Genuine-Cluster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$148

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-14 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

50% 33% -$1

Sports

49% 0% -$147

Politics

0% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.0K	507	506	+0	No	-$1	03-18 08:18
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$912	456	456	+0	No	$0	03-18 08:19
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$902	451	451	+0	No	$0	03-20 12:41
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	2	$898	449	449	+0	No	+$0	03-20 12:41
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	2	$826	413	413	+0	No	$0	03-20 12:41
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$712	356	356	+0	No	$0	03-18 08:19
nba lal det 2026 03 23	1	$146	260	0	+260	Pistons	-$146	03-23 05:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	04-02 01:49
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	$0	03-27 15:37
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-14 16:22
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	$0	03-23 05:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	$0	04-02 01:49
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	$0	03-23 05:18
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-23 05:18
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	04-07 02:53
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-07 02:52
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-31 17:08
will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-31 17:08
will solana reach 90 in july 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-31 17:09
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	10-14 14:06
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	10-14 14:06
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-14 14:06
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-14 14:06
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-14 14:06
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-14 14:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 14:06:50	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x778058…
10-14 14:06:38	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3e21ed…
10-14 14:06:29	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe0ef41…
10-14 14:06:21	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5b0d67…
10-14 14:06:09	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf76451…
10-14 14:05:56	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd72b2f…
07-31 17:09:11	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa4777b…
07-31 17:08:45	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9f48f9…
07-31 17:08:24	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd519b9…
05-14 16:22:46	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x39f597…
05-14 16:22:00	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf90b35…
05-14 16:21:41	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x259ea1…
05-14 16:20:34	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b23ce…
05-14 16:20:24	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68d1c0…
05-14 16:19:00	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x302e62…
05-14 16:18:51	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2e05b6…
04-07 02:53:03	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1546ed…
04-07 02:52:49	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x253a62…
04-02 01:49:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc6e2c8…
04-02 01:49:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc76d78…
04-01 07:17:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x36fa6e…
04-01 07:16:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x63d070…
04-01 07:16:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x59d0fe…
03-27 15:37:51	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x51a2e8…
03-26 16:34:01	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf767b2…
03-23 05:18:59	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb041d2…
03-23 05:18:35	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x442827…
03-23 05:18:27	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x455baa…
03-23 05:04:07	nba lal det 2026 03 23	Lakers	BUY	260	56¢	$146	0xf9524e…
03-21 13:07:13	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe8833b…
03-21 13:07:07	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2bce7a…
03-21 13:06:57	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0855f8…
03-20 12:41:25	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	SELL	413	100¢	$413	0x3a3f40…
03-20 12:41:17	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	449	100¢	$449	0x45c5d2…
03-20 12:41:09	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	451	100¢	$451	0x232052…
03-19 04:14:15	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	449	100¢	$449	0xcc484e…
03-19 04:13:47	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	451	100¢	$451	0x61979a…
03-19 04:13:35	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	413	100¢	$413	0xb94c83…
03-18 08:19:27	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	356	100¢	$356	0x82f15f…
03-18 08:19:19	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	456	100¢	$456	0xa84109…
03-18 08:18:29	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	506	100¢	$505	0x757efa…
03-18 02:56:35	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	507	100¢	$506	0x315955…
03-18 02:55:55	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	456	100¢	$456	0xe4dd7c…
03-18 02:54:33	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	356	100¢	$356	0x9b5eb7…