Agile-Lemur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

412

lifetime

Volume

$40.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

$131

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 07-01 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

43% 100% +$9

Sports

42% — —

Tech

8% — —

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	+62	$50	80¢	$50	$-0	06-30 22:32
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	+82	$50	60¢	$49	$-1	06-30 22:32
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	+58	$30	55¢	$31	+$1	06-30 22:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$2.3K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	06-26 06:03
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2.0K	2,008	0	+2,008	open	—	06-16 04:17
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1.8K	913	913	+0	open	—	06-27 14:48
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	2	$1.2K	604	604	+0	open	—	06-12 18:58
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	7	$1.1K	1,345	0	+1,345	open	—	06-29 22:45
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$1.1K	547	547	+0	open	—	06-29 19:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	2	$1.0K	509	509	+0	open	—	06-12 18:59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	2	$1.0K	509	509	+0	open	—	06-12 18:59
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 4pt5	2	$1.0K	505	505	+0	open	—	06-12 21:27
fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	1	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	06-15 00:53
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$900	957	0	+957	open	—	06-26 03:57
Will South Africa reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$800	801	0	+801	open	—	06-28 09:28
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$800	847	0	+847	open	—	06-27 22:43
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$750	907	0	+907	open	—	06-27 22:47
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	6	$739	1,061	169	+892	open	—	06-30 03:09
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$664	639	112	+527	open	—	06-28 03:59
world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	5	$626	333	333	+0	open	—	06-29 23:45
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	3	$620	664	0	+664	open	—	06-15 17:49
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$616	319	319	+0	open	—	06-25 21:53
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 8pt5	2	$600	624	0	+624	open	—	06-18 23:32
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$568	819	378	+441	open	—	06-24 12:35
fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 team total home 0pt5	4	$516	266	266	+0	open	—	06-26 19:14
fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 5pt5	1	$500	514	0	+514	open	—	06-14 01:44
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	1	$500	516	0	+516	open	—	06-16 20:22
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	1	$500	516	0	+516	open	—	06-14 21:26
fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	1	$500	518	0	+518	open	—	06-24 13:56
fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 spread away 1pt5	2	$409	213	213	+0	open	—	06-18 16:09
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$403	205	205	+0	open	—	06-26 06:02
fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 6pt5	2	$403	203	203	+0	open	—	06-27 05:04
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$400	428	0	+428	open	—	06-28 03:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 02:34:17	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 extra time	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf0d52a…
07-01 02:34:07	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 penalty shootout	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x9acc9d…
07-01 02:29:59	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x5f5ae5…
07-01 00:54:13	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x885a2e…
06-30 22:32:59	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x7f9e18…
06-30 22:32:43	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x90b51f…
06-30 22:32:32	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x4635d7…
06-30 22:24:20	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0xe45506…
06-30 21:41:19	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x563b05…
06-30 17:51:22	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	175	77¢	$135	0xe4625f…
06-30 17:38:17	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf51d06…
06-30 10:13:49	btc updown 5m 1782814200	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbb682f…
06-30 10:12:11	btc updown 5m 1782814200	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3da668…
06-30 10:08:29	btc updown 5m 1782813900	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x80cb8c…
06-30 10:05:29	btc updown 5m 1782813900	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x3b6296…
06-30 10:00:20	btc updown 5m 1782813600	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2233cb…
06-30 09:58:50	world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	Mbappe	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x5c46e4…
06-30 09:55:11	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	54	89¢	$48	0x85f977…
06-30 09:54:28	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x987e21…
06-30 09:52:59	world cup will argentina play portugal 20260623182251496	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x28d958…
06-30 09:49:19	Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	201	97¢	$196	0xf35e3c…
06-30 07:15:53	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x59ed7d…
06-30 06:49:29	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xfc0c2d…
06-30 03:09:05	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0x051b51…
06-30 03:00:44	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	157	51¢	$80	0x265724…
06-30 02:53:58	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xbb9ca0…
06-30 02:36:16	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xf25e75…
06-30 02:35:29	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	SELL	169	82¢	$139	0x7bf513…
06-30 00:59:46	btc updown 5m 1782780900	Down	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x10328d…
06-30 00:59:01	btc updown 5m 1782780900	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb7ea58…
06-30 00:57:38	btc updown 5m 1782780900	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x29301f…
06-30 00:57:16	world cup goals h2h mbappe vspt kane 20260604010452299	Mbappe	SELL	77	73¢	$56	0xb12543…
