Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$119,408
$889 in 24h
Trades
1,965
Unique wallets
477
Liquidity
$5,460
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-07-19
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-17 02:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.4¢
(top1%: 99% YES on $2.9K
vs crowd: 98% YES on $77.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 26 | $26.1K | $167 | +$25.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 53 | $19.4K | $185 | +$19.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 97 | $26.7K | $133 | +$26.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 301 | $3.7K | $1.0K | +$2.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $2.9K | $17 | +$2.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 19 | $8.0K | $219 | +$7.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 22 | $8.0K | $42 | +$8.0K |
| Median | 98 | $6.8K | $15 | +$6.8K |
| Below median | 67 | $2.4K | $56 | +$2.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 15 | $1.0K | $41 | +$994 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 28 | $6.9K | $77 | +$6.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 18 | $17.8K | $48 | +$17.8K |
| unranked | 208 | $22.1K | $1.0K | +$21.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spanish-Eaves 0x5b4d…1027 | No | +28,438 | $625 | $625 | 17 | 06-15 15:04 |
| Short-Convention 0x6a88…b859 | Yes | +8,212 | $8,007 | $8,320 | 38 | 06-16 08:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xdeaa…fae4 | No | +5,946 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-17 00:20 |
| Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | +5,897 | $5,891 | $5,891 | 12 | 06-17 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xa477…c9c2 | Yes | +5,017 | $5,000 | $5,000 | 1 | 06-14 06:18 |
| Acceptable-Score 0x33dd…ef8a | Yes | +4,000 | $3,928 | $3,928 | 6 | 06-09 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b8b…1002 | No | +3,693 | $120 | $120 | 2 | 06-13 08:17 |
| Arctic-Spleen 0x4c5e…39a9 | Yes | +3,500 | $3,458 | $3,458 | 1 | 06-15 19:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x264b…ad71 | No | +3,300 | $6 | $6 | 7 | 06-17 01:20 |
| Canine-Leaver 0x59e5…7a2b | Yes | +3,294 | $3,201 | $3,201 | 5 | 06-10 13:32 |
| Amused-Trailpatrol 0x99e1…65c8 | Yes | +2,821 | $2,752 | $2,752 | 8 | 06-10 02:40 |
| Quarterly-Proliferation 0x447f…01fa | Yes | +2,639 | $2,630 | $2,630 | 2 | 06-16 21:33 |
| Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | Yes | +2,386 | $2,380 | $2,380 | 7 | 06-16 22:48 |
| Common-Sideburns 0x4f20…b29f | No | +2,211 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-14 20:56 |
| Wan-Level 0x0c05…dd4d | No | +2,119 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 23:32 |
| Agile-Lemur 0x80e1…3830 | Yes | +2,008 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 06-16 04:17 |
| Enormous-Photograph 0xe56b…c654 | Yes | +1,890 | $1,888 | $1,888 | 3 | 06-17 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1af0…6dd7 | Yes | +1,500 | $1,476 | $1,476 | 6 | 06-13 08:17 |
| Gregarious-Return 0x7c30…7673 | Yes | +1,429 | $1,406 | $1,406 | 10 | 06-14 20:56 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist 0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | +1,402 | $1,374 | $1,374 | 3 | 06-02 06:46 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +1,092 | $-10 | $34 | 64 | 06-16 08:20 |
| Bewitched-Couch 0x1c1d…7f00 | Yes | +1,015 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-11 06:27 |
| Responsible-Organ 0x9a88…ded1 | Yes | +1,007 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 2 | 06-16 08:06 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +1,000 | $-27 | $100 | 8 | 06-15 19:21 |
| That-Bore 0x565a…cbe3 | Yes | +975 | $954 | $954 | 20 | 06-17 00:20 |
| United-Diagnosis 0x2f55…676e | No | +945 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-12 14:22 |
| Decisive-Spokeswoman 0xc326…1db1 | Yes | +750 | $731 | $731 | 20 | 06-12 14:22 |
| Profuse-Fanlight 0x33a8…e34e | Yes | +720 | $681 | $2,679 | 7 | 06-17 02:36 |
| Insubstantial-Belligerency 0x59d7…ba8e | Yes | +663 | $656 | $656 | 1 | 06-11 15:08 |
| Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | Yes | +500 | $500 | $500 | 2 | 06-17 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | +408 | $-3 | $135 | 26 | 06-15 19:21 |
