Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$83,768
$889 in 24h
Trades
1,675
Unique wallets
411
Liquidity
$5,460
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-07-19
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-15 02:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-97.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $17
vs crowd: 97% YES on $52.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $16.6K | $130 | +$16.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 50 | $12.4K | $163 | +$12.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 80 | $18.0K | $123 | +$17.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 261 | $3.9K | $967 | +$2.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $8.8K | $183 | +$8.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 18 | $1.9K | $36 | +$1.9K |
| Median | 76 | $4.3K | $9 | +$4.3K |
| Below median | 53 | $421 | $53 | +$368 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 16 | $2.5K | $39 | +$2.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 30 | $11.8K | $103 | +$11.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $3.0K | — | +$3.0K |
| unranked | 186 | $18.1K | $944 | +$17.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spanish-Eaves 0x5b4d…1027 | No | +24,246 | $587 | $587 | 15 | 06-11 04:24 |
| Short-Convention 0x6a88…b859 | Yes | +6,065 | $5,882 | $6,195 | 35 | 06-10 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa477…c9c2 | Yes | +5,017 | $5,000 | $5,000 | 1 | 06-14 06:18 |
| Acceptable-Score 0x33dd…ef8a | Yes | +4,000 | $3,928 | $3,928 | 6 | 06-09 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b8b…1002 | No | +3,693 | $120 | $120 | 2 | 06-13 08:17 |
| Canine-Leaver 0x59e5…7a2b | Yes | +3,294 | $3,201 | $3,201 | 5 | 06-10 13:32 |
| Amused-Trailpatrol 0x99e1…65c8 | Yes | +2,821 | $2,752 | $2,752 | 8 | 06-10 02:40 |
| Common-Sideburns 0x4f20…b29f | No | +2,211 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-14 20:56 |
| Wan-Level 0x0c05…dd4d | No | +2,119 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 23:32 |
| Profuse-Fanlight 0x33a8…e34e | Yes | +1,720 | $1,680 | $1,680 | 6 | 06-04 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1af0…6dd7 | Yes | +1,500 | $1,476 | $1,476 | 6 | 06-13 08:17 |
| Gregarious-Return 0x7c30…7673 | Yes | +1,429 | $1,406 | $1,406 | 10 | 06-14 20:56 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist 0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | +1,402 | $1,374 | $1,374 | 3 | 06-02 06:46 |
| Bewitched-Couch 0x1c1d…7f00 | Yes | +1,015 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-11 06:27 |
| United-Diagnosis 0x2f55…676e | No | +945 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-12 14:22 |
| Quarterly-Proliferation 0x447f…01fa | Yes | +916 | $909 | $909 | 1 | 06-13 20:22 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +761 | $-11 | $33 | 62 | 06-14 06:18 |
| Decisive-Spokeswoman 0xc326…1db1 | Yes | +750 | $731 | $731 | 20 | 06-12 14:22 |
| That-Bore 0x565a…cbe3 | Yes | +725 | $705 | $705 | 12 | 06-08 16:05 |
| Insubstantial-Belligerency 0x59d7…ba8e | Yes | +663 | $656 | $656 | 1 | 06-11 15:08 |
| Responsible-Organ 0x9a88…ded1 | Yes | +505 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-12 11:04 |
| Lopsided-Dragonfly-Moai 0xeba1…838b | Yes | +472 | $467 | $467 | 6 | 06-11 20:51 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | +333 | $4 | $204 | 258 | 06-14 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x264b…ad71 | No | +300 | $3 | $3 | 6 | 06-12 12:14 |
| Dapper-Grandfather 0x85c9…8bea | Yes | +258 | $254 | $254 | 2 | 06-14 15:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1768…b841 | Yes | +258 | $253 | $253 | 2 | 06-08 13:51 |
| Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | No | +251 | $1 | $22 | 5 | 06-10 13:32 |
| Automatic-Client 0x18bd…c2c2 | No | +250 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-03 06:40 |
| Trusty-Labourer 0x27e0…b09b | No | +236 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 21:39 |
| Short-Icebreaker 0x9c7f…5060 | No | +217 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-03 06:27 |
| Bouncy-Morning 0xbe48…2ac2 | No | +214 | $6 | $18 | 8 | 05-29 07:29 |
| Frilly-Spelt 0x8b7b…9ab9 | Yes | +206 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-01 04:54 |
| Nutty-Cone 0x2533…51c1 | Yes | +203 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 06-01 18:14 |
| AlexLiu 0x6cd5…f2cf | Yes | +200 | $197 | $197 | 1 | 06-10 18:35 |
| Gleaming-Familiar 0x035f…33eb | No | +200 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 06-02 23:23 |
| Hot-Bloomer 0xa88b…976c | Yes | +200 | $196 | $196 | 5 | 06-09 19:14 |
| Testy-Activity 0xf16f…9f16 | Yes | +200 | $196 | $196 | 2 | 06-04 19:00 |
| Serious-Occasion 0x1841…8e04 | No | +186 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-11 18:53 |
| Damp-Feeling-Smile 0xb14e…4397 | No | +170 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 19:25 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +168 | $1 | $13 | 26 | 06-10 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | No | +167 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-14 06:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b65…2cf8 | No | +162 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 03:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa49f…3408 | Yes | +153 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 06-01 16:20 |
| Barren-Edge 0xca6e…af60 | Yes | +150 | $148 | $247 | 18 | 06-13 20:22 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +147 | $142 | $1,993 | 27 | 06-15 02:17 |
| Immaculate-Comb-Swamp 0x2d5f…9c36 | Yes | +140 | $139 | $139 | 5 | 06-13 08:17 |
| International-Mezzanine 0x7cd3…21a8 | Yes | +137 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 06-10 10:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x24af…00a6 | No | +133 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 09:33 |
