Dapper-Grandfather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.36K

Unrealized P&L

+$65

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

728

lifetime

Volume

$249.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$343

Open exposure

$1.93K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-03 01:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

48% 0% $-4,275

Crypto

26% — —

Other

26% 0% $-87

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+2,000	$1,870	97¢	$1.9K	+$65	05-31 08:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	18	$18.4K	9,366	9,366	+0	open	—	03-04 16:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	191	$12.3K	9,982	18,246	-8,264	Yes	$-4,275	03-29 08:59
will trump visit china by march 31	43	$11.3K	6,500	6,500	+0	open	—	03-27 12:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	36	$10.8K	9,300	3,150	+6,150	open	—	01-16 22:31
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	43	$10.4K	9,331	9,331	+0	open	—	01-31 14:27
nothing ever happens february 452	4	$10.3K	10,500	0	+10,500	open	—	02-06 00:51
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	2	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	03-11 12:32
will ethereum reach 3400 in february 2026	3	$9.7K	6,000	4,000	+2,000	open	—	02-11 14:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$8.4K	7,053	7,053	+0	open	—	03-04 01:00
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$7.8K	0	7,814	-7,814	open	—	01-02 16:58
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$7.7K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	01-05 07:31
us x venezuela military engagement by january 31 2026 977	7	$7.6K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	01-03 04:15
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	5	$6.2K	3,818	3,284	+534	open	—	01-06 00:23
will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026	1	$6.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	01-24 17:24
will googl reach 340 in december	1	$5.6K	5,600	0	+5,600	open	—	01-01 00:26
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$5.4K	5,505	0	+5,505	open	—	04-15 17:53
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	3	$5.1K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	01-04 00:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	7	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-07 09:20
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	4	$4.7K	5,388	0	+5,388	open	—	02-05 11:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	13	$4.5K	3,400	3,000	+400	open	—	03-05 16:24
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	6	$4.2K	4,500	0	+4,500	open	—	02-11 17:29
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	1	$4.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	01-03 07:38
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	8	$4.0K	4,600	0	+4,600	open	—	03-04 14:16
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	2	$4.0K	4,010	0	+4,010	open	—	02-03 12:02
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	13	$4.0K	6,989	7,000	-11	open	—	01-06 00:16
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	5	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-03 13:06
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?	6	$3.5K	3,122	2,000	+1,122	open	—	01-03 06:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$3.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	01-18 16:23
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	7	$2.9K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	01-31 08:14
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2.9K	1,520	1,520	+0	open	—	03-29 14:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 01:08:34	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	2,000	79¢	$1,580	0x9a958f…
06-27 14:48:34	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x395e0f…
06-27 12:35:59	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	554	99¢	$549	0xe23657…
06-19 13:23:34	btc updown 5m 1781875200	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xcb7542…
06-14 15:05:36	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0xb55523…
05-31 08:43:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,870	0x209a41…
05-30 14:39:56	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x33a358…
05-15 01:21:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf72618…
05-15 01:15:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	480	81¢	$389	0x90a0a5…
05-10 17:24:04	WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	Japan	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x08c407…
05-10 17:23:25	WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	China	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x35ebee…
05-10 17:23:16	WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	China	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x202294…
05-10 17:23:06	WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	China	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xa1a109…
05-10 16:23:04	WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	Japan	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x6acaab…
05-10 16:22:50	WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	Japan	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x9500d8…
05-10 13:12:11	WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	Japan	BUY	86	20¢	$17	0x37d340…
05-10 11:53:59	WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	Japan	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xa9d9d6…
05-10 10:48:35	WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	Japan	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xdc6de7…
05-09 17:45:24	WTT - Men's Singles: Chinese Taipei vs Japan	Taipei	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x3fbf49…
05-09 17:44:01	WTT - Men's Singles: Chinese Taipei vs Japan	Taipei	BUY	943	2¢	$14	0xb28316…
05-09 12:49:53	WTT - Men's Singles: Chinese Taipei vs Japan	Taipei	BUY	99	30¢	$30	0xd4a128…
05-09 12:13:04	WTT - Men's Singles: Chinese Taipei vs Japan	Taipei	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x6a03dc…
05-09 11:28:39	WTT - Men's Singles: China vs France	France	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x317c75…
05-09 06:12:24	WTT - Men's Singles: Chinese Taipei vs Japan	Japan	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x17418d…
04-17 08:25:24	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	No	SELL	401	84¢	$337	0x2feda5…
