Mammoth-Hop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.63K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.73K

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

16,389

Trades

62,984

lifetime

Volume

$10.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

$150.5K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 00:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 290 days

Categories

Other

93% 95% -$2,422

Politics

3% 75% +$3

Crypto

2% 98% +$226

Sports

2% 76% +$546

Tech

0% 79% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 98% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 617 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+34,011	$32,275	96¢	$32.6K	+$325	10-27 17:25
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+21,417	$21,043	100¢	$21.3K	+$278	08-22 03:09
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+19,628	$19,325	100¢	$19.6K	+$274	10-27 15:10
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+13,761	$13,517	99¢	$13.6K	+$128	08-11 16:46
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+12,432	$12,168	99¢	$12.3K	+$146	10-09 20:18
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No		+11,994	$11,626	98¢	$11.8K	+$139	10-09 19:55
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+11,282	$10,926	98¢	$11.1K	+$125	10-09 20:17
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+10,959	$10,812	100¢	$10.9K	+$120	08-14 16:52
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No		+7,273	$7,078	99¢	$7.2K	+$119	10-09 20:17
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	No		+6,850	$6,743	100¢	$6.8K	+$93	08-21 08:11
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+1,500	$1,486	99¢	$1.5K	+$1	10-09 20:17
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	+$0	10-26 00:45
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	+$0	10-26 00:45
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	+$0	10-26 00:45
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	+$0	10-27 19:15
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	$0	10-26 00:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes		+100	$100	100¢	$100	$0	10-27 16:15
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	$0	10-26 00:45
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	$0	10-26 00:45
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	$0	10-26 00:45
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	$0	10-26 00:45
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	$0	10-26 00:45
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	$0	10-27 21:53
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	$0	10-26 23:47
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	$0	10-26 00:45
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	$0	10-26 12:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 28?	No	—	+100	$100	99¢	$99	-$1	10-27 16:18
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+100	$100	99¢	$99	-$1	10-27 10:10
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	No		-22	-$19	99¢	$-22	-$3	06-11 22:14
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No		-23	-$15	96¢	$-22	-$7	06-11 22:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	157	$80.6K	56,790	26,000	+30,791	No	+$1,844	03-30 20:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	64	$60.7K	60,413	1,350	+59,063	No	+$1,029	04-23 20:09
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	145	$51.3K	35,628	16,000	+19,628	open	—	10-27 15:10
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$44.2K	22,187	22,187	+0	Yes	-$67	02-28 10:19
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$39.8K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	-$20	06-30 21:29
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	89	$33.7K	32,333	1,630	+30,703	No	-$75	06-09 06:47
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	61	$32.3K	34,011	0	+34,011	open	—	10-27 17:25
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?	21	$31.7K	22,000	10,000	+12,000	No	+$64	07-09 21:29
si hit 150 high jan 2026	90	$31.6K	30,206	1,852	+28,354	No	+$490	01-30 23:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	28	$29.7K	29,978	0	+29,978	No	+$316	05-14 15:10
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	42	$29.2K	29,512	0	+29,512	No	+$338	03-29 21:23
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	30	$28.3K	28,353	0	+28,353	Yes	+$91	04-08 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 21?	3	$25.6K	25,631	0	+25,631	No	+$26	06-21 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 24?	67	$24.9K	25,319	0	+25,319	Yes	-$11,665	06-25 00:35
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	225	$23.1K	22,464	1,046	+21,417	open	—	08-22 03:09
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	2	$22.1K	22,167	0	+22,167	Yes	+$40	02-28 14:24
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	9	$21.5K	21,494	0	+21,494	Yes	+$21	03-06 22:32
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	2	$20.8K	20,817	0	+20,817	Yes	+$42	03-10 23:27
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	372	$20.3K	17,231	3,469	+13,761	open	—	08-11 16:46
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?	17	$20.2K	20,201	0	+20,201	No	+$38	07-03 22:58
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	40	$20.0K	18,742	1,538	+17,204	No	+$92	01-31 10:13
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$19.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-11 20:46
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	51	$19.8K	19,060	4,791	+14,269	No	-$583	01-31 23:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	29	$19.8K	20,225	0	+20,225	No	+$439	05-19 11:23
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	15	$19.0K	19,103	0	+19,103	No	+$82	03-14 01:49
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$18.4K	18,391	0	+18,391	No	+$18	07-10 00:52
will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	9	$18.3K	18,290	0	+18,290	No	+$23	07-31 02:18
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	5	$17.7K	17,748	0	+17,748	Yes	+$81	03-05 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12?	34	$16.4K	16,440	0	+16,440	No	+$19	06-12 21:14
trump out as president by march 31	41	$15.5K	7,882	7,887	-6	No	+$208	03-27 01:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7928cf…
10-28 01:27:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xba44a1…
10-28 01:13:51	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xefa2ab…
10-28 01:13:51	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc754b0…
10-28 01:13:51	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 3°C on October 28?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2e33d2…
10-28 00:32:32	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x50caeb…
10-28 00:26:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x58638b…
10-28 00:22:27	Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of October?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0cb32…
10-28 00:20:57	Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of October?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xedffd1…
10-28 00:19:27	Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of October?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x75683e…
10-28 00:18:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd78b09…
10-28 00:17:57	Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of October?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4eb8bd…
10-28 00:16:27	Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of October?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4dce9f…
