Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$7,026
$30,972 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$138,509
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2027-04-30
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 19:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $399 | $399 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | — | $4.9K | $4.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below median | 1 | — | $399 | $399 |
| unranked | 28 | — | $4.9K | $4.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parallel-Hometown 0xeece…b407 | No | +1,536 | $1,525 | $1,525 | 1 | 05-05 07:40 |
| Gullible-Flint 0x36e4…8f38 | No | +1,142 | $1,134 | $1,134 | 1 | 05-05 07:15 |
| Weary-Tab 0x54a7…7635 | No | +1,094 | $1,086 | $1,086 | 1 | 05-05 04:00 |
| Colorful-Longboat 0xdd24…5ef5 | No | +168 | $167 | $167 | 1 | 05-05 10:35 |
| Strange-Stimulation 0x637e…df64 | No | +142 | $141 | $141 | 1 | 05-05 01:20 |
| Skinny-Mouse 0xedc7…8c93 | No | +116 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 05-04 23:39 |
| Overcooked-Tray 0x1878…c3cc | No | +86 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 05-04 21:19 |
| Dry-Disk 0xc538…7490 | No | +77 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-05 10:26 |
| Ethical-Smock 0xbf91…f028 | No | +71 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 05-05 19:08 |
| Misty-Pond 0x6d74…7b28 | No | +65 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-05 18:42 |
| Admirable-Elicit 0x4aef…50a9 | No | +54 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-05 18:54 |
| Pointless-Testing 0xd0db…75f7 | No | +51 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-05 06:10 |
| Knowing-Salt 0x89ce…b902 | No | +46 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-05 18:47 |
| Homely-Wording 0x2690…f853 | No | +45 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-05 08:21 |
| Exhausted-Shoot 0x843b…ff42 | No | +44 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-05 08:50 |
| Amusing-Substitution 0x5c7a…1a97 | No | +12 | $13 | $784 | 2 | 05-05 15:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 19:47:20 | Sick-Broiler 0x7d23…2f43 | No | SELL | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0x3098f5… |
| 05-05 19:08:00 | Ethical-Smock 0xbf91…f028 | No | BUY | 71 | 99¢ | $71 | 0x8336b4… |
| 05-05 18:54:12 | Admirable-Elicit 0x4aef…50a9 | No | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $54 | 0x77dcf2… |
| 05-05 18:47:50 | Knowing-Salt 0x89ce…b902 | No | BUY | 46 | 99¢ | $46 | 0xe71074… |
| 05-05 18:42:52 | Misty-Pond 0x6d74…7b28 | No | BUY | 65 | 99¢ | $65 | 0x5b2d0a… |
| 05-05 16:54:44 | Physical-Editing 0x4962…2a0a | No | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $60 | 0xe92f78… |
| 05-05 15:49:46 | Amusing-Substitution 0x5c7a…1a97 | No | BUY | 401 | 99¢ | $399 | 0xfe893b… |
| 05-05 14:59:46 | Corny-Antechamber 0x3959…f8f1 | No | SELL | 64 | 99¢ | $64 | 0x3cda9a… |
| 05-05 14:59:42 | Outlandish-Oil 0x135f…f00f | No | SELL | 96 | 99¢ | $95 | 0xe326ac… |
| 05-05 14:32:32 | Elated-Witness 0x51f3…cb65 | No | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x7ccc1b… |
| 05-05 13:30:26 | Amusing-Substitution 0x5c7a…1a97 | No | SELL | 389 | 99¢ | $386 | 0x6a8378… |
| 05-05 12:50:30 | Cold-Badger 0xf040…3a86 | Yes | SELL | 195 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xae2a07… |
| 05-05 10:35:10 | Colorful-Longboat 0xdd24…5ef5 | No | BUY | 168 | 99¢ | $167 | 0x7ba573… |
| 05-05 10:26:22 | Dry-Disk 0xc538…7490 | No | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x5451a8… |
| 05-05 10:05:12 | Miniature-Bratwurst 0x696a…a205 | No | SELL | 250 | 99¢ | $248 | 0xfc45c3… |
| 05-05 08:50:16 | Exhausted-Shoot 0x843b…ff42 | No | BUY | 44 | 99¢ | $44 | 0xb83bca… |
| 05-05 08:21:14 | Homely-Wording 0x2690…f853 | No | BUY | 45 | 99¢ | $45 | 0xe9c343… |
| 05-05 07:41:04 | Outlying-Nonsense 0x9be1…4cd8 | No | SELL | 279 | 99¢ | $277 | 0x982908… |
| 05-05 07:40:12 | Parallel-Hometown 0xeece…b407 | No | BUY | 1,536 | 99¢ | $1,525 | 0x81bdc5… |
| 05-05 07:15:02 | Gullible-Flint 0x36e4…8f38 | No | BUY | 1,142 | 99¢ | $1,134 | 0x26bf60… |
| 05-05 06:10:40 | Pointless-Testing 0xd0db…75f7 | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $51 | 0xe192c9… |
| 05-05 05:55:00 | Assured-Status 0x5bb8…ac0e | No | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x73b5b5… |
| 05-05 04:00:36 | Weary-Tab 0x54a7…7635 | No | BUY | 1,094 | 99¢ | $1,086 | 0xbe453f… |
| 05-05 03:14:50 | Gentle-Digging 0xcb01…5809 | No | SELL | 171 | 99¢ | $170 | 0x2e6f9a… |
| 05-05 02:50:30 | Intentional-Airline 0xb5a6…77b5 | No | SELL | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0x51770d… |
| 05-05 02:39:44 | Sweet-Genius 0x8f7b…d5d4 | No | SELL | 95 | 99¢ | $94 | 0xf5fb86… |
| 05-05 01:20:06 | Strange-Stimulation 0x637e…df64 | No | BUY | 142 | 99¢ | $141 | 0x677690… |
| 05-05 00:44:56 | Sweltering-Doc 0xd03e…913c | No | SELL | 64 | 99¢ | $64 | 0x91cd84… |
| 05-04 23:39:26 | Skinny-Mouse 0xedc7…8c93 | No | BUY | 116 | 99¢ | $115 | 0xa0fade… |
| 05-04 23:30:00 | Assured-Status 0x5bb8…ac0e | No | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x11411a… |
| 05-04 23:04:18 | Gentle-Digging 0xcb01…5809 | No | BUY | 171 | 99¢ | $170 | 0xe474bc… |
| 05-04 21:19:22 | Overcooked-Tray 0x1878…c3cc | No | BUY | 86 | 99¢ | $85 | 0x7bad09… |