04-16 22:10:24	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	No	SELL	87	84¢	$73	0x8371d5…
04-15 21:52:14	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x856385…
04-15 17:53:32	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	4,905	99¢	$4,854	0xe97c1a…
04-06 06:05:49	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	No	BUY	791	68¢	$538	0x3da338…
04-05 06:30:19	wttmen li matsush 2026 04 05	Lin	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x10dc68…
04-05 05:33:13	wttmen li matsush 2026 04 05	Lin	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x29f14b…
04-05 02:32:43	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2d98ca…
04-05 02:27:43	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x7791a8…
04-05 02:27:41	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x0b00ca…
04-01 01:46:33	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	SELL	480	100¢	$478	0x7d83d6…
03-31 12:51:45	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	SELL	500	98¢	$488	0x1c7866…
03-30 15:16:45	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	BUY	1,000	25¢	$248	0x815b70…
03-29 14:24:30	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	1,520	94¢	$1,423	0x861773…
03-29 08:59:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x5af857…
03-29 08:47:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	28¢	$46	0x4b3aca…
03-29 08:35:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	28¢	$51	0x00ed64…
03-29 08:27:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x857434…
03-29 08:25:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x7a322b…
03-29 08:24:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	295	28¢	$83	0x1f5141…
03-29 08:12:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	28¢	$44	0x1152b2…
03-29 08:03:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	28¢	$50	0x5e11f8…
03-29 04:55:50	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,520	95¢	$1,451	0x90bfc4…
03-27 12:50:33	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	2,070	100¢	$2,064	0x83a1d7…
03-26 16:57:25	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	600	96¢	$575	0xca4494…
03-26 11:35:55	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8708c…
03-26 11:35:37	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0xf93bb3…
03-26 01:12:43	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	500	89¢	$447	0xe1a155…
03-17 16:53:33	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0xb8488e…
03-17 16:53:33	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x3843c1…
03-17 16:49:29	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x988a33…
03-17 16:47:17	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0xcaea70…
03-17 16:39:21	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x5c219b…
03-17 16:32:01	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	244	98¢	$239	0x10b620…
03-17 16:23:59	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd20698…
03-17 16:23:53	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	204	98¢	$200	0x43f296…
03-17 16:21:59	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xb3c641…
03-17 16:18:23	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	1,275	98¢	$1,248	0x587bb7…
03-17 01:24:57	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	4,000	96¢	$3,850	0x214b60…
03-16 20:03:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	94¢	$2,820	0xc91eab…
03-15 14:06:27	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	500	26¢	$128	0xac773f…
03-11 12:32:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,419	100¢	$1,416	0x57b971…
03-11 12:30:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8,581	100¢	$8,564	0xa2e4d2…
03-05 16:24:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	797	71¢	$564	0x6ac6de…
03-05 16:24:21	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	255	71¢	$181	0xf02308…
03-05 16:24:21	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0xbe0478…
03-05 16:23:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	282	71¢	$200	0x8d9bb9…
03-05 16:23:37	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x9fef86…
03-05 16:23:37	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x1412a8…
03-04 16:50:01	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6,366	100¢	$6,360	0x572be9…
03-04 14:16:53	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	769	79¢	$608	0x7127d5…
03-04 14:16:53	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5ba5fb…
03-04 14:05:43	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xf6af56…
03-04 13:59:33	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xf5af93…
03-04 13:33:33	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x4d56b8…
03-04 13:08:37	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	163	79¢	$129	0x955b2e…
03-04 05:56:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	1,451	71¢	$1,027	0xed86ec…
03-04 05:46:07	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xb115b8…
03-04 05:46:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x735e3f…
03-04 05:45:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xa5a81d…
03-04 05:44:33	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xbc43d6…
03-04 05:44:09	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	130	71¢	$92	0x4789ff…
03-04 05:31:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	3,400	70¢	$2,397	0x06300d…
03-04 01:00:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	4,553	0¢	$5	0x5ad1f9…
03-03 01:11:23	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x1eaf5d…
03-03 00:43:05	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	408	54¢	$220	0x3867a6…
03-02 17:43:25	will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	454	66¢	$300	0xe727fc…
03-02 17:43:21	will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0x31f6a8…
03-02 14:34:55	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	725	89¢	$645	0xaf3506…
03-02 14:34:43	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	2,875	89¢	$2,559	0xb08d9f…
03-02 11:55:37	will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x8f5b43…
03-01 10:58:27	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	738	59¢	$433	0x737729…
03-01 10:34:57	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	214	59¢	$125	0x40db2b…
03-01 08:08:41	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	150	59¢	$88	0x373c4d…
03-01 08:05:55	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x6c1259…
03-01 08:05:45	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	96	59¢	$57	0xe66ea0…