Amusing-Substitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

151

Trades

6,325

lifetime

Volume

$265.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-29 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

58% 57% $-80

Politics

21% 100% +$20

Crypto

21% 97% +$13

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 352 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	145	$42.6K	21,787	21,787	+0	open	—	05-13 18:58
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	68	$23.0K	11,647	11,647	+0	open	—	04-25 06:06
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	30	$15.8K	7,972	7,972	+0	open	—	04-23 07:45
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	30	$15.1K	7,625	7,625	+0	open	—	04-23 07:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	33	$14.4K	7,242	7,241	+2	open	—	04-21 03:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	20	$9.8K	4,916	4,916	+0	open	—	04-20 13:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	19	$9.3K	4,789	4,789	+0	open	—	04-24 03:55
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	22	$9.2K	4,722	4,722	+0	open	—	04-24 08:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	14	$5.5K	2,862	2,862	+0	open	—	06-24 05:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	67	$4.0K	4,753	4,752	+0	open	—	05-18 11:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	54	$3.1K	3,860	3,860	+0	open	—	05-10 22:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	12	$3.1K	1,603	1,603	+0	open	—	05-14 17:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	102	$2.8K	3,173	3,173	+0	open	—	05-19 20:26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	44	$2.7K	2,448	2,447	+0	open	—	05-29 17:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	8	$2.6K	1,339	1,339	+0	open	—	05-11 06:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	33	$2.5K	2,591	2,591	+0	No	+$20	05-04 20:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	10	$2.5K	1,264	1,264	+0	open	—	05-09 09:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	29	$2.4K	2,677	2,677	+0	open	—	05-18 08:50
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	28	$2.4K	2,048	2,676	-628	open	—	05-29 19:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	6	$2.3K	1,172	1,172	+0	open	—	04-23 01:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	26	$2.3K	2,461	2,448	+13	open	—	06-14 16:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	37	$2.3K	2,675	2,675	+0	open	—	05-24 11:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	27	$2.2K	2,228	2,228	+0	open	—	05-10 18:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$2.0K	1,056	1,056	+0	open	—	06-27 07:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	25	$2.0K	1,775	1,975	-200	open	—	05-20 19:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$2.0K	1,098	1,098	+0	open	—	04-27 16:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	7	$1.8K	964	964	+0	open	—	06-29 16:47
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.7K	899	899	+0	open	—	04-25 03:32
Trump out as President by May 31?	6	$1.7K	854	854	+0	open	—	05-09 09:40
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	10	$1.6K	833	833	+0	open	—	05-15 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 16:47:47	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	321	96¢	$307	0x9650f0…
06-29 16:44:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	321	96¢	$308	0xfc3557…
06-29 14:44:49	sol updown 15m 1782743400	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf549b8…
06-29 14:44:40	xrp updown 15m 1782743400	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd08c93…
06-29 14:44:25	sol updown 15m 1782743400	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x22b44a…
06-29 14:44:20	xrp updown 15m 1782743400	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x53ce30…
06-29 14:40:02	doge updown 5m 1782743700	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x06ebf9…
06-29 14:39:53	eth updown 5m 1782743700	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7afe27…
06-29 14:39:20	doge updown 5m 1782743700	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1eeda2…
06-29 14:39:13	eth updown 5m 1782743700	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb8cc36…
06-29 14:34:47	xrp updown 5m 1782743400	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x9ecda6…
06-29 14:34:16	xrp updown 5m 1782743400	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1107a1…
06-29 14:24:49	sol updown 5m 1782742800	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xa58080…
06-29 14:24:38	doge updown 5m 1782742800	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x95ede3…
06-29 14:24:34	sol updown 5m 1782742800	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xc03527…
06-29 14:24:26	doge updown 5m 1782742800	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd87ed4…
06-29 14:04:14	sol updown 5m 1782741600	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x521086…
06-29 13:59:41	doge updown 5m 1782741300	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7dae58…
06-29 13:59:35	eth updown 15m 1782740700	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdf9292…
06-29 13:59:34	doge updown 5m 1782741300	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa435f2…
06-29 13:59:19	eth updown 15m 1782740700	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x920bcb…
06-29 13:55:02	btc updown 5m 1782741000	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbcf8dd…
06-29 13:54:52	eth updown 5m 1782741000	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdd706b…
06-29 13:54:44	eth updown 5m 1782741000	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x33b5b9…
06-29 13:54:28	doge updown 5m 1782741000	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc63470…
06-29 13:54:25	btc updown 5m 1782741000	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xaf274e…
06-29 13:54:16	doge updown 5m 1782741000	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x66b579…
06-29 13:49:53	eth updown 5m 1782740700	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x698cb4…
06-29 13:49:49	btc updown 5m 1782740700	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd08ccf…
06-29 13:49:46	eth updown 5m 1782740700	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcfb2e9…
06-29 13:49:41	btc updown 5m 1782740700	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8b1fa8…
06-29 13:34:41	btc updown 5m 1782739800	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1c684a…
06-29 13:34:26	btc updown 5m 1782739800	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xab1f2f…
06-29 12:59:44	sol updown 15m 1782737100	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x88f248…
