Dapper-Grandfather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$92

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

137

Trades

942

lifetime

Volume

$291.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$310

Open exposure

$4.09K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-14 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Politics

42% 56% -$7,130

Crypto

32% 55% -$3,621

Other

25% 47% -$9,788

Sports

0% 100% +$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+3,500	$2,890	94¢	$3.3K	+$382	10-03 03:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November?	No	+1,000	$500	70¢	$698	+$198	11-14 22:09
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	-106	-$102	99¢	$-105	-$3	09-14 17:42
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	+474	$687	4¢	$17	-$669	10-19 14:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	18	$18.4K	9,366	9,366	+0	Yes	+$193	03-04 16:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	191	$12.3K	9,982	18,246	-8,264	Yes	-$4,275	03-29 08:59
will trump visit china by march 31	43	$11.3K	6,500	6,500	+0	No	-$280	03-27 12:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	36	$10.8K	9,300	3,150	+6,150	No	+$1,157	01-16 22:31
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	43	$10.4K	9,331	9,331	+0	Yes	-$1,206	01-31 14:27
nothing ever happens february 452	4	$10.3K	10,500	0	+10,500	Something	-$290	02-06 00:51
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	2	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$20	03-11 12:32
will ethereum reach 3400 in february 2026	3	$9.7K	6,000	4,000	+2,000	No	+$236	02-11 14:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$8.4K	7,053	7,053	+0	Yes	-$3,729	03-04 01:00
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$7.8K	0	7,814	-7,814	No	-$16	01-02 16:58
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$7.7K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$344	01-05 07:31
us x venezuela military engagement by january 31 2026 977	7	$7.6K	9,000	0	+9,000	Yes	-$7,628	01-03 04:15
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	5	$6.2K	3,818	3,284	+534	No	+$354	01-06 00:23
will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026	1	$6.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$19	01-24 17:24
will googl reach 340 in december	1	$5.6K	5,600	0	+5,600	No	+$6	01-01 00:26
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$5.4K	5,505	0	+5,505	No	+$75	04-15 17:53
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	3	$5.1K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$1,850	01-04 00:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	7	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$184	02-07 09:20
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	4	$4.7K	5,388	0	+5,388	Yes	+$650	02-05 11:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	13	$4.5K	3,400	3,000	+400	Yes	+$127	03-05 16:24
will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	10	$4.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$632	07-31 14:23
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	6	$4.2K	4,500	0	+4,500	No	+$305	02-11 17:29
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	1	$4.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$1,000	01-03 07:38
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	8	$4.0K	4,600	0	+4,600	No	+$606	03-04 14:16
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	2	$4.0K	4,010	0	+4,010	Yes	+$25	02-03 12:02
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	13	$4.0K	6,989	7,000	-11	No	-$2,081	01-06 00:16
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	5	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$32	02-03 13:06
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	09-08 14:54
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?	6	$3.5K	3,122	2,000	+1,122	Yes	+$747	01-03 06:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$3.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	-$575	01-18 16:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 22:09:26	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November?	No	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x390b4c…
11-12 10:23:43	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	47¢	$423	0x87df35…
11-12 05:50:13	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x6ef48b…
11-11 16:31:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in November?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xb6037d…
11-04 15:25:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in November?	Yes	SELL	1,000	28¢	$280	0xf49991…
11-04 14:31:52	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in November?	Yes	BUY	1,000	46¢	$460	0x31dfca…
10-29 13:38:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?	No	SELL	228	72¢	$164	0x2841c7…
10-29 13:37:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x74e596…
10-29 00:58:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?	No	BUY	106	40¢	$42	0x5a16f1…
10-29 00:58:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?	No	BUY	111	40¢	$44	0x7decb7…
10-29 00:57:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	No	BUY	111	52¢	$58	0x021c09…
10-29 00:56:19	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	No	BUY	101	52¢	$53	0x9c5445…
10-29 00:55:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?	No	BUY	111	39¢	$43	0x78fc5e…
10-28 13:36:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	SELL	94	80¢	$75	0x176284…
10-28 13:32:43	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?	No	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0xf6f82f…
10-28 13:32:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?	No	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x33090a…
10-28 13:31:41	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	SELL	111	80¢	$89	0xb57884…
10-26 04:03:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x664779…
10-26 04:02:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	BUY	105	54¢	$57	0xef91eb…
10-26 03:01:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x0141b2…
10-26 02:38:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	SELL	916	90¢	$824	0x4f4d73…
10-26 02:20:57	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x7b8fc4…
10-26 01:58:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0x471274…
10-24 15:40:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	SELL	990	98¢	$968	0x128f48…
10-19 14:44:32	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	709	9¢	$64	0xeaef75…
