Prize-Torte 0x94e463…62534a Create alert
bot hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$206
Hit rate
81.1%
Resolved
328
Trades
39,413
lifetime
Volume
$43.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$2.12K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 11:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Politics
69% 50% +$2,699
Other
27% 40% +$61
Tech
2% 27% -$208
Crypto
1% 33% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -9,668 -$271 4¢ $-363 -$91 07-29 16:56
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +204,754 $230 0¢ $307 +$77 09-17 23:44
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +11,921 $355 2¢ $185 -$171 11-05 09:33
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,500 -$175 3¢ $-144 +$31 11-04 03:15
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20,715 -$102 1¢ $135 +$237 11-04 18:55
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +71,263 $227 0¢ $107 -$120 09-07 08:20
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +66,072 $183 0¢ $99 -$84 10-20 17:49
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,400 $62 1¢ $86 +$24 10-26 12:43
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +57,198 $125 0¢ $86 -$40 09-05 14:09
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,884 $48 1¢ $74 +$25 08-22 15:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +2,466 $180 3¢ $73 -$107 07-13 18:50
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +15,831 $23 0¢ $71 +$48 10-24 17:49
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,647 -$234 2¢ $-71 +$163 08-13 20:46
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,150 -$40 4¢ $45 +$86 11-05 11:28
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,217 -$41 1¢ $43 +$85 09-18 15:32
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +23,993 $120 0¢ $36 -$84 07-29 17:32
Will Trump deport 500-600k people? Yes -497 -$32 6¢ $-32 $0 06-03 22:56
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,500 $4 1¢ $29 +$25 11-03 09:01
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,787 $9 0¢ $27 +$18 10-13 07:04
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,175 -$41 2¢ $24 +$65 09-22 19:38
Will Trump deport 300-400k people? Yes +219 $43 11¢ $23 -$20 06-27 22:02
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? Yes +510 $22 4¢ $19 -$3 08-21 07:39
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? Yes +374 $11 4¢ $17 +$6 08-19 13:18
Will Trump deport 600-700k people? Yes -815 -$19 2¢ $-15 +$3 11-05 01:06
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes +133 $6 2¢ $3 -$3 06-26 15:15
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +714 $5 0¢ $2 -$2 07-28 06:00
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? Yes +270 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 05-29 01:49
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? Yes -160 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$1 05-31 22:50
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -47 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 09-15 22:15
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes -123 -$37 0¢ $-0 +$36 10-28 10:47