Realized P&L
-$1.83K
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
73.9%
Resolved
1,364
Trades
21,859
lifetime
Volume
$97.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.48K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 09-21 14:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
80% 60% -$1,234
Politics
10% 29% -$276
Crypto
5% 56% -$110
Sports
4% 50% -$162
Tech
1% 7% -$31
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +305 $302 100¢ $305 +$2 04-30 20:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +305 $303 99¢ $303 +$1 04-30 20:23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +305 $262 94¢ $288 +$26 04-30 20:23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +305 $192 76¢ $233 +$41 04-30 20:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +305 $159 30¢ $90 -$69 04-30 20:23
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 04-30 22:21
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 04-30 22:21
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 04-30 22:21
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 04-30 22:21
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$1 04-30 22:54
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 04-30 22:21
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 04-30 22:21
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 $0 04-30 22:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -10 -$8 97¢ $-10 -$2 04-28 17:34
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,243 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 08-19 00:01
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +325 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-27 19:58
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? No +30 $4 2¢ $1 -$3 04-30 22:21
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +213 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 08-21 08:22
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +464 $10 0¢ $1 -$10 08-17 17:31
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +339 $1 0¢ $1 -$1 08-18 12:08
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +206 $2 0¢ $0 -$1 08-18 08:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -10 -$2 3¢ $-0 +$2 04-28 17:34
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +166 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-19 20:57
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +89 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-20 10:53
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +144 $5 0¢ $0 -$4 08-17 08:18
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +33 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-20 10:20
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +27 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 08-25 07:01
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 08-14 04:20
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-16 02:33
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 08-11 09:07