Realized P&L
+$55
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
99.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
28,086
lifetime
Volume
$93.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$288
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-27 14:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
67% 100% +$57
Sports
24% 50% $-2
Other
7%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,033 $122 $88 $-34 06-16 06:03
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +489 $31 12¢ $60 +$29 06-17 14:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +294 $22 12¢ $34 +$12 06-26 06:08
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes +227 $23 11¢ $24 +$1 06-27 14:47
Rippling IPO before 2027? Yes +153 $24 12¢ $18 $-6 06-12 15:00
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +209 $18 $14 $-4 06-17 22:04
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +73 $8 18¢ $13 +$4 06-14 23:26
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +162 $21 $12 $-9 06-15 09:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +184 $10 $7 $-4 06-27 01:42
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +109 $7 $6 $-1 06-22 05:52
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +59 $3 10¢ $6 +$2 06-27 03:21
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes +41 $5 13¢ $5 +$0 06-19 02:42
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes -19 $-3 11¢ $-2 +$1 06-18 03:10