Amusing-Substitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

151

Trades

6,682

lifetime

Volume

$391.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 08-10 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

47% 57% $-80

Politics

34% 100% +$20

Crypto

18% 97% +$13

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 308 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	201	$73.2K	36,838	36,838	+0	open	—	08-10 16:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	145	$42.6K	21,787	21,787	+0	open	—	05-13 18:58
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	68	$23.0K	11,647	11,647	+0	open	—	04-25 06:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	53	$18.9K	9,552	9,552	+0	open	—	07-27 06:36
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	30	$15.8K	7,972	7,972	+0	open	—	04-23 07:45
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	30	$15.1K	7,625	7,625	+0	open	—	04-23 07:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	33	$14.4K	7,242	7,241	+2	open	—	04-21 03:49
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	34	$11.3K	5,717	5,717	+0	open	—	08-08 16:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	30	$10.3K	5,387	5,387	+0	open	—	07-16 07:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	20	$9.8K	4,916	4,916	+0	open	—	04-20 13:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	19	$9.3K	4,789	4,789	+0	open	—	04-24 03:55
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	22	$9.2K	4,722	4,722	+0	open	—	04-24 08:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	14	$5.2K	2,740	2,740	+0	open	—	07-21 19:05
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	12	$4.7K	2,356	2,356	+0	open	—	07-20 11:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	67	$4.0K	4,753	4,752	+0	open	—	05-18 11:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	13	$4.0K	2,060	2,060	+0	open	—	07-28 06:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	54	$3.1K	3,860	3,860	+0	open	—	05-10 22:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	12	$3.1K	1,603	1,603	+0	open	—	05-14 17:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	102	$2.8K	3,173	3,173	+0	open	—	05-19 20:26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	44	$2.7K	2,448	2,447	+0	open	—	05-29 17:45
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	6	$2.7K	1,354	1,354	+0	open	—	07-22 03:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	8	$2.6K	1,339	1,339	+0	open	—	05-11 06:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	33	$2.5K	2,591	2,591	+0	No	+$20	05-04 20:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	10	$2.5K	1,264	1,264	+0	open	—	05-09 09:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	29	$2.4K	2,677	2,677	+0	open	—	05-18 08:50
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	28	$2.4K	2,048	2,676	-628	open	—	05-29 19:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	6	$2.3K	1,172	1,172	+0	open	—	04-23 01:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	26	$2.3K	2,461	2,448	+13	open	—	06-14 16:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	37	$2.3K	2,675	2,675	+0	open	—	05-24 11:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	27	$2.2K	2,228	2,228	+0	open	—	05-10 18:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 16:26:28	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	291	99¢	$289	0x75e15e…
08-10 16:13:33	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xed5aeb…
08-10 16:09:09	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	491	100¢	$488	0x7381f1…
08-10 13:42:52	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	210	99¢	$209	0x7c7d59…
08-10 13:31:24	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x6203a2…
08-10 13:27:25	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	230	99¢	$229	0x916aac…
08-10 13:22:22	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	253	99¢	$251	0x3cc64e…
08-10 13:18:39	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	253	99¢	$251	0x34fc7e…
08-10 12:59:03	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	370	99¢	$368	0x614086…
08-10 12:55:30	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	370	99¢	$369	0x1f43b0…
08-10 12:46:39	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	361	99¢	$359	0x432e44…
08-10 12:44:57	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	361	100¢	$360	0xfca4cc…
08-10 12:16:49	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	295	99¢	$293	0x428238…
08-10 12:11:03	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	295	99¢	$293	0xd914b2…
08-10 11:39:51	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	417	99¢	$414	0x1ec04c…
08-10 11:36:39	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	417	99¢	$414	0xcd3e04…
08-10 11:20:07	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	494	99¢	$491	0x8f4b31…
08-10 11:17:04	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	494	99¢	$491	0x819bf9…
08-10 11:01:54	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	439	99¢	$436	0xae427a…
08-10 10:59:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	439	99¢	$436	0x08a93d…
08-10 10:54:09	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	276	99¢	$275	0x74218f…
08-10 10:50:52	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	276	99¢	$275	0x6c45a4…
08-10 10:05:55	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	382	99¢	$379	0xdcfd99…
08-10 10:04:00	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	382	99¢	$380	0xcd6e24…
08-10 09:57:34	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	403	99¢	$400	0x13e0a3…
08-10 09:53:58	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	403	99¢	$400	0xe434a6…
08-10 09:18:30	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	480	99¢	$476	0x9469e0…
08-10 09:14:10	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	480	99¢	$477	0x9ff851…
08-10 08:40:19	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	315	99¢	$312	0xbd2c36…
08-10 08:38:24	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	315	99¢	$313	0x158147…
08-10 08:05:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	441	99¢	$438	0x1b25ec…
08-10 08:02:01	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	441	99¢	$438	0x59496f…