06-29 12:59:19	sol updown 15m 1782737100	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xaad6b6…
06-29 12:09:37	btc updown 5m 1782734700	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x346b2d…
06-29 12:09:26	btc updown 5m 1782734700	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe5a975…
06-29 09:29:26	sol updown 5m 1782725100	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9d2c60…
06-29 09:29:19	sol updown 5m 1782725100	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8ce0bf…
06-29 09:14:34	sol updown 15m 1782723600	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4fd7aa…
06-29 09:14:19	sol updown 15m 1782723600	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb012e8…
06-29 05:09:22	btc updown 5m 1782709500	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x064bab…
06-29 05:09:14	btc updown 5m 1782709500	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb8bbc8…
06-29 02:34:40	sol updown 5m 1782700200	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xde6813…
06-29 02:34:14	sol updown 5m 1782700200	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8035a2…
06-29 02:04:55	doge updown 5m 1782698400	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xacc851…
06-29 02:04:19	doge updown 5m 1782698400	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc3f46e…
06-29 01:34:16	doge updown 5m 1782696600	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x953202…
06-29 01:14:34	doge updown 5m 1782695400	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x932253…
06-29 01:14:26	doge updown 5m 1782695400	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x23da2e…
06-29 00:49:44	doge updown 5m 1782693900	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x874f2a…
06-29 00:49:14	doge updown 5m 1782693900	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xef943d…
06-29 00:44:46	eth updown 15m 1782693000	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfd7ee1…
06-29 00:44:20	eth updown 15m 1782693000	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x57e8fa…
06-29 00:34:16	btc updown 5m 1782693000	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x03b5e5…
06-29 00:34:14	sol updown 5m 1782693000	Down	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xec760d…
06-29 00:29:32	sol updown 5m 1782692700	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x394124…
06-29 00:29:25	sol updown 5m 1782692700	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd93c58…
06-28 23:04:28	eth updown 5m 1782687600	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x79a8a2…
06-28 23:04:13	eth updown 5m 1782687600	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc6be14…
06-28 22:59:40	doge updown 5m 1782687300	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc72323…
06-28 22:59:31	doge updown 5m 1782687300	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeaa9e5…
06-28 22:34:26	eth updown 5m 1782685800	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2eb92d…
06-28 22:34:22	sol updown 5m 1782685800	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x083443…
06-28 22:34:19	eth updown 5m 1782685800	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1b08ac…
06-28 22:34:14	sol updown 5m 1782685800	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x050033…
06-28 22:29:32	doge updown 5m 1782685500	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x337292…
06-28 22:29:16	doge updown 5m 1782685500	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbc564d…
06-28 22:24:29	btc updown 5m 1782685200	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x030df2…
06-28 22:24:14	btc updown 5m 1782685200	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xce89d6…
06-28 22:14:29	eth updown 5m 1782684600	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x716aa8…
06-28 22:14:14	eth updown 5m 1782684600	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa0db49…
06-28 22:09:38	eth updown 5m 1782684300	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3568fb…
06-28 22:09:34	sol updown 5m 1782684300	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xea97c1…
06-28 22:09:31	xrp updown 5m 1782684300	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0c6a82…
06-28 22:09:22	sol updown 5m 1782684300	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x004103…
06-28 22:09:19	xrp updown 5m 1782684300	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x698c8c…
06-28 22:09:16	eth updown 5m 1782684300	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x04d9ae…
06-28 21:42:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	329	96¢	$315	0x3df7a4…
06-28 21:37:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0c3568…
06-28 21:26:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	334	96¢	$320	0x4f1ebd…
06-28 21:11:11	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	310	96¢	$297	0xd2771c…
06-28 21:06:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	310	96¢	$297	0xa0ad7e…
06-28 17:14:35	eth updown 15m 1782666000	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6e5680…
06-28 17:14:20	eth updown 15m 1782666000	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x37cefd…
06-28 15:59:34	sol updown 15m 1782661500	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2f8ec8…
06-28 15:59:19	sol updown 15m 1782661500	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb94809…
06-28 15:44:41	sol updown 15m 1782660600	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc9dbbb…
06-28 15:44:22	sol updown 15m 1782660600	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x643528…
06-28 15:14:43	xrp updown 15m 1782658800	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x34f204…
06-28 15:14:20	xrp updown 15m 1782658800	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc51d8f…
06-28 09:55:43	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	264	99¢	$260	0x4bb36d…
06-28 09:51:31	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	264	99¢	$261	0xbd7d28…
06-27 15:29:26	sol updown 15m 1782573300	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x50c3f9…
06-27 15:29:19	sol updown 15m 1782573300	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa1a8be…
06-27 07:02:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	519	94¢	$491	0x98729f…
06-27 07:00:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	519	95¢	$491	0x2f21d0…
06-27 06:08:02	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	525	99¢	$520	0x3a3de9…
06-27 06:04:38	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	525	99¢	$520	0xfa0342…
06-27 04:16:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	537	94¢	$507	0xebbc8b…