Great-Penny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

308

lifetime

Volume

$307

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-06 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% 0% $-0

Politics

28% 0% $-0

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	06-02 07:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	33	$33	27	27	+0	open	—	02-20 01:20
another us government shutdown by february 14	10	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	02-13 00:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-02 03:06
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 07:45
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 07:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-30 02:43
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	01-31 02:09
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-11 02:13
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 07:01
Trump out as President by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-11 09:03
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 04:25
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:49
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 07:51
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-03 02:47
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-13 08:09
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 02:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 03:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-25 08:09
dc airport ground stop lifted today	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 03:26
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 08:24
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 10:10
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-30 02:43
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	$-0	01-07 08:23
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-05 08:40
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 04:47
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 09:09
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 01:50
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 01:58:13	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x83692e…
07-07 01:41:14	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2b4e2d…
07-06 03:04:47	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7f1a24…
07-06 03:03:53	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1bf792…
07-06 02:46:53	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf6906d…
07-06 02:45:26	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x72f310…
07-04 02:02:53	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb1b0eb…
07-04 01:49:17	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbfe0d4…
07-03 02:47:22	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x53ce72…
07-03 02:28:49	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf4e25d…
07-02 03:06:31	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc03d7e…
07-02 02:40:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0bb03b…
07-01 01:30:07	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcf55f4…
07-01 01:17:28	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x236d02…
06-30 02:43:50	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x32f941…
06-30 02:43:14	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaa7173…
06-30 02:27:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b828b…
06-30 02:24:29	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4a2f97…
06-27 02:09:19	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x906b2a…
06-27 02:02:43	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4731b6…
06-26 10:23:14	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe14bbb…
06-26 10:22:58	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xddd8ef…
06-26 10:17:44	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5609a9…
06-26 10:16:50	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x24e561…
06-25 08:09:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc24628…
06-25 06:47:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ba015…
06-23 09:33:05	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x48416d…
06-23 09:32:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b7c00…
06-23 09:28:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa55c92…
06-23 09:26:46	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xded0a8…
06-22 07:39:44	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x846062…
06-22 07:39:19	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x084a04…
06-22 07:29:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdffdf3…
06-22 07:27:05	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbc67eb…
06-21 10:10:04	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xace2b3…
06-21 10:09:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2ca756…
06-21 10:02:13	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd57091…
06-21 10:00:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0ff19b…
06-18 09:41:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x003087…
06-18 09:31:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x36b5e8…
06-17 08:27:26	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x355b7c…
06-17 08:26:49	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf630e9…
06-17 08:17:49	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdeecf6…
06-17 08:16:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x84dba9…
06-17 08:09:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0f783c…
06-17 08:09:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x99b59b…
06-16 09:08:04	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x8d808e…
06-16 09:07:48	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc35447…
06-16 09:01:42	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x40247c…
06-16 08:57:45	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4370d…
06-15 09:14:57	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf9e43a…
06-15 09:14:25	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9066bd…
06-15 09:03:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc15c82…
06-15 09:02:18	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x29dc57…
06-13 08:09:39	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9e2e7d…
06-13 07:52:22	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8a7bef…
06-12 09:05:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0565a4…
06-12 08:54:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x822628…
06-11 09:03:36	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x69d79b…
06-11 08:51:25	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ea5cf…
06-10 09:09:58	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd23127…
06-10 09:09:28	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x387c35…
06-10 09:01:58	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbb8107…
06-10 09:01:00	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x293aa3…
06-09 08:22:54	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa6c2d7…
06-09 08:11:28	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x392aea…
06-08 07:40:22	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa9fa22…
06-08 07:36:10	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xacee92…
06-06 07:57:15	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x071729…
06-06 07:44:33	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x42f9c8…
06-05 08:04:37	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2a91d5…
06-05 07:51:52	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x92cf8a…
06-05 07:50:48	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x58c139…
06-05 07:49:18	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x74d644…
06-04 09:35:36	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xad57f0…
06-04 09:28:54	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce775f…
06-03 08:35:37	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5e912e…
06-03 08:33:33	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8425e8…
06-02 07:31:30	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9f2774…
06-01 09:34:01	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5b7427…
06-01 09:33:33	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1a61ef…
06-01 09:17:23	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa38e27…
06-01 09:16:20	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe64f7f…
05-30 03:16:14	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x552ff6…
05-30 03:07:54	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x052144…
05-29 08:49:31	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf047ef…
05-29 08:28:18	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a2f59…
05-28 09:18:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe0ad36…
05-28 08:58:25	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdce82f…
05-27 10:00:23	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbf4a4b…
05-27 09:53:12	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2af2de…
05-22 07:56:11	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb582d0…
05-22 07:36:16	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb137c0…
05-21 04:51:10	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xaf16cd…
05-20 03:17:01	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9953dc…
05-19 02:56:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5e0072…
05-19 02:13:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfd4958…
05-15 01:45:37	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4b012d…
05-15 01:31:02	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe9a589…
05-13 03:22:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8685d1…