| Somber-Procurement 0x21f4…c5ae | No | +127 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-13 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x214d…e581 | Yes | +123 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-07 10:45 |
| Sunny-Course 0x63cc…eec5 | No | +122 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 06:54 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +120 | $117 | $117 | 5 | 06-03 21:57 |
| Inconsequential-Executor 0xe77c…f2be | No | +112 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9ba…9eef | No | +112 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-06 16:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xeddc…0aa0 | No | +103 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 04:21 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 17:28 |
| Pleasant-Flat 0xd18f…ec55 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 06:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 02:17:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x2c86a1… |
| 06-15 02:17:57 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x2c86a1… |
| 06-14 20:56:27 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa03479… |
| 06-14 20:56:27 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | SELL | 165 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa03479… |
| 06-14 20:56:27 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | No | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa03479… |
| 06-14 20:56:27 | Common-Sideburns 0x4f20…b29f | No | BUY | 2,211 | 1¢ | $17 | 0xa03479… |
| 06-14 20:56:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 236 | 99¢ | $233 | 0xa03479… |
| 06-14 20:56:27 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 133 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa03479… |
| 06-14 20:56:27 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa03479… |
| 06-14 20:56:27 | Gregarious-Return 0x7c30…7673 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 99¢ | $397 | 0xa03479… |
| 06-14 20:56:27 | Infatuated-Grassland 0xf9a2…a79a | No | SELL | 398 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xa03479… |
| 06-14 20:56:27 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | No | SELL | 419 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xa03479… |
| 06-14 19:39:18 | (anonymous) 0x3ffa…e155 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2693ee… |
| 06-14 19:39:18 | Nautical-Step 0x4793…a932 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2693ee… |
| 06-14 19:18:04 | Infatuated-Grassland 0xf9a2…a79a | No | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5ff0bf… |
| 06-14 19:18:04 | (anonymous) 0xac12…02dc | Yes | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x5ff0bf… |
| 06-14 19:15:40 | Svelte-Verb 0x4090…d882 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3838ec… |
| 06-14 19:15:40 | Nautical-Step 0x4793…a932 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3838ec… |
| 06-14 19:03:57 | (anonymous) 0x7c64…161c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb978c4… |
| 06-14 19:03:57 | Nautical-Step 0x4793…a932 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb978c4… |
| 06-14 18:09:10 | Infatuated-Grassland 0xf9a2…a79a | No | SELL | 6,478 | 1¢ | $45 | 0x30986f… |
| 06-14 18:09:10 | Snappy-Trick 0xdcf5…e9c7 | Yes | SELL | 6,750 | 99¢ | $6,703 | 0x30986f… |
| 06-14 18:09:10 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 177 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x30986f… |
| 06-14 18:00:31 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x49954b… |
| 06-14 18:00:31 | Capital-Union 0xdc4a…dddc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x49954b… |
| 06-14 17:52:58 | (anonymous) 0xa9e0…3574 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xcdfd64… |
| 06-14 17:52:58 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcdfd64… |
| 06-14 17:31:07 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a46be… |
| 06-14 17:31:07 | Nautical-Step 0x4793…a932 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0a46be… |
| 06-14 15:05:36 | Dapper-Grandfather 0x85c9…8bea | Yes | BUY | 178 | 100¢ | $177 | 0xb55523… |
| 06-14 15:05:36 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | BUY | 78 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb55523… |
| 06-14 15:05:36 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb55523… |
| 06-14 14:50:27 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb42089… |
| 06-14 14:50:27 | Selfish-Disco 0x6bc5…33d3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb42089… |
| 06-14 13:13:06 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | BUY | 110 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x68dc7f… |
| 06-14 13:13:06 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | BUY | 66 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68dc7f… |
| 06-14 13:13:06 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | No | SELL | 187 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x68dc7f… |
| 06-14 13:13:06 | (anonymous) 0x8741…5b0a | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x68dc7f… |
| 06-14 10:42:15 | Fake-Inn 0x2783…8321 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x73e0ab… |
| 06-14 10:42:15 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | No | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x73e0ab… |
| 06-14 10:33:49 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 84 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x10d24c… |
| 06-14 10:33:49 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | No | SELL | 39 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x10d24c… |
| 06-14 10:33:49 | Fat-Embellishment 0x2dca…4bc5 | Yes | SELL | 335 | 99¢ | $332 | 0x10d24c… |
| 06-14 10:33:49 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x10d24c… |