| Dapper-Grandfather 0x85c9…8bea | Yes | +258 | $254 | $254 | 2 | 06-14 15:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1768…b841 | Yes | +258 | $253 | $253 | 2 | 06-08 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x7943…b918 | No | +256 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 17:48 |
| Automatic-Client 0x18bd…c2c2 | No | +250 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-03 06:40 |
| Nutty-Cone 0x2533…51c1 | Yes | +239 | $235 | $235 | 2 | 06-15 21:17 |
| Short-Icebreaker 0x9c7f…5060 | No | +217 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-03 06:27 |
| Bouncy-Morning 0xbe48…2ac2 | No | +214 | $6 | $18 | 8 | 05-29 07:29 |
| Frilly-Spelt 0x8b7b…9ab9 | Yes | +206 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-01 04:54 |
| AlexLiu 0x6cd5…f2cf | Yes | +200 | $197 | $197 | 1 | 06-10 18:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fa6…70be | No | +200 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 17:36 |
| Gleaming-Familiar 0x035f…33eb | No | +200 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 06-02 23:23 |
| Hot-Bloomer 0xa88b…976c | Yes | +200 | $196 | $196 | 5 | 06-09 19:14 |
| Testy-Activity 0xf16f…9f16 | Yes | +200 | $196 | $196 | 2 | 06-04 19:00 |
| Serious-Occasion 0x1841…8e04 | No | +186 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-11 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xef28…028c | Yes | +183 | $182 | $182 | 1 | 06-15 08:38 |
| Damp-Feeling-Smile 0xb14e…4397 | No | +170 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 19:25 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +168 | $1 | $13 | 26 | 06-10 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b65…2cf8 | No | +162 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 03:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa49f…3408 | Yes | +153 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 06-01 16:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x24af…00a6 | No | +133 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 09:33 |
| Somber-Procurement 0x21f4…c5ae | No | +127 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-13 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x010a…a78f | No | +126 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 05:22 |
| Sunny-Course 0x63cc…eec5 | No | +122 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 06:54 |
| Inconsequential-Executor 0xe77c…f2be | No | +112 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9ba…9eef | No | +112 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-06 16:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 02:44:06 | Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1b8b80… |
| 06-17 02:44:06 | Hard-To-Find-Matrix 0xb90b…fa17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1b8b80… |
| 06-17 02:36:49 | Wary-Confectionery 0x478b…8edb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf14347… |
| 06-17 02:36:49 | Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf14347… |
| 06-17 02:36:16 | Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x2784c7… |
| 06-17 02:36:16 | Profuse-Fanlight 0x33a8…e34e | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x2784c7… |
| 06-17 02:04:13 | Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | BUY | 162 | 100¢ | $161 | 0xa098ed… |
| 06-17 02:04:13 | (anonymous) 0xc83e…ac22 | Yes | SELL | 162 | 100¢ | $161 | 0xa098ed… |
| 06-17 01:57:50 | Slim-Dearest 0x6d56…9081 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3ce8af… |
| 06-17 01:57:50 | Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3ce8af… |
| 06-17 01:55:49 | (anonymous) 0x72b4…3b9a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xde4ec2… |
| 06-17 01:55:49 | Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xde4ec2… |
| 06-17 01:40:07 | Recent-Initialise 0x562a…2a2c | Yes | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x64c704… |
| 06-17 01:40:07 | Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x64c704… |
| 06-17 01:20:11 | Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 100¢ | $2,997 | 0x8e6dd1… |
| 06-17 01:20:11 | (anonymous) 0x264b…ad71 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x8e6dd1… |
| 06-17 01:19:40 | (anonymous) 0xd793…bbd5 | Yes | SELL | 121 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x2003af… |
