Courageous-Coordination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$382

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

Trades

18,145

lifetime

Volume

$87.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$239

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 10-28 01:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Politics

68% 44% +$8,404

Other

25% 65% +$1,221

Sports

7% 50% +$407

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+4,609	$542	4¢	$207	-$335	08-01 00:11
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+20,999	$79	0¢	$31	-$47	07-18 11:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	65	$5.2K	14,700	14,300	+400	No	+$520	06-17 22:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	13	$2.9K	13,175	13,175	+0	No	+$945	07-03 22:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	6	$2.8K	10,164	1,961	+8,203	Yes	+$5,615	05-08 19:15
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	2	$2.5K	2,735	0	+2,735	No	+$235	10-06 12:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	44	$2.4K	4,542	4,842	-300	No	+$210	05-23 22:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	16	$2.4K	6,629	6,629	+0	Yes	+$647	06-21 08:30
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	41	$2.1K	2,762	2,427	+335	Yes	+$173	04-15 01:42
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$2.1K	5,594	5,594	+0	No	-$547	07-10 12:56
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	10	$1.8K	3,766	0	+3,766	Yes	+$1,958	10-25 20:32
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1,036	$1.6K	91,999	91,999	+0	open	—	07-21 13:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	19	$1.6K	5,800	0	+5,800	No	-$1,577	07-03 19:07
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	222	$1.6K	147,999	68,966	+79,033	open	—	07-18 11:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	10	$1.6K	3,617	3,617	+0	No	-$464	07-08 20:13
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1,715	$1.5K	117,998	117,998	+0	open	—	10-26 06:43
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	11	$1.4K	2,430	2,430	+0	No	+$668	07-02 21:51
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	30	$1.4K	5,722	1,113	+4,609	open	—	08-01 00:11
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	16	$1.4K	1,039	739	+300	Yes	$0	05-07 12:49
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1,171	$1.3K	85,059	85,059	+0	open	—	10-02 13:58
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	749	$1.3K	77,346	77,346	+0	open	—	09-20 09:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	3	$1.2K	3,079	0	+3,079	No	-$1,200	06-28 20:24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	4	$1.2K	1,918	1,918	+0	No	+$377	05-23 21:43
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	326	$1.2K	126,000	126,000	-0	open	—	09-04 10:47
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	340	$1.0K	78,000	78,000	+0	open	—	07-28 03:12
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$1.0K	959	959	+0	Yes	+$393	06-18 07:43
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	1	$1000	1,022	0	+1,022	Yes	+$22	05-28 21:50
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	375	$988	55,999	55,999	+0	open	—	07-22 21:16
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	9	$940	4,147	4,147	+0	No	-$342	06-26 18:05
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	64	$930	69,254	69,254	+0	open	—	08-01 13:39
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	280	$889	68,683	68,683	+0	open	—	08-27 06:29
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	98	$886	94,000	94,000	-0	open	—	09-11 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:52:24	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	26,152	0¢	$52	0x2ab9e9…
10-27 05:42:29	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x70dc9a…
10-26 13:22:41	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x745867…
10-26 12:49:41	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x121b97…
10-26 06:43:33	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	756	0¢	$2	0x0d2afc…
10-26 06:43:11	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xb702f0…
10-26 06:25:50	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	770	0¢	$2	0x0cdf89…
10-26 06:06:02	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$1	0xc094f6…
10-26 04:21:06	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xeb30c9…
10-26 04:19:59	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x9a8edb…
10-26 03:08:06	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x3f4a57…
10-26 02:50:03	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd5ad69…
10-26 02:25:14	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x1cc5a5…
10-26 02:10:30	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x9d93fe…
10-26 01:55:50	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xcee666…
10-26 01:51:45	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa6c82b…
10-26 01:24:26	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x263de1…
10-26 01:23:59	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x87d551…
10-26 01:06:51	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x564939…
10-26 01:06:47	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x364157…
10-26 01:06:36	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x6b3fc2…
10-26 00:27:00	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xf4a594…
10-26 00:11:29	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x8f7460…
10-25 23:05:27	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x145a09…
10-25 23:02:56	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x865094…
10-25 21:55:54	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5d4eb1…
10-25 21:24:24	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x67d1d1…
10-25 21:24:02	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x592a29…
10-25 20:51:05	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x9d6537…
10-25 20:32:36	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,266	79¢	$1,000	0xe2644a…
10-25 19:53:09	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x862261…
10-25 17:54:54	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x3f3ab0…
10-25 17:54:39	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x651ddf…
10-25 17:54:27	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4f36d9…
10-25 17:29:45	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe4b6b4…
10-25 17:17:54	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x15ec06…
10-25 16:07:24	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe01dec…
10-25 14:25:08	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf858d8…
10-25 14:15:50	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd66b8e…
10-25 14:04:59	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x50d1fe…
10-25 14:03:12	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x644c77…
10-25 13:44:11	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x7166fc…
10-25 13:41:59	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd053c6…
10-25 13:32:05	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x787261…
10-25 13:18:15	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x414000…
10-25 12:57:21	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x808c16…
10-25 12:52:54	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x2d83d4…
10-25 12:50:09	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xfa948b…
10-25 12:49:53	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x1751c4…
10-25 12:41:38	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x4c1d28…
10-25 12:39:20	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xce47ba…
10-25 12:33:41	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xff4387…
10-25 12:17:14	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x40a178…
10-25 11:21:38	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xf63973…
10-25 10:15:20	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2270df…
10-25 10:06:33	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7744ec…
10-25 10:06:11	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x01b4a7…
10-25 09:59:29	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x273111…
10-25 09:36:12	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0xda1a3e…
10-25 09:13:39	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa2af9f…
10-25 08:08:30	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xadf0a8…
10-25 08:05:48	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xd48e7b…
10-25 08:02:54	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x0e8d43…
10-25 07:22:33	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa84473…
10-25 07:04:39	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x408068…
10-25 07:04:30	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6dec7b…
10-25 06:19:44	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x1dfa7e…
10-25 05:11:20	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x82ec89…
10-25 04:31:51	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x878e73…
10-25 03:42:35	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x05b1a6…
10-25 03:16:36	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x861713…
10-25 02:43:26	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x7a33d5…
10-25 02:09:02	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x5f66c5…
10-25 00:44:27	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5944c1…
10-25 00:39:08	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd97104…
10-24 23:57:44	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x4a70cb…
10-24 23:00:53	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xee12f8…
10-24 22:27:39	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x184462…
10-24 22:23:02	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa2bf1e…
10-24 22:02:20	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xde0896…
10-24 21:44:41	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0c875f…
10-24 21:20:48	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7fdbd3…
10-24 21:03:54	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x5b55b5…
10-24 20:58:26	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xed4604…
10-24 20:55:05	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x998ed8…
10-24 20:51:56	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x224c2b…
10-24 20:46:39	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x1da02d…
10-24 20:45:00	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xcf4f18…
10-24 20:40:45	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x7cc4f6…
10-24 20:40:38	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc7294a…
10-24 20:40:21	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc445f6…
10-24 20:32:03	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x72d0ca…
10-24 20:22:11	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x7103f5…
10-24 20:19:35	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xb529fe…
10-24 20:17:38	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd2f9f4…
10-24 20:16:44	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x0bf026…
10-24 20:06:44	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xdb8ff0…
10-24 20:01:44	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xbfed0b…
10-24 19:56:08	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xb24e68…
10-24 19:55:57	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5a3f18…