Realized P&L
-$3.85K
Unrealized P&L
+$64
Hit rate
15.2%
Resolved
207
Trades
29,251
lifetime
Volume
$98.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$750
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-19 13:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Politics
66% 37% -$1,546
Sports
25% 30% -$1,705
Other
7% 35% -$577
Crypto
1% 38% -$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +12,426 $136 2¢ $205 +$69 09-18 15:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,409 $175 6¢ $77 -$97 06-16 06:03
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -375 -$176 19¢ $-73 +$103 07-06 18:13
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,529 $23 2¢ $63 +$40 06-18 21:06
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes -537 -$45 7¢ $-40 +$6 07-05 03:51
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +252 $33 12¢ $30 -$3 07-06 14:54
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +151 $25 15¢ $23 -$2 07-07 07:16
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,307 $3 2¢ $22 +$19 08-14 13:42
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +966 $13 2¢ $19 +$6 06-29 07:29
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,062 $6 2¢ $18 +$11 07-25 04:40
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +118 $17 14¢ $16 -$1 07-06 10:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -94 -$10 17¢ $-16 -$6 07-06 17:54
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,064 $19 1¢ $15 -$3 06-22 10:08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +600 $32 2¢ $15 -$17 07-31 10:14
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +354 $32 4¢ $13 -$19 06-17 22:04
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +563 $10 2¢ $12 +$2 07-21 05:33
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,332 $1 1¢ $11 +$10 06-20 03:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +496 $20 2¢ $11 -$9 09-17 18:23
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,885 $39 1¢ $10 -$28 09-19 13:51
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +11 $5 72¢ $8 +$3 07-04 17:14
Rippling IPO before 2027? Yes -87 -$20 7¢ $-6 +$14 06-13 19:25
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -486 -$15 1¢ $-6 +$9 05-16 13:37
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -232 -$7 3¢ $-6 +$1 09-11 03:15
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes +227 $23 2¢ $6 -$17 06-27 14:47
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +14 $4 39¢ $5 +$1 07-06 18:56
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +173 $19 3¢ $5 -$14 07-30 16:53
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +106 $6 4¢ $5 -$1 07-05 13:30
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +827 $9 1¢ $5 -$5 05-16 13:06
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -811 -$11 1¢ $-4 +$6 06-17 00:17
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +153 $19 3¢ $4 -$14 07-06 19:05