Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open
Total volume
$2,813,565
Trades
45,964
Unique wallets
6,857
Liquidity
$2,464,496
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2028-11-08
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-24 12:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+35.4¢
(top1%: 37% YES on $24.0K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $1.34M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 46 | $1.9K | $66.1K | $64.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 546 | $16.7K | $608.2K | $591.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 2,324 | $2.9K | $475.0K | $472.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3,941 | $1.9K | $170.4K | $168.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 48 | $8.9K | $15.1K | $6.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 384 | $1.3K | $301.7K | $300.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 422 | $161 | $52.9K | $52.7K |
| Median | 2,662 | $1.7K | $349.4K | $347.7K |
| Below median | 2,396 | $1.0K | $221.8K | $220.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 129 | $840 | $115.3K | $114.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 293 | $8.5K | $217.8K | $209.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 21 | $737 | $2.7K | $1.9K |
| unranked | 502 | $199 | $43.0K | $42.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | +569,405 | $3,276 | $13,070 | 9,643 | 10-24 12:33 |
| Light-Reunion 0x801b…e036 | Yes | +318,921 | $1,804 | $5,263 | 3,075 | 07-25 06:44 |
| Ruddy-Fob 0x36a7…1aea | Yes | +210,000 | $730 | $1,010 | 14 | 07-16 07:45 |
| Scornful-Zinc 0xfe03…f14f | Yes | +184,705 | $619 | $619 | 304 | 07-24 07:49 |
| Beautiful-Aquarium 0xc474…6061 | Yes | +149,997 | $750 | $750 | 675 | 07-11 02:24 |
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +134,136 | $475 | $475 | 164 | 07-16 07:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x43cd…bf40 | Yes | +50,000 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-01 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x824a…534c | Yes | +40,000 | $40 | $40 | 8 | 10-01 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1e0…072a | Yes | +25,000 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 09-04 08:34 |
| Courageous-Coordination 0x0c15…944d | Yes | +23,999 | $56 | $700 | 324 | 07-18 08:45 |
| Prize-Torte 0x94e4…534a | Yes | +22,370 | $100 | $300 | 116 | 07-12 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x216e…73b7 | Yes | +20,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-13 03:51 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +19,047 | $62 | $129 | 141 | 07-16 17:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xc965…5ed9 | Yes | +14,000 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 07-13 03:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x7985…d7ad | Yes | +12,300 | $49 | $49 | 27 | 07-15 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x71cc…0bf9 | Yes | +12,000 | $60 | $60 | 18 | 07-13 03:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x94b5…a111 | Yes | +10,000 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-12 23:56 |
| 0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704 0x16cb…2704 | No | +9,000 | $8,937 | $8,937 | 22 | 06-12 15:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x6884…417c | Yes | +7,909 | $47 | $47 | 10 | 06-19 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a3e…7d5b | Yes | +7,640 | $46 | $46 | 22 | 07-10 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd23…df9d | Yes | +6,783 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 09-04 08:34 |
| Pointless-Grandma 0x03b3…e865 | Yes | +5,020 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 07-05 07:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4911…bbf7 | Yes | +5,000 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-01 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x774c…38ac | Yes | +4,000 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-01 01:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x54d9…266e | Yes | +3,020 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-21 16:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e23…cfd1 | Yes | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-11 05:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b22…46c2 | Yes | +3,000 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-19 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf775…9709 | Yes | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-16 08:29 |
| Cooked-Independent 0x7243…83f0 | Yes | +3,000 | $6 | $6 | 25 | 07-16 12:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 12:33:47 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6830f… |
| 10-24 12:33:47 | Fancy-Tower 0x77bc…dbb1 | No | SELL | 83 | 100¢ | $83 | 0xf6830f… |