08-10 07:36:24	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	481	99¢	$478	0xbfc10c…
08-10 07:34:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	481	99¢	$479	0xfd52cb…
08-10 06:39:28	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	395	99¢	$392	0x4ca19d…
08-10 06:36:06	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	395	99¢	$392	0x69cb95…
08-10 05:59:57	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	387	99¢	$384	0x94a727…
08-10 05:57:07	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	387	99¢	$384	0xac2571…
08-10 05:29:03	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	361	99¢	$359	0xedca55…
08-10 05:24:51	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	361	99¢	$359	0x87c2c9…
08-10 05:11:09	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	432	99¢	$429	0xf11f60…
08-10 05:07:13	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	432	99¢	$430	0x232b16…
08-10 04:40:12	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	300	99¢	$298	0x7939bf…
08-10 04:38:21	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x14119a…
08-10 04:34:43	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	374	99¢	$371	0x858a4c…
08-10 04:30:13	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	374	99¢	$371	0x7e7b34…
08-10 04:22:19	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	280	99¢	$278	0xf913f0…
08-10 04:19:31	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	280	99¢	$279	0x50ab90…
08-10 03:18:31	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	313	99¢	$311	0xd3a0c1…
08-10 03:14:12	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	313	99¢	$312	0x891880…
08-10 03:03:46	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	447	99¢	$444	0x1e8d1b…
08-10 02:59:30	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	447	99¢	$445	0xe440cc…
08-10 02:42:13	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	407	99¢	$405	0x362aa8…
08-10 02:40:33	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	407	99¢	$405	0xe21042…
08-10 02:35:31	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	258	99¢	$256	0xa7263d…
08-10 02:33:48	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	258	99¢	$256	0x4f938f…
08-10 01:36:16	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	453	99¢	$450	0xb06f4a…
08-10 01:32:22	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	453	99¢	$451	0xb67784…
08-10 00:33:34	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	468	99¢	$465	0x976fbb…
08-10 00:30:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	468	99¢	$465	0x853c7f…
08-10 00:16:58	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	275	99¢	$273	0x323742…
08-10 00:14:01	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	275	99¢	$273	0x239ae0…
08-10 00:03:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	358	99¢	$355	0x50a014…
08-10 00:00:09	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	358	99¢	$356	0x128d34…
08-09 20:40:48	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	421	99¢	$418	0xb63876…
08-09 20:37:22	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	421	99¢	$418	0x07f924…
08-09 19:54:37	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	450	99¢	$447	0x2baebf…
08-09 19:52:43	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	450	99¢	$447	0x94e204…
08-09 19:32:10	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	261	99¢	$260	0xc4001e…
08-09 19:29:31	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	261	99¢	$260	0x3af4d5…
08-09 19:18:36	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	450	99¢	$447	0xaad4af…
08-09 19:16:57	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	450	99¢	$447	0xebbe30…
08-09 18:32:06	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	488	99¢	$485	0x370e70…
08-09 18:29:51	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	488	99¢	$485	0xf1c5d2…
08-09 18:18:21	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	286	99¢	$284	0x1347a2…
08-09 18:14:31	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	286	99¢	$284	0xb7b177…
08-09 18:00:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	296	99¢	$294	0x82fbb9…
08-09 17:58:13	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	296	99¢	$294	0xa7ae17…
08-09 17:12:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	501	99¢	$498	0xab9800…
08-09 17:09:30	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	501	99¢	$498	0x5b03de…
08-09 16:38:01	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	336	99¢	$333	0x030a6e…
08-09 16:33:45	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	336	99¢	$334	0x2cb13c…
08-09 16:17:49	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	410	99¢	$408	0x6c9c89…
08-09 16:14:46	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	410	99¢	$408	0x06f5b0…
08-09 15:52:45	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	437	99¢	$434	0x0f6936…
08-09 15:48:58	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	437	99¢	$434	0x15378e…
08-09 14:23:09	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	339	99¢	$336	0x9f1376…
08-09 14:21:12	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	339	99¢	$336	0x036150…
08-09 13:54:40	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	375	99¢	$372	0x36b11e…
08-09 13:51:51	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	375	99¢	$372	0xc2c474…
08-09 13:23:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x365235…
08-09 13:11:46	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	427	99¢	$424	0xbc3397…
08-09 13:08:58	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	477	99¢	$474	0x57f955…
08-09 12:29:46	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	479	99¢	$475	0xfceaea…
08-09 12:27:25	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	479	99¢	$476	0x7c1dc8…
08-09 12:20:25	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	283	99¢	$280	0x24853c…
08-09 12:17:54	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	283	99¢	$281	0xa03985…
08-09 11:58:00	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	289	99¢	$287	0xc5cb5f…
08-09 11:53:51	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	289	99¢	$287	0x001e97…
08-09 11:28:40	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	484	99¢	$480	0xda782b…