| 06-17 01:19:40 | Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | BUY | 121 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x2003af… |
| 06-17 01:14:07 | Sleepy-Heyday 0xe367…26df | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa53ea2… |
| 06-17 01:14:07 | Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa53ea2… |
| 06-17 01:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x3d16…8ac4 | Yes | SELL | 729 | 100¢ | $728 | 0x2f49fb… |
| 06-17 01:10:52 | Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | BUY | 729 | 100¢ | $728 | 0x2f49fb… |
| 06-17 01:10:23 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a35b9… |
| 06-17 01:10:23 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a35b9… |
| 06-17 01:10:23 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 100¢ | $400 | 0x0a35b9… |
| 06-17 01:10:23 | Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | BUY | 835 | 100¢ | $834 | 0x0a35b9… |
| 06-17 01:10:23 | Tragic-Saffron 0x3b2a…4911 | Yes | SELL | 1,485 | 100¢ | $1,483 | 0x0a35b9… |
| 06-17 00:20:40 | That-Bore 0x565a…cbe3 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x7b9a29… |
| 06-17 00:20:40 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 148 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7b9a29… |
| 06-17 00:20:40 | (anonymous) 0x3d16…8ac4 | Yes | BUY | 729 | 99¢ | $724 | 0x7b9a29… |
| 06-17 00:20:40 | Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | No | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b9a29… |
| 06-17 00:20:40 | (anonymous) 0xaf9f…c444 | No | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x7b9a29… |
| 06-17 00:20:40 | (anonymous) 0xdeaa…fae4 | No | BUY | 1,518 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x7b9a29… |
| 06-17 00:09:59 | (anonymous) 0xdeaa…fae4 | No | BUY | 4,428 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xe44235… |
| 06-17 00:09:59 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe44235… |
| 06-17 00:09:59 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | SELL | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe44235… |
| 06-17 00:09:59 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe44235… |
| 06-17 00:09:59 | Enormous-Photograph 0xe56b…c654 | Yes | BUY | 1,862 | 100¢ | $1,860 | 0xe44235… |
| 06-17 00:09:59 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe44235… |
| 06-17 00:09:59 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe44235… |
| 06-17 00:09:59 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | SELL | 789 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe44235… |
| 06-17 00:09:59 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe44235… |
| 06-16 23:51:16 | (anonymous) 0x6c8b…48cf | Yes | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x0d238c… |
| 06-16 23:51:16 | Enormous-Photograph 0xe56b…c654 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x0d238c… |
| 06-16 23:44:07 | Enormous-Photograph 0xe56b…c654 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd5bfc4… |
| 06-16 23:44:07 | Eager-Sculptural 0x8687…f635 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd5bfc4… |
| 06-16 23:35:19 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e0fef… |
| 06-16 23:35:19 | (anonymous) 0xae64…a98d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1e0fef… |
| 06-16 23:02:34 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2e41d9… |
| 06-16 23:02:34 | (anonymous) 0xecc0…4800 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2e41d9… |
| 06-16 22:48:04 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | BUY | 626 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9728b2… |
| 06-16 22:48:04 | Firsthand-Fratricide 0x5e2c…5dc1 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x9728b2… |
| 06-16 22:48:04 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9728b2… |
| 06-16 22:48:04 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x9728b2… |
| 06-16 22:48:04 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | Yes | BUY | 2,063 | 100¢ | $2,061 | 0x9728b2… |
| 06-16 22:48:04 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9728b2… |
| 06-16 22:48:04 | International-Mezzanine 0x7cd3…21a8 | Yes | SELL | 137 | 100¢ | $137 | 0x9728b2… |
| 06-16 22:48:04 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9728b2… |
| 06-16 22:29:41 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x070821… |