| 10-24 04:08:50 | (anonymous) 0xa81b…637e | No | SELL | 104 | 100¢ | $104 | 0x139a14… |
| 10-24 04:08:50 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x139a14… |
| 10-24 04:00:57 | (anonymous) 0xe018…a33c | No | SELL | 118 | 100¢ | $118 | 0x681057… |
| 10-24 04:00:57 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 118 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x681057… |
| 10-23 13:34:39 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 123 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x42b5de… |
| 10-23 13:34:39 | (anonymous) 0x625d…dc94 | No | SELL | 123 | 100¢ | $123 | 0x42b5de… |
| 10-23 13:26:20 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 114 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x99ebdd… |
| 10-23 13:26:20 | (anonymous) 0x71c5…9065 | No | SELL | 114 | 100¢ | $114 | 0x99ebdd… |
| 10-22 19:14:50 | (anonymous) 0xcb2a…5874 | No | SELL | 160 | 100¢ | $160 | 0x54a418… |
| 10-22 19:14:50 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 160 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x54a418… |
| 10-21 16:46:42 | (anonymous) 0x54d9…266e | Yes | BUY | 1,020 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6e9b09… |
| 10-21 16:46:42 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1,020 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6e9b09… |
| 10-21 10:02:15 | (anonymous) 0x2872…3096 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x6a43f4… |
| 10-21 10:02:15 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a43f4… |
| 10-20 19:17:42 | Bountiful-Airline 0x4d2d…ef04 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x280988… |
| 10-20 19:17:42 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x280988… |
| 10-20 19:11:12 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x750936… |
| 10-20 19:11:12 | (anonymous) 0xd848…4406 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x750936… |
| 10-20 18:59:30 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35e0f3… |
| 10-20 18:59:30 | (anonymous) 0xc440…da05 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x35e0f3… |
| 10-20 05:19:44 | (anonymous) 0x5311…dbb9 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x86ef04… |
| 10-20 05:19:44 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x86ef04… |
| 10-20 05:06:09 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d123b… |
| 10-20 05:06:09 | Cheap-Circumference 0xa061…abc0 | No | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x9d123b… |
| 10-19 15:09:41 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 140 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe15e2e… |
| 10-19 15:09:41 | (anonymous) 0xb1b1…ba52 | No | SELL | 140 | 100¢ | $140 | 0xe15e2e… |
| 10-18 17:51:32 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1,060 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xbc59a8… |
| 10-18 17:51:32 | (anonymous) 0x4bd4…91ab | Yes | BUY | 1,060 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xbc59a8… |
| 10-15 03:10:20 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0377b5… |
| 10-15 03:10:20 | (anonymous) 0xc912…92d0 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0377b5… |
| 10-14 15:27:10 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x830171… |
| 10-14 15:27:10 | (anonymous) 0x3fec…4a23 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x830171… |
| 10-14 15:13:55 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17bf73… |
| 10-14 15:13:55 | Vital-Hake 0xd536…d735 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x17bf73… |
| 10-14 15:10:39 | (anonymous) 0x8258…cc3f | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xedb3cc… |
| 10-14 15:10:39 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedb3cc… |
| 10-14 15:06:30 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa43620… |
| 10-14 15:06:30 | Everlasting-Issue 0x3893…0f48 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa43620… |
| 10-14 15:02:43 | (anonymous) 0x75df…a1a2 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x750ae4… |
| 10-14 15:02:43 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x750ae4… |
| 10-14 14:57:13 | (anonymous) 0xc09a…73ec | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbc7082… |
| 10-14 14:57:13 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbc7082… |
| 10-14 14:52:18 | Experienced-Specialty 0x9bc9…eac0 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8814c7… |
| 10-14 14:52:18 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8814c7… |
| 10-14 14:49:34 | (anonymous) 0xfd00…b3bb | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x240124… |
| 10-14 14:49:34 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x240124… |
| 10-14 14:42:36 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbcecd0… |
