Great-Penny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.1%

Resolved

140

Trades

487

lifetime

Volume

$485

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-01 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

60% 16% -$7

Politics

25% 10% $0

Crypto

9% 0% -$1

Sports

3% 0% $0

Tech

2% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	33	$33	27	27	+0	No	-$1	02-20 01:20
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	12	$12	6	6	-0	open	—	07-28 02:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	08-01 08:23
another us government shutdown by february 14	10	$10	7	7	+0	No	$0	02-13 00:59
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-10 02:34
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-08 02:23
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 07:45
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 03:24
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-10 02:34
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 07:45
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-27 02:09
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	07-17 01:55
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-05 07:51
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-18 02:21
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 02:09
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 02:13
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-21 07:01
Trump out as President by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	No	$0	06-11 09:03
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-23 09:32
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 04:25
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-29 08:49
Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-04 09:35
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-29 08:49
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-23 02:30
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-13 08:09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:55
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-06 02:40
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-25 09:18
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-18 02:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 08:24:02	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x71e479…
08-01 08:23:26	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x0438c9…
08-01 08:06:29	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf8fc4f…
08-01 07:57:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf6331b…
08-01 07:56:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b01d6…
07-31 02:44:57	taylor travis divorce in 2026 20260706221307677	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdfbd59…
07-31 02:44:32	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb7ca70…
07-31 02:32:23	taylor travis divorce in 2026 20260706221307677	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61de8a…
07-31 02:31:18	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6de543…
07-30 03:10:15	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x22a3fa…
07-30 03:09:35	will hyperliquid reach 80 in july	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf4fd9b…
07-30 02:39:06	will hyperliquid reach 80 in july	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf1d03c…
07-30 02:37:51	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3713dd…
07-28 02:44:06	Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7f54f0…
07-28 02:43:37	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x29f15e…
07-28 02:23:49	Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6f5fd7…
07-28 02:22:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdd932d…
07-25 09:18:48	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7418a9…
07-25 09:18:31	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x03394f…
07-25 09:00:28	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb08015…
07-25 08:59:55	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe29850…
07-23 03:15:21	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x589cf7…
07-23 03:14:49	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x099321…
07-23 02:55:51	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x91460f…
07-23 02:53:54	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb6d97c…
07-21 02:42:19	Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win Title Tuesday?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcf170c…
07-21 02:40:13	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9e8f06…
07-21 02:21:42	Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win Title Tuesday?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb2bac1…
07-21 02:20:19	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1cb249…
07-20 06:22:28	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa849e1…
07-20 06:21:22	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc13347…
07-20 04:57:16	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ab773…
07-20 04:54:06	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1db9a0…
07-18 02:21:42	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2d0a38…
07-18 02:21:12	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3c4a1a…
07-18 02:00:49	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfe98fd…
07-18 01:59:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x434a49…
07-17 01:55:55	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b3dbb…
07-17 01:55:19	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x458644…
07-17 01:41:31	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x38f177…
07-17 01:40:40	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x32c226…
07-16 01:24:07	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd2e398…
07-16 01:23:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5ace9f…
07-16 01:15:04	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae5f6d…
07-16 01:14:31	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x786f15…
07-15 02:40:31	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa74ae8…
07-15 02:40:11	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb869d4…
07-15 02:24:58	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8d0613…
07-15 02:24:10	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2882f6…
07-14 01:52:34	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x71eeb3…
07-14 01:51:58	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc89ac4…
07-14 01:37:59	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdb2ff3…
07-14 01:37:14	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x27fa18…
07-13 03:49:04	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x737442…
07-13 03:48:28	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x065ef4…
07-13 03:26:28	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x143bbe…
07-13 03:16:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1b3fd2…
07-11 03:24:53	Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe37c97…
07-11 03:24:14	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc2ba2c…
07-11 03:03:59	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x072f5e…
07-11 03:03:10	Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa66f3c…
07-10 02:34:56	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x657ff3…
07-10 02:34:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1ef2a5…
07-10 02:15:55	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3415f0…
07-10 02:14:56	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc88bb…
07-09 01:27:32	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4213cb…
07-09 01:26:53	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 10, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e62a3…
07-09 01:18:31	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7b4032…
07-09 01:17:38	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50e190…
07-08 02:23:53	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2d9dfe…
07-08 02:23:14	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9a29c7…
07-08 02:04:34	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdc0069…
07-08 02:02:53	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb6dc0a…
07-07 01:58:13	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x83692e…
07-07 01:57:34	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 10, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd7b049…
07-07 01:41:14	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2b4e2d…
07-07 01:40:46	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf96483…
07-06 03:04:47	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7f1a24…
07-06 03:03:53	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1bf792…
07-06 02:46:53	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf6906d…
07-06 02:45:26	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x72f310…
07-04 02:02:53	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb1b0eb…
07-04 02:02:16	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x463654…
07-04 01:49:17	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbfe0d4…
07-04 01:48:02	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce824e…
07-03 02:47:22	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x53ce72…
07-03 02:46:43	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd1281b…
07-03 02:29:32	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x446c4f…
07-03 02:28:49	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf4e25d…
07-02 03:06:31	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc03d7e…
07-02 03:03:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x32840e…
07-02 02:40:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0bb03b…
07-02 02:40:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc608f7…
07-01 01:30:07	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcf55f4…
07-01 01:29:26	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb14796…
07-01 01:17:28	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x236d02…
07-01 01:15:20	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x481161…
06-30 02:43:50	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x32f941…
06-30 02:43:14	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaa7173…
06-30 02:27:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b828b…