88¢ $-14 $-1 06-11 22:16
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? No -15 $-12 93¢ $-14 $-2 06-11 22:14
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -15 $-13 88¢ $-13 +$0 06-11 22:16
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20? No -16 $-11 80¢ $-13 $-2 06-11 22:31
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -16 $-12 78¢ $-13 $-1 06-11 22:32
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-13 88¢ $-13 +$0 06-11 22:16
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -15 $-10 84¢ $-13 $-2 06-11 22:15
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -12 $-12 98¢ $-12 $-0 06-11 22:14
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No -14 $-12 89¢ $-12 +$0 06-11 22:31