| 10-14 14:42:36 | (anonymous) 0xb173…2b06 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbcecd0… |
| 10-14 14:39:58 | (anonymous) 0xc7b8…a384 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xadc4fc… |
| 10-14 14:39:58 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xadc4fc… |
| 10-14 14:30:30 | (anonymous) 0xe110…44b7 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5d6173… |
| 10-14 14:30:30 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d6173… |
| 10-14 14:10:11 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaf925f… |
| 10-14 14:10:11 | (anonymous) 0xb2c5…5670 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xaf925f… |
| 10-14 14:06:09 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf76451… |
| 10-14 14:06:09 | Genuine-Cluster 0x74c6…ea17 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf76451… |
| 10-14 14:02:39 | Trivial-Crewmen 0x4e3f…0fee | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe53710… |
| 10-14 14:02:39 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe53710… |
| 10-14 05:24:49 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x282a84… |
| 10-14 05:24:49 | (anonymous) 0x1a52…bfdb | No | SELL | 48 | 100¢ | $48 | 0x282a84… |
| 10-14 05:07:13 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 92 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ed69d… |
| 10-14 05:07:13 | (anonymous) 0x6ca7…1ccc | No | SELL | 92 | 100¢ | $91 | 0x6ed69d… |
| 10-13 19:55:28 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3bbc23… |
| 10-13 19:55:28 | Alert-Azimuth 0x6f13…645a | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x3bbc23… |
| 10-13 19:50:24 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d62b2… |
| 10-13 19:50:24 | (anonymous) 0x8bd9…e6df | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x7d62b2… |
| 10-13 15:40:06 | (anonymous) 0xd24a…ffd2 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbdfee4… |
| 10-13 15:40:06 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbdfee4… |
| 10-13 15:30:07 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd1443f… |
| 10-13 15:30:07 | (anonymous) 0xfcf5…c1b6 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd1443f… |
| 10-13 15:25:44 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x33d1a0… |
| 10-13 15:25:44 | Icy-Heirloom 0xa5c1…eb1b | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x33d1a0… |
| 10-13 15:11:11 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a87be… |
| 10-13 15:11:11 | (anonymous) 0x4a56…f106 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2a87be… |
| 10-13 14:59:47 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca50f1… |
| 10-13 14:59:47 | (anonymous) 0xa2cb…56aa | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xca50f1… |
| 10-13 14:45:40 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08503e… |
| 10-13 14:45:40 | (anonymous) 0xa847…e1f6 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x08503e… |
| 10-13 14:35:55 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d2ef1… |
| 10-13 14:35:55 | (anonymous) 0x0cd8…3cc3 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1d2ef1… |
| 10-13 14:26:35 | (anonymous) 0x7bce…b02f | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x803263… |
| 10-13 14:26:35 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x803263… |
| 10-13 14:23:49 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc97217… |
| 10-13 14:23:49 | (anonymous) 0x1103…d353 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc97217… |
| 10-13 14:20:14 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc01f4… |
| 10-13 14:20:14 | (anonymous) 0xb389…c78e | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xcc01f4… |
| 10-13 14:17:34 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9b630c… |
| 10-13 14:17:34 | (anonymous) 0xf47b…3a2e | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9b630c… |
| 10-13 14:14:37 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeab21a… |
| 10-13 14:14:37 | (anonymous) 0x2a13…0a8f | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xeab21a… |
| 10-13 14:11:32 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x23994f… |
| 10-13 14:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x56b1…3d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x23994f… |
| 10-13 14:06:50 | (anonymous) 0xf74d…8ab7 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xcdf1f6… |
| 10-13 14:06:50 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcdf1f6… |
| 10-13 14:01:23 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c3455… |
| 10-13 14:01:23 | (anonymous) 0xf2d6…144c | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4c3455… |
| 10-13 13:58:47 | Low-Futon 0xc21e…0215 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbdec00… |
| 10-13 13:58:47 | (anonymous) 0xeefd…53f9 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbdec00… |