06-30 00:51:35	btc updown 5m 1782780600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb61e9b…
06-30 00:51:07	btc updown 5m 1782780600	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x471ddc…
06-30 00:49:17	btc updown 5m 1782780300	Down	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xda9698…
06-30 00:48:26	btc updown 5m 1782780300	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9e442b…
06-30 00:45:31	btc updown 5m 1782780300	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x840906…
06-30 00:45:01	btc updown 15m 1782779400	Down	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x82d856…
06-30 00:44:47	btc updown 5m 1782780000	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x225536…
06-30 00:40:25	btc updown 5m 1782780000	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xda186e…
06-30 00:39:59	btc updown 15m 1782779400	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xd2df8c…
06-29 23:47:10	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x08a466…
06-29 23:45:44	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	110	93¢	$102	0x9c693c…
06-29 23:45:34	world cup goals h2h haaland vspt alvarez 20260604011418095	Haaland	SELL	110	93¢	$103	0x24fd7e…
06-29 23:45:19	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	SELL	106	96¢	$102	0xbf7e7d…
06-29 23:44:38	Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$100	0x14c7f6…
06-29 22:45:38	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0xe5d7eb…
06-29 22:45:29	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x442b19…
06-29 22:42:04	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x86fb08…
06-29 22:31:01	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0x3faa01…
06-29 21:38:16	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xd566cb…
06-29 21:13:46	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x3e0076…
06-29 20:29:43	will paraguay reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134481	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x2fd3c2…
06-29 20:29:16	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x11fd57…
06-29 20:28:37	Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x9f9ac6…
06-29 19:18:58	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x8fcd72…
06-29 19:13:59	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xf01605…
06-29 19:13:46	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x697cc4…
06-29 19:13:23	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	SELL	173	100¢	$172	0xd468ee…
06-29 19:12:01	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	547	100¢	$547	0xb7cf51…
06-29 19:01:17	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xab5b7f…
06-29 18:01:19	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x1b30e0…
06-29 18:00:29	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xa7a7e3…
06-29 17:56:44	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x0c5773…
06-29 17:11:34	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x913e02…
06-29 17:08:20	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x7bb15b…
06-28 09:32:58	will south africa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134469	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb5b6c9…
06-28 09:32:43	will canada reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134471	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x736155…
06-28 09:29:56	will south africa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149711	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xd0aa89…
06-28 09:29:37	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x67cd09…
06-28 09:28:32	Will South Africa reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	801	100¢	$800	0xd7ee94…
06-28 09:27:58	Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc43499…
06-28 08:26:47	world cup will argentina play portugal 20260623182251496	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xbd3e34…
06-28 08:24:23	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x6223fe…
06-28 08:23:46	world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	Mbappe	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0a5a7c…
06-28 08:23:16	world cup goals h2h mbappe vspt kane 20260604010452299	Mbappe	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x024361…
06-28 08:21:44	world cup goals h2h haaland vspt alvarez 20260604011418095	Haaland	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xca79a3…
06-28 03:59:11	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x6c939a…
06-28 03:57:56	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0x10b67d…
06-28 03:56:02	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x5c7b0b…
06-28 03:39:47	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x1ed687…
06-28 03:39:41	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xb5d8a7…
06-28 03:26:43	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x8fc94d…
06-28 03:21:34	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2e4660…
06-28 03:21:10	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xa7834e…
06-28 02:58:02	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x43b331…
06-28 02:50:41	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x8d90f3…
06-28 02:43:04	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x18a636…
06-28 02:27:02	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	112	48¢	$54	0x69c918…
06-28 01:22:41	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x855118…
06-28 01:06:10	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	37¢	$20	0x5dab38…
06-28 00:53:02	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x74d293…
06-28 00:05:56	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x3e5bb7…
06-27 23:40:26	will england go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622445	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xf07f12…
06-27 22:47:40	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x6b3f5c…
06-27 22:43:55	Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x04a527…
06-27 21:04:31	Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x3baee3…
06-27 14:56:26	will argentina go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622429	Yes	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x0519e2…
06-27 14:56:04	will england go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622445	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc5d6e9…
06-27 14:48:02	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	913	100¢	$911	0x4b8d8e…