| 06-16 22:29:41 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | Yes | SELL | 1,200 | 100¢ | $1,198 | 0x070821… |
| 06-16 22:29:41 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x070821… |
| 06-16 21:33:04 | Quarterly-Proliferation 0x447f…01fa | Yes | BUY | 1,723 | 100¢ | $1,721 | 0xbb0f76… |
| 06-16 21:33:04 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | BUY | 374 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb0f76… |
| 06-16 21:33:04 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xbb0f76… |
| 06-16 21:33:04 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb0f76… |
| 06-16 21:33:04 | (anonymous) 0xaf9f…c444 | No | BUY | 199 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb0f76… |
| 06-16 21:33:04 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb0f76… |
| 06-16 20:48:16 | Nautical-Step 0x4793…a932 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbb598b… |
| 06-16 20:48:16 | That-Bore 0x565a…cbe3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbb598b… |
| 06-16 19:53:47 | That-Bore 0x565a…cbe3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x403268… |
| 06-16 19:53:47 | Positive-Chop 0x2d4c…d6f5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x403268… |
| 06-16 19:52:35 | Sarcastic-Sustainment 0x8045…26c5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3fdc9a… |
| 06-16 19:52:35 | (anonymous) 0xaf9f…c444 | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fdc9a… |
| 06-16 19:02:58 | That-Bore 0x565a…cbe3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x0ffee4… |
| 06-16 19:02:58 | Usable-Cue 0x3a02…3197 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x0ffee4… |
| 06-16 18:19:37 | (anonymous) 0x12f4…a9ed | Yes | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x224dbe… |
| 06-16 18:19:37 | That-Bore 0x565a…cbe3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x224dbe… |
| 06-16 18:19:25 | Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa20d81… |
| 06-16 18:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x12f4…a9ed | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa20d81… |
| 06-16 17:36:28 | (anonymous) 0x6fa6…70be | No | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x5a1721… |
| 06-16 17:36:28 | That-Bore 0x565a…cbe3 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0x5a1721… |
| 06-16 16:18:34 | That-Bore 0x565a…cbe3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x63023a… |
| 06-16 16:18:34 | Kosher-Twig 0xceb5…f397 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x63023a… |
| 06-16 16:15:58 | Distant-Scheduling 0xed67…77c2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6d38b5… |
| 06-16 16:15:58 | Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d38b5… |
| 06-16 15:28:32 | (anonymous) 0x8741…5b0a | No | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x90408d… |
| 06-16 15:28:32 | That-Bore 0x565a…cbe3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x90408d… |
| 06-16 15:28:32 | (anonymous) 0xe79f…1cb7 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x90408d… |
| 06-16 15:28:19 | Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | No | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1accfc… |
| 06-16 15:28:19 | (anonymous) 0xe79f…1cb7 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x1accfc… |
| 06-16 11:26:27 | Bumpy-Sculptural 0x83e0…92e0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0c3166… |
| 06-16 11:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x8741…5b0a | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c3166… |
| 06-16 11:26:27 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c3166… |
| 06-16 09:07:51 | Multicolored-Dead 0x6099…f70b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6e1ea3… |
| 06-16 09:07:51 | (anonymous) 0x8741…5b0a | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6e1ea3… |
| 06-16 09:07:49 | Skinny-Hepatitis 0x73a9…5666 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9458f7… |
| 06-16 09:07:49 | (anonymous) 0x8741…5b0a | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9458f7… |
| 06-16 09:07:48 | Great-Penny 0x0c1d…530b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc35447… |
| 06-16 09:07:48 | (anonymous) 0x8741…5b0a | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc35447… |
| 06-16 09:07:48 | (anonymous) 0x8741…5b0a | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x56cef6… |