Skinny-Hepatitis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

322

lifetime

Volume

$320

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-06 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% $-0

Politics

28% 0% $-0

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	06-02 07:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	39	$39	32	32	+0	open	—	02-20 01:20
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-18 07:45
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-02 02:53
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	5	4	+0	open	—	03-11 01:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$8	9	9	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-30 02:43
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-12 23:56
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 07:01
Trump out as President by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-11 09:03
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 04:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 03:22
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 00:09
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 07:51
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-03 02:47
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-13 08:09
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-25 08:09
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 08:24
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 10:10
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-30 02:43
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-05 08:40
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 02:40
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:29
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 04:47
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 09:09
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 01:50
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 03:11
highest temperature in taipei on march 22 2026 20c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 03:04:49	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x255ff3…
07-06 03:03:56	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe54ced…
07-06 02:46:56	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x002567…
07-06 02:45:34	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd65ccc…
07-04 02:02:59	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdb9364…
07-04 01:49:19	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7fb1af…
07-03 02:47:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9ae3cc…
07-03 02:28:50	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x76c490…
07-02 02:53:20	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6176be…
07-02 02:40:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf17b7c…
07-01 01:30:14	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa82572…
07-01 01:17:31	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa43174…
06-30 02:43:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x916b3d…
06-30 02:43:20	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1a7cc8…
06-30 02:27:19	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x026012…
06-30 02:24:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe84f20…
06-27 02:09:20	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x60a14d…
06-27 02:02:44	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc170e7…
06-26 10:23:14	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x111533…
06-26 10:22:58	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7a16ab…
06-26 10:17:46	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x675138…
06-26 10:16:28	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaac2b3…
06-25 08:09:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x56aee7…
06-25 06:47:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x398ffd…
06-23 09:33:08	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbd469c…
06-23 09:32:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe9c6fe…
06-23 09:28:20	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3be5b6…
06-23 09:26:52	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c84cc…
06-22 07:39:52	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc1a42a…
06-22 07:39:22	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdc8217…
06-22 07:29:38	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e1907…
06-22 07:27:05	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x638541…
06-21 10:10:05	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc42e55…
06-21 10:09:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5d2295…
06-21 10:02:17	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9b031d…
06-21 10:00:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x298763…
06-18 09:41:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd276d1…
06-18 09:31:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd3dcb3…
06-17 08:27:37	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0d55f7…
06-17 08:26:53	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf39f7c…
06-17 08:17:41	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x581235…
06-17 08:17:04	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x358c8c…
06-17 08:10:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x60884f…
06-17 08:09:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf63eb9…
06-16 09:08:06	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0d489b…
06-16 09:07:49	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9458f7…
06-16 09:01:49	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2f845e…
06-16 08:57:48	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x24108c…
06-15 09:14:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1fa28e…
06-15 09:14:22	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6e84ef…
06-15 09:03:21	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb9e003…
06-15 09:02:19	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x31c0f2…
06-13 08:09:40	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x66ac2e…
06-13 07:52:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xffbb96…
06-12 09:05:45	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3803c6…
06-12 08:54:07	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7ba2c0…
06-11 09:03:42	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x88e08e…
06-11 08:51:34	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3efd7…
06-10 09:10:03	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x177e21…
06-10 09:09:33	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfd0482…
06-10 09:02:04	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x58c21a…
06-10 09:01:03	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b75ad…
06-09 08:23:07	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x84b8e5…
06-09 08:11:48	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc57f5e…
06-08 07:40:25	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf0a241…
06-08 07:36:21	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x249b32…
06-06 07:57:27	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd0766a…
06-06 07:44:36	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xeaa957…
06-05 08:04:39	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd9f483…
06-05 07:51:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6a43c0…
06-05 07:50:51	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbd0545…
06-05 07:49:24	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa4a027…
06-04 09:35:36	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xccc913…
06-04 09:28:58	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc7616c…
06-03 08:35:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xedbd4b…
06-03 08:33:44	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4450f0…
06-02 07:29:24	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5acfa9…
06-01 09:34:13	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1819fb…
06-01 09:33:47	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3c6042…
06-01 09:17:30	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b2502…
06-01 09:16:52	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6a1cde…
05-30 03:16:14	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf2c068…
05-30 03:07:57	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeec93d…
05-29 08:49:34	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4bd6b2…
05-29 08:27:54	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf242b3…
05-28 09:18:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xdf9abf…
05-28 08:58:37	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfb7c92…
05-27 10:00:28	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x88f12c…
05-27 09:53:19	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa355b…
05-22 07:56:13	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x79d86d…
05-22 07:36:16	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa56dda…
05-21 04:51:13	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2bc9d0…
05-20 03:17:07	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0c7a78…
05-19 02:56:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2bab62…
05-19 02:13:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2653cb…
05-15 01:45:46	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x231754…
05-15 01:31:37	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac2ee7…
05-13 03:22:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfdee12…
05-13 02:42:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9bc335…
05-12 04:16:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc6daa3…