Realized P&L
-$40.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.88K
Hit rate
77.8%
Resolved
207
Trades
19,960
lifetime
Volume
$2.07M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$104
Open exposure
$1.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 10-24 07:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Politics
42% 57% +$4,580
Sports
24% 29% -$5,005
Other
23% 47% -$39,767
Tech
11% 77% +$92
Crypto
0% 94% +$72
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +116,999 $663 0¢ $175 -$487 08-01 21:21
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50,000 $450 0¢ $175 -$275 07-13 18:05
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -162 -$127 82¢ $-133 -$5 08-06 14:35
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +48,331 $329 0¢ $121 -$208 10-24 07:20
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +100 $94 99¢ $99 +$5 10-10 16:07
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -100 -$91 99¢ $-99 -$7 05-19 20:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $84 91¢ $91 +$7 07-04 00:18
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50,591 $294 0¢ $76 -$218 07-18 11:36
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +46,630 $458 0¢ $70 -$388 07-20 18:08
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -50 -$42 98¢ $-49 -$7 07-05 09:56
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19,462 $167 0¢ $49 -$119 09-12 21:39
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$48 97¢ $-48 -$1 07-01 08:17
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -50 -$46 96¢ $-48 -$3 05-20 07:24
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -162 -$35 18¢ $-29 +$5 08-06 14:59
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +16,561 $111 0¢ $25 -$86 07-21 13:23
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -23 -$22 97¢ $-23 -$1 06-02 05:05
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +13,731 $82 0¢ $21 -$62 07-18 13:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$17 98¢ $-20 -$3 07-01 23:13
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,769 $22 0¢ $10 -$12 07-13 20:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $15 9¢ $9 -$6 07-04 01:17
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 05-20 08:41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $4 83¢ $4 +$0 05-20 03:11
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,583 $11 0¢ $2 -$9 07-13 22:28
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +435 $4 0¢ $2 -$2 07-13 19:16
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +4 $1 24¢ $1 $0 07-11 13:02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $1 17¢ $1 $0 05-20 03:12
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +5 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 05-20 10:58
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +0 -$8 34¢ $0 +$8 08-04 04:51
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $4 2¢ $0 -$4 07-20 15:09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 $0 07-02 05:37