10-17 16:20:15	will ethereum reach 2800 in october 2026	No	SELL	209	85¢	$178	0x149226…
10-17 15:55:02	will ethereum reach 2800 in october 2026	No	SELL	183	85¢	$156	0x991f45…
10-17 09:42:00	will ethereum reach 2800 in october 2026	No	SELL	608	85¢	$517	0x153b08…
10-17 07:31:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	BUY	994	52¢	$517	0x171c24…
10-17 05:43:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x78bc97…
10-13 12:14:08	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0x88698f…
10-10 14:37:43	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	121	72¢	$87	0xe01574…
10-10 14:29:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	187	72¢	$135	0xe07693…
10-10 14:28:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	187	72¢	$135	0x463bd5…
10-10 09:19:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xd1870e…
10-10 05:30:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xf6f519…
10-10 00:28:41	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	No	BUY	1,000	56¢	$560	0x22b910…
10-10 00:27:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	No	SELL	1,000	25¢	$250	0x3c8320…
10-08 13:54:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	111	64¢	$71	0xa70963…
10-08 13:53:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x4911d0…
10-08 13:53:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	206	64¢	$132	0xded579…
10-08 13:53:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x39fae3…
10-08 13:53:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xe03934…
10-08 13:52:56	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x71c223…
10-08 13:52:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	273	64¢	$175	0xef74a7…
10-08 03:14:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	No	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0x5baba1…
10-08 01:04:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	500	54¢	$270	0xe2a3d7…
10-08 01:00:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	SELL	88	20¢	$18	0xeccc1b…
10-08 00:59:52	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x8de6a3…
10-08 00:57:46	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	SELL	106	21¢	$22	0x9cb64f…
10-08 00:56:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	SELL	106	21¢	$22	0x07a1c3…
10-08 00:55:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	SELL	150	21¢	$32	0x14c001…
10-08 00:54:35	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	SELL	283	21¢	$59	0x8a4a3a…
10-08 00:50:02	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	SELL	561	21¢	$118	0x406eaa…
10-08 00:49:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	No	SELL	1,458	72¢	$1,049	0x484374…
10-08 00:49:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	No	SELL	542	73¢	$396	0x9a678e…
10-08 00:47:52	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	SELL	606	21¢	$127	0x5eb6af…
10-03 03:02:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0xd9cec4…
10-01 17:27:59	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	No	BUY	1,950	42¢	$819	0xa9cfd0…
10-01 16:22:17	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	BUY	750	42¢	$315	0xd18b01…
10-01 15:37:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	BUY	250	42¢	$105	0x0762f9…
10-01 15:36:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	BUY	250	42¢	$105	0xe9c751…
10-01 15:32:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	BUY	250	42¢	$105	0x9304b5…
10-01 15:31:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	BUY	250	42¢	$105	0x946999…
10-01 15:31:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	BUY	250	42¢	$105	0x5abfc6…
10-01 14:53:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xf78193…
09-29 14:11:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x3861ea…
09-29 14:10:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0xe83f8c…
09-25 16:28:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x4cae8e…
09-25 16:28:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xdfa029…
09-25 16:21:50	will ethereum reach 2900 in september 2026	No	SELL	700	86¢	$602	0xfca5f5…
09-25 16:20:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	No	SELL	1,000	47¢	$472	0xe49ee2…
09-25 16:18:24	will ethereum reach 2900 in september 2026	No	SELL	300	86¢	$258	0xadf07e…
09-22 08:43:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	90	58¢	$52	0x2896b2…
09-22 05:45:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	360	58¢	$209	0x8d8dff…
09-22 01:19:16	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026 from september 20	No	BUY	218	51¢	$111	0xe0486a…
09-22 01:19:16	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026 from september 20	No	BUY	70	51¢	$36	0x558f72…
09-22 01:19:01	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026 from september 20	No	BUY	212	51¢	$108	0xc302d8…
09-22 01:06:16	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026 from september 20	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x9b95fa…
09-22 01:05:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x6f17c6…
09-22 01:05:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x4ef1f5…
09-22 01:05:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x17c9c8…
09-22 01:05:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x0f397b…
09-22 01:05:16	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026 from september 20	No	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0xb9ce37…
09-22 01:05:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x4b5813…
09-22 01:05:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x9b195f…
09-22 01:05:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x422923…
09-22 01:04:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xcb136b…
09-22 01:04:43	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xae3bf3…
09-22 01:04:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xb78388…
09-22 01:04:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xb487f7…
09-22 01:04:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x5b63c9…
09-22 01:04:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x3a2596…
09-22 01:04:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x67a4c4…
09-22 01:03:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x3a0104…
09-22 01:03:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x66cd4b…
09-22 01:03:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xe9de4e…
09-22 01:03:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x8763fe…
09-22 01:03:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x50b3cd…
09-22 01:03:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xd0788b…