Realized P&L
+$903
Unrealized P&L
+$704
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved
431
Trades
22,668
lifetime
Volume
$356.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$2.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 00:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
48% 85% +$16
Politics
36% 76% -$115
Crypto
11% 88% -$720
Sports
4% 64% +$1,736
Tech
0% 75% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -79,999 -$640 1¢ $-840 -$200 06-15 12:55
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20,000 -$160 1¢ $-270 -$110 07-13 12:37
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +200 $172 94¢ $187 +$15 07-25 18:38
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +80,000 $30 0¢ $120 +$90 09-10 20:59
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -34,375 -$289 0¢ $-103 +$186 09-04 11:48
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,000 -$38 2¢ $-100 -$62 07-23 14:02
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -13,253 -$63 1¢ $-86 -$23 10-12 22:59
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,000 -$71 2¢ $-75 -$4 07-25 15:18
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,400 -$51 2¢ $-47 +$5 07-25 16:19
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -30,286 -$220 0¢ $-45 +$174 07-25 15:18
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -15,000 -$120 0¢ $-45 +$75 05-07 09:12
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -29,837 -$199 0¢ $-45 +$154 07-16 12:03
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -28,882 $76 0¢ $-43 -$120 09-11 14:12
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -28,009 -$222 0¢ $-42 +$180 09-06 15:28
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,696 -$40 1¢ $-39 +$1 07-30 05:39
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,000 -$45 1¢ $-38 +$8 04-28 13:16
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,229 -$31 3¢ $-36 -$5 07-10 15:01
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -9,248 -$98 0¢ $-32 +$65 10-27 02:47
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -20,000 -$155 0¢ $-30 +$125 07-25 15:20
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +19,104 $95 0¢ $29 -$66 07-16 11:37
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -200 -$8 14¢ $-27 -$19 07-25 18:40
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -200 -$14 12¢ $-23 -$9 07-25 18:39
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -15,000 -$105 0¢ $-22 +$82 06-15 12:40
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -200 -$12 10¢ $-20 -$8 07-25 18:40
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -13,453 -$79 0¢ $-20 +$59 09-20 10:08
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10,000 $70 0¢ $15 -$55 06-17 09:08
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -10,000 -$90 0¢ $-15 +$75 06-07 05:00
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -200 -$12 8¢ $-15 -$3 07-25 18:40
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -10,000 -$67 0¢ $-15 +$52 10-21 06:16
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,000 -$55 0¢ $-13 +$42 08-20 13:06