Realized P&L
+$55
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
99.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
28,233
lifetime
Volume
$93.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$293
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-07 19:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
67% 100% +$57
Sports
24% 50% $-2
Other
7%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,033 $122 11¢ $108 $-13 06-16 06:03
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +413 $23 11¢ $47 +$24 07-05 03:51
Rippling IPO before 2027? Yes +153 $24 14¢ $21 $-3 06-12 15:00
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes +227 $23 $20 $-2 06-27 14:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +504 $21 $19 $-2 07-06 20:52
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +435 $21 $19 $-2 07-07 19:08
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes -159 $-21 10¢ $-16 +$5 07-05 13:30
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +209 $18 $16 $-2 06-17 22:04
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +164 $21 $12 $-9 07-06 19:05
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -45 $-7 12¢ $-5 +$2 07-06 18:39
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes +41 $5 12¢ $5 +$0 06-19 02:42
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes -19 $-3 14¢ $-3 +$0 06-18 03:10