10-28 00:14:57	Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of October?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a077f…
10-28 00:13:27	Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of October?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x030c7b…
10-28 00:11:57	Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of October?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07de8c…
10-28 00:10:27	Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of October?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd90ece…
10-28 00:08:57	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x97b081…
10-28 00:08:57	Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of October?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2dbbb2…
10-28 00:07:27	Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of October?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8f99a…
10-28 00:05:57	Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of October?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x21be47…
10-28 00:05:02	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe627db…
10-28 00:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfafe54…
10-28 00:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb5f073…
10-28 00:05:00	Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of October?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x82de2b…
10-28 00:01:29	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1659a6…
10-27 23:49:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1a1f36…
10-27 23:49:21	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x93f988…
10-27 23:46:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17dc78…
10-27 23:45:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa3b7b7…
10-27 23:35:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x01021b…
10-27 23:28:26	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2d033d…
10-27 23:13:35	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcd0b93…
10-27 23:13:35	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x914227…
10-27 23:13:35	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 28?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5d8e99…
10-27 23:13:33	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xef1a94…
10-27 23:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd95046…
10-27 23:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x997b33…
10-27 23:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8e655a…
10-27 23:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x21e7e2…
10-27 23:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5d8ec…
10-27 23:02:05	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff6c5b…
10-27 23:02:05	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf87a41…
10-27 23:02:05	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf441ba…
10-27 23:02:05	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21e323…
10-27 22:34:53	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3d29a8…
10-27 22:33:09	Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc151aa…
10-27 22:32:59	Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x99d70d…
10-27 22:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5d78a1…
10-27 22:26:30	Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8e0573…
10-27 22:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xedcc35…
10-27 22:24:03	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb20ad3…
10-27 22:20:41	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8182f7…
10-27 22:19:21	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x999f7e…
10-27 22:18:09	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x172fad…
10-27 22:16:17	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb82eb0…
10-27 22:12:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9b119d…
10-27 22:06:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8043c…
10-27 21:53:38	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4155d2…
10-27 21:53:29	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x92f896…
10-27 21:42:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7d1bdc…
10-27 21:36:57	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,100 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfa03ce…
10-27 21:33:30	Will voter turnout be between 70% and 72% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe87454…
10-27 21:21:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe9d699…
10-27 21:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x656f54…
10-27 21:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe0d667…
10-27 21:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17d133…
10-27 21:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8456da…
10-27 21:04:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb32544…
10-27 21:02:15	Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)	Eternal Fire	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x261eae…
10-27 20:47:39	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x90f768…
10-27 20:41:12	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd83169…
10-27 20:11:32	Will voter turnout be less than 66% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3e027a…
10-27 20:05:24	Dota 2: angry birds vs Rottweilas Latam (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group B	angry birds	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0xa8d722…
10-27 20:05:23	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x9da6cd…
10-27 19:45:51	Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5ca23c…
10-27 19:42:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbaafd9…
10-27 19:35:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 29?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x3ab050…
10-27 19:32:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1125de…
10-27 19:27:51	Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x26e364…
10-27 19:20:20	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6e373e…
10-27 19:15:50	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x47de18…
10-27 19:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd8177c…
10-27 19:11:20	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xde5b01…
10-27 19:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd9ae21…
10-27 19:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 27?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe9bdab…
10-27 19:00:35	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb51a53…
10-27 18:59:30	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf836e2…
10-27 18:53:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x10097a…
10-27 18:26:54	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4b4b8e…
10-27 18:22:35	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x8f047e…
10-27 18:17:18	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc47d77…
10-27 18:15:47	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90bb29…
10-27 18:14:18	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb02013…
10-27 18:12:47	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2bf0b6…
10-27 18:11:17	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa568e9…
10-27 18:11:17	Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x97fe2e…
10-27 18:09:47	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8def5…
10-27 18:08:17	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd4402…
10-27 18:06:51	Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9de2c3…