Realized P&L
-$5.89K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.69K
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
1,152
Trades
839,625
lifetime
Volume
$975.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$33.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 15:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Politics
57% 65% -$143
Other
30% 79% -$2,356
Sports
12% 88% -$805
Tech
1% 40% -$2,887
Crypto
0% 100% +$304
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5209 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -268,143 -$2,141 3¢ $-8581 -$6,439 06-17 18:22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -7,410 -$2,477 37¢ $-2712 -$235 06-07 12:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5,205 -$312 40¢ $-2090 -$1,778 06-03 15:22
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +1,941 $1,931 100¢ $1.9K +$7 10-26 12:25
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -7,410 -$1,791 19¢ $-1382 +$409 05-27 01:01
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -514,282 -$3,604 0¢ $-1286 +$2,318 05-31 12:45
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,710 -$1,260 18¢ $-1218 +$42 05-23 04:41
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -15,905 -$64 8¢ $-1217 -$1,153 09-25 12:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -9,210 -$492 12¢ $-1119 -$627 05-27 16:51
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +623,747 $3,642 0¢ $936 -$2,707 11-03 13:12
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,710 -$235 14¢ $-906 -$671 05-25 14:38
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5,205 -$234 15¢ $-802 -$568 06-04 07:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,710 -$1,090 12¢ $-795 +$295 05-25 01:43
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -206,149 -$1,555 0¢ $-722 +$833 06-11 08:12
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$242 17¢ $-688 -$446 05-25 19:41
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5,205 -$558 12¢ $-651 -$92 06-03 10:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$352 16¢ $-634 -$282 05-24 03:55
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$982 15¢ $-610 +$372 05-25 00:36
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5,205 -$955 12¢ $-599 +$356 06-04 18:31
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -227,947 -$1,813 0¢ $-570 +$1,243 10-21 06:16
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +379,465 -$1,122 0¢ $569 +$1,691 11-03 14:53
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,710 -$916 8¢ $-554 +$363 05-24 09:25
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -500 -$300 95¢ $-475 -$175 05-18 21:20
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes — -268,792 $942 0¢ $-403 -$1,346 11-01 10:11
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -155,080 -$1,676 0¢ $-388 +$1,289 07-24 05:23
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -247,033 -$2,091 0¢ $-371 +$1,721 09-07 08:34
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -7,410 -$274 4¢ $-293 -$19 06-04 13:33
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -270,731 -$1,461 0¢ $-271 +$1,191 10-06 20:31
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -177,327 $193 0¢ $-266 -$459 11-02 15:31
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,710 -$427 4¢ $-252 +$175 05-23 09:26