Realized P&L
-$5.89K
Unrealized P&L
-$510
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
1,152
Trades
838,693
lifetime
Volume
$971.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$29.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 00:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Politics
57% 65% -$143
Other
30% 79% -$2,356
Sports
12% 88% -$805
Tech
1% 40% -$2,887
Crypto
0% 100% +$304
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5209 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -268,143 -$2,141 2¢ $-5229 -$3,088 06-17 18:22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -7,410 -$2,477 38¢ $-2853 -$376 06-07 12:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5,205 -$312 41¢ $-2142 -$1,830 06-03 15:22
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +1,941 $1,931 100¢ $1.9K +$5 10-26 12:25
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -7,410 -$1,791 20¢ $-1489 +$302 05-27 01:01
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -514,282 -$3,604 0¢ $-1286 +$2,318 05-31 12:45
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,710 -$1,260 18¢ $-1238 +$22 05-23 04:41
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -9,210 -$492 12¢ $-1133 -$641 05-27 16:51
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5,205 -$234 20¢ $-1049 -$815 06-04 07:24
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +624,439 $3,644 0¢ $937 -$2,707 10-31 00:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,710 -$1,090 12¢ $-785 +$305 05-25 01:43
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -206,149 -$1,555 0¢ $-722 +$833 06-11 08:12
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5,205 -$955 14¢ $-703 +$252 06-04 18:31
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$352 17¢ $-670 -$318 05-24 03:55
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -15,905 -$64 4¢ $-660 -$596 09-25 12:53
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,710 -$916 10¢ $-648 +$269 05-24 09:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,710 -$235 10¢ $-641 -$406 05-25 14:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$982 16¢ $-634 +$348 05-25 00:36
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$242 15¢ $-612 -$370 05-25 19:41
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +387,040 -$1,107 0¢ $581 +$1,688 10-31 01:46
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5,205 -$558 11¢ $-547 +$12 06-03 10:10
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -500 -$300 90¢ $-452 -$152 05-18 21:20
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -155,080 -$1,676 0¢ $-388 +$1,289 07-24 05:23
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -227,947 -$1,813 0¢ $-342 +$1,471 10-21 06:16
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,710 -$427 4¢ $-272 +$155 05-23 09:26
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -270,731 -$1,461 0¢ $-271 +$1,191 10-06 20:31
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -7,410 -$274 4¢ $-263 +$11 06-04 13:33
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$336 6¢ $-226 +$110 05-29 01:19
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -7,410 -$464 3¢ $-219 +$245 05-29 03:37
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$170 5¢ $-206 -$36 05-26 02:53