| 06-14 10:33:49 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 111 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x10d24c… |
| 06-14 09:19:40 | Modest-Twitter 0xc6d1…bc73 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x944960… |
| 06-14 09:19:40 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x944960… |
| 06-14 07:05:06 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | No | SELL | 3,769 | 0¢ | $19 | 0x2045ed… |
| 06-14 07:05:06 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2045ed… |
| 06-14 07:05:06 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | No | SELL | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2045ed… |
| 06-14 07:05:06 | Frilly-Behold 0x68cc…78e0 | No | SELL | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2045ed… |
| 06-14 07:05:06 | Nutty-Nestmate 0x34c4…2249 | Yes | SELL | 4,091 | 99¢ | $4,070 | 0x2045ed… |
| 06-14 07:05:06 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2045ed… |
| 06-14 06:30:48 | (anonymous) 0x1699…4b8d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x4320f5… |
| 06-14 06:30:48 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4320f5… |
| 06-14 06:18:27 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x5f8bc6… |
| 06-14 06:18:27 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | No | BUY | 340 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x5f8bc6… |
| 06-14 06:18:27 | (anonymous) 0xa477…c9c2 | Yes | BUY | 5,017 | 100¢ | $5,000 | 0x5f8bc6… |
| 06-14 06:18:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x5f8bc6… |
| 06-14 06:18:27 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | No | BUY | 167 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f8bc6… |
| 06-14 06:18:27 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | No | BUY | 984 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x5f8bc6… |
| 06-14 03:35:16 | Winged-Weapon 0xd515…2c54 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x811f4a… |
| 06-14 03:35:16 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x811f4a… |
| 06-14 02:06:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x73b1d7… |
| 06-14 02:06:22 | Creative-Heir 0x6d1f…890d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x73b1d7… |
| 06-13 22:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x98a0…fa42 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x1be179… |
| 06-13 22:14:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x1be179… |
| 06-13 20:41:48 | (anonymous) 0xb411…8a7c | No | BUY | 76 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe6bbb8… |
| 06-13 20:41:48 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe6bbb8… |
| 06-13 20:41:48 | Gregarious-Return 0x7c30…7673 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 99¢ | $72 | 0xe6bbb8… |
| 06-13 20:23:21 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x626b03… |
| 06-13 20:23:21 | (anonymous) 0xa9b4…4e41 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x626b03… |
| 06-13 20:22:33 | Revolving-Lap 0xa41f…c0f7 | Yes | SELL | 290 | 99¢ | $288 | 0xec01c8… |
| 06-13 20:22:33 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | BUY | 169 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xec01c8… |
| 06-13 20:22:33 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xec01c8… |
| 06-13 20:22:33 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xec01c8… |
| 06-13 20:22:33 | Quarterly-Proliferation 0x447f…01fa | Yes | BUY | 916 | 99¢ | $909 | 0xec01c8… |
| 06-13 20:22:33 | Barren-Edge 0xca6e…af60 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xec01c8… |
| 06-13 18:24:10 | Fake-Inn 0x2783…8321 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xef3770… |
| 06-13 18:24:10 | (anonymous) 0x9b0b…9b13 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 99¢ | $62 | 0xef3770… |
| 06-13 18:24:10 | Gregarious-Return 0x7c30…7673 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $52 | 0xef3770… |
| 06-13 16:31:45 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa2e622… |
| 06-13 16:31:45 | (anonymous) 0x0a0b…d75c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xa2e622… |
| 06-13 15:23:21 | Gregarious-Return 0x7c30…7673 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf3d2c8… |
| 06-13 15:23:21 | Infamous-Grandchild 0xfbfb…de25 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf3d2c8… |
| 06-13 13:54:42 | Gregarious-Return 0x7c30…7673 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x0bb360… |
| 06-13 13:54:42 | Somber-Procurement 0x21f4…c5ae | No | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0bb360… |
| 06-13 11:59:36 | (anonymous) 0x4c38…0703 | No | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa21654… |
| 06-13 11:59:36 | Gregarious-Return 0x7c30…7673 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0xa21654… |
| 06-13 10:11:51 | Delightful-Pilgrim 0xf695…0a19 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8129ea… |
| 06-13 10:11:51 | Gregarious-Return 0x7c30…7673 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8129ea… |
| 06-13 09:19:03 | Big-Hearted-Pamphlet 0xe2bf…cb5a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7f5e40… |
| 06-13 09:19:03 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7f5e40… |
| 06-13 09:05:06 | (anonymous) 0x047a…44b1 | No | BUY | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa47061… |
| 06-13 09:05:06 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa47061… |
| 06-13 08:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x5b8b…1002 | No | BUY | 1,357 | 1¢ | $20 | 0xea0390… |
| 06-13 08:17:04 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xea0390… |
| 06-13 08:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x79a9…2b6a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xea0390… |
| 06-13 08:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x1af0…6dd7 | Yes | BUY | 602 | 98¢ | $592 | 0xea0390… |
| 06-13 08:17:04 | Immaculate-Comb-Swamp 0x2d5f…9c36 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0xea0390… |