International-Mezzanine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

$344

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-05 09:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$2

Sports

30% 100% +$20

Crypto

21% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+240	$219	90¢	$215	$-4	06-03 12:07
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No		-135	$-127	95¢	$-129	$-1	06-04 03:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	12	$693	350	350	+0	open	—	03-21 02:19
will netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$669	337	337	+0	open	—	02-16 11:30
ethereum up or down on february 25	2	$431	216	216	+0	open	—	02-25 15:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	1	$393	400	0	+400	open	—	04-15 08:49
will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$336	343	0	+343	open	—	02-16 11:33
will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	1	$330	352	0	+352	open	—	06-05 09:21
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$310	159	159	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 19:10
atp lehecka fils 2026 03 27	2	$295	250	250	+0	open	—	03-27 13:17
will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	4	$254	129	129	+0	open	—	02-26 16:02
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	4	$245	127	127	+0	open	—	02-04 12:52
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$219	240	0	+240	open	—	06-03 12:07
si hit 55 low jan 2026 373 679 385	3	$205	104	104	+0	open	—	01-28 14:19
gc hit 4000 low jan 2026 688 743 639 929	4	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	01-28 14:19
will gta 6 cost 100	3	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	01-28 14:17
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	1	$128	129	0	+129	open	—	02-25 15:17
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	2	$127	0	135	-135	open	—	06-04 03:38
will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	1	$114	115	0	+115	open	—	03-06 14:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-29 12:20
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	1	$99	101	0	+101	open	—	01-14 15:01
will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-27 13:31
will curacao reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120754	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	06-03 12:08
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	1	$55	68	0	+68	open	—	05-22 11:00
will the next dutch government be glpvda vvd d66	1	$23	0	23	-23	open	—	01-28 14:19
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$19	39	0	+39	Yes	+$20	05-06 16:30
fifa world cup 2026 qualification longshots parlay	2	$18	24	0	+24	open	—	03-04 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 09:21:45	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	352	94¢	$330	0x87bf95…
06-04 03:38:33	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	SELL	134	94¢	$126	0x71baf6…
06-03 22:57:39	Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb85bdd…
06-03 12:08:48	will curacao reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120754	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xcc11fb…
06-03 12:07:17	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	240	91¢	$219	0x1757e0…
05-22 11:00:48	Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	81¢	$55	0x577283…
05-12 19:10:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	159	98¢	$156	0x1a7f94…
05-12 18:29:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	159	97¢	$154	0x7b73da…
05-06 16:30:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	39	48¢	$19	0x074338…
04-29 12:20:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x96339b…
04-15 08:49:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$393	0xc3118d…
03-27 13:31:15	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd9a11a…
03-27 13:17:17	atp lehecka fils 2026 03 27	Arthur Fils	SELL	250	60¢	$150	0x3f1390…
03-26 09:06:55	atp lehecka fils 2026 03 27	Arthur Fils	BUY	250	58¢	$145	0xc32ed5…
03-21 02:19:19	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4fa463…
03-21 02:18:21	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x5c59ea…
03-21 02:16:29	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc399cc…
03-21 02:11:59	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x6bc341…
03-21 02:02:01	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd2e76b…
03-21 01:37:23	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x0d745d…
03-21 01:32:27	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc15f6e…
03-21 01:28:25	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5d8294…
03-21 01:23:39	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x500f3a…
03-06 14:23:17	will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	No	BUY	115	98¢	$114	0x71362d…
03-04 14:17:23	fifa world cup 2026 qualification longshots parlay	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x83eaf1…
03-04 10:32:25	fifa world cup 2026 qualification longshots parlay	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xb25023…
03-02 15:39:51	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	130	98¢	$128	0x0ce93c…
03-02 14:19:11	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x915973…
03-02 14:18:51	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	145	98¢	$142	0xac96fe…
02-26 16:02:22	will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x123011…
02-25 15:54:46	ethereum up or down on february 25	Up	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0x4660a4…
02-25 15:29:58	ethereum up or down on february 25	Up	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0x88d8a7…
02-25 15:17:50	will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0xefb5f0…
02-16 11:33:23	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	343	98¢	$336	0xfca9c7…
02-16 11:30:57	will netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	337	100¢	$337	0x416f39…
02-04 15:58:57	will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x07d7c1…
02-04 15:13:44	will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xac3a55…
02-04 15:11:12	will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	No	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0x8760b3…
02-04 12:52:44	will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	Yes	SELL	127	98¢	$124	0x61fd3a…
01-28 14:20:49	will netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	282	98¢	$278	0x63aea8…
01-28 14:19:47	will the next dutch government be glpvda vvd d66	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x4f7377…
01-28 14:19:27	si hit 55 low jan 2026 373 679 385	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xeec3b6…
01-28 14:19:25	gc hit 4000 low jan 2026 688 743 639 929	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x69e9b7…
01-28 14:18:53	will netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xf0e348…
01-28 14:17:51	will gta 6 cost 100	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x181a97…
01-19 19:01:52	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x3ed82a…
01-19 18:59:48	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x33c672…
01-16 14:56:28	will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x173d9b…
01-15 17:09:12	gc hit 4000 low jan 2026 688 743 639 929	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xf029f9…
01-15 12:06:22	gc hit 4000 low jan 2026 688 743 639 929	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xd49110…
01-15 09:16:32	si hit 55 low jan 2026 373 679 385	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x2a7766…
01-15 08:38:40	si hit 55 low jan 2026 373 679 385	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xf6bec7…
01-15 04:19:50	gc hit 4000 low jan 2026 688 743 639 929	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x4916de…
01-14 15:01:22	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	Yes	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xfdc244…
01-09 15:55:18	will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	Yes	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0xa586c3…
01-09 15:55:18	will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4898ce…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	19	$2.15K	630	06-02 23:31
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	16	$757	570	06-05 06:32
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	15	$31.7K	584	06-08 07:35
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	15	$3.90K	2,939	04-15 19:30
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	13	$5.93K	85	04-19 22:04
Supportive-Gene 0x214c…6378	12	$37.1K	385	05-02 10:06
Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19	11	$33.8K	666	04-25 11:24
Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504	11	$15.6K	522	04-25 01:30