Great-Penny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

350

lifetime

Volume

$349

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 09:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-0

Politics

29% 0% $-0

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	33	$33	27	27	+0	open	—	02-20 01:20
another us government shutdown by february 14	10	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	02-13 00:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-02 03:06
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 07:45
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 03:24
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-10 02:34
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 07:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-30 02:43
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-17 01:55
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 02:21
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	01-31 02:09
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-11 02:13
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 07:01
Trump out as President by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-11 09:03
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	07-08 02:23
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 04:25
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:49
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 07:51
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-13 08:09
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 02:40
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 09:18
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 02:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 03:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-25 08:09
dc airport ground stop lifted today	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 03:26
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 08:24
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 01:24
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 10:10
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-30 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 09:18:48	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7418a9…
07-25 09:18:31	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x03394f…
07-25 09:00:28	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb08015…
07-25 08:59:55	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe29850…
07-23 03:14:49	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x099321…
07-23 02:53:54	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb6d97c…
07-21 02:40:13	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9e8f06…
07-21 02:20:19	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1cb249…
07-20 06:21:22	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc13347…
07-20 04:54:06	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1db9a0…
07-18 02:21:42	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2d0a38…
07-18 02:21:12	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3c4a1a…
07-18 02:00:49	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfe98fd…
07-18 01:59:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x434a49…
07-17 01:55:55	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b3dbb…
07-17 01:55:19	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x458644…
07-17 01:41:31	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x38f177…
07-17 01:40:40	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x32c226…
07-16 01:24:07	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd2e398…
07-16 01:23:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5ace9f…
07-16 01:15:04	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae5f6d…
07-16 01:14:31	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x786f15…
07-15 02:40:11	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb869d4…
07-15 02:24:58	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8d0613…
07-14 01:52:34	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x71eeb3…
07-14 01:51:58	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc89ac4…
07-14 01:37:59	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdb2ff3…
07-14 01:37:14	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x27fa18…
07-13 03:49:04	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x737442…
07-13 03:16:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1b3fd2…
07-11 03:24:14	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc2ba2c…
07-11 03:03:59	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x072f5e…
07-10 02:34:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1ef2a5…
07-10 02:15:55	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3415f0…
07-09 01:27:32	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4213cb…
07-09 01:18:31	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7b4032…
07-08 02:23:53	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2d9dfe…
07-08 02:23:14	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9a29c7…
07-08 02:04:34	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdc0069…
07-08 02:02:53	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb6dc0a…
07-07 01:58:13	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x83692e…
07-07 01:41:14	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2b4e2d…
07-06 03:04:47	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7f1a24…
07-06 03:03:53	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1bf792…
07-06 02:46:53	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf6906d…
07-06 02:45:26	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x72f310…
07-04 02:02:53	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb1b0eb…
07-04 01:49:17	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbfe0d4…
07-03 02:47:22	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x53ce72…
07-03 02:28:49	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf4e25d…
07-02 03:06:31	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc03d7e…
07-02 02:40:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0bb03b…
07-01 01:30:07	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcf55f4…
07-01 01:17:28	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x236d02…
06-30 02:43:50	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x32f941…
06-30 02:43:14	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaa7173…
06-30 02:27:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b828b…
06-30 02:24:29	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4a2f97…
06-27 02:09:19	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x906b2a…
06-27 02:02:43	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4731b6…
06-26 10:23:14	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe14bbb…
06-26 10:22:58	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xddd8ef…
06-26 10:17:44	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5609a9…
06-26 10:16:50	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x24e561…
06-25 08:09:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc24628…
06-25 06:47:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ba015…
06-23 09:33:05	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x48416d…
06-23 09:32:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b7c00…
06-23 09:28:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa55c92…
06-23 09:26:46	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xded0a8…
06-22 07:39:44	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x846062…
06-22 07:39:19	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x084a04…
06-22 07:29:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdffdf3…
06-22 07:27:05	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbc67eb…
06-21 10:10:04	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xace2b3…
06-21 10:09:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2ca756…
06-21 10:02:13	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd57091…
06-21 10:00:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0ff19b…
06-18 09:41:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x003087…
06-18 09:31:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x36b5e8…
06-17 08:27:26	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x355b7c…
06-17 08:26:49	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf630e9…
06-17 08:17:49	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdeecf6…
06-17 08:16:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x84dba9…
06-17 08:09:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0f783c…
06-17 08:09:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x99b59b…
06-16 09:08:04	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x8d808e…
06-16 09:07:48	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc35447…
06-16 09:01:42	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x40247c…
06-16 08:57:45	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4370d…
06-15 09:14:57	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf9e43a…
06-15 09:14:25	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9066bd…
06-15 09:03:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc15c82…
06-15 09:02:18	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x29dc57…
06-13 08:09:39	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9e2e7d…
06-13 07:52:22	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8a7bef…
06-12 09:05:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0565a4…
06-12 08:54:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x822628…
06-11 09:03:36	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x69d79b…
06-11 08:51:25	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ea5cf…