S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?
open
Total volume
$3,555
$20,104 in 24h
Trades
95
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$36,675
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 20:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.0¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $1.4K
vs crowd: 23% YES on $3.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $423 | $970 | $547 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 39 | $322 | $1.5K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $423 | $970 | $547 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $34 | $47 | $13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $11 | $5 | +$5 |
| Median | 4 | — | $174 | $174 |
| Below median | 7 | $19 | $152 | $133 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $124 | $779 | $655 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $64 | $290 | $226 |
| unranked | 8 | $53 | $25 | +$28 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ugly-Harmonica 0x3234…8b1a | Down | +1,171 | $970 | $970 | 2 | 05-12 19:45 |
| Poor-Blogger 0xe157…51eb | Up | +961 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 17:01 |
| Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | +949 | $423 | $423 | 5 | 05-12 03:30 |
| Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Down | +867 | $779 | $779 | 7 | 05-12 19:50 |
| Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Up | +749 | $102 | $102 | 5 | 05-12 19:47 |
| Good-Convenience 0x9f3f…5488 | Up | +483 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-12 19:12 |
| e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 0xdefe…17f4 | Down | +300 | $270 | $270 | 1 | 05-12 14:28 |
| Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | +203 | $64 | $64 | 15 | 05-12 13:58 |
| Gargantuan-Operation 0x3024…b996 | Up | +155 | $22 | $22 | 6 | 05-12 19:57 |
| Naughty-Decency 0xacb8…570d | Down | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 19:20 |
| Fat-Harmonise 0xc512…7fdf | Up | +100 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-12 19:26 |
| Worthless-Signup 0x3f20…5d9b | Up | +98 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 19:52 |
| Stimulating-Theater 0x660f…ec30 | Up | +94 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 18:42 |
| Any-Impression 0x211f…8e0f | Up | +80 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 15:38 |
| Petty-Bend 0x1e0e…5347 | Up | +62 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 13:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x4595…4353 | Down | +61 | $61 | $92 | 2 | 05-12 19:35 |
| Juicy-Turtle 0xebcd…d2ef | Down | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-12 16:17 |
| Heavy-Syndicate 0x9dca…7b6c | Down | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-12 19:57 |
| Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Down | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-12 19:55 |
| Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Up | +40 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-12 00:13 |
| Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | +35 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 05-12 04:45 |
| Buttery-Rugby 0x38ba…bcf9 | Up | +32 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 13:12 |
| Stunning-Miscommunication 0x59d5…e993 | Down | +32 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-12 11:27 |
| Keen-Import 0xfa09…7dd3 | Up | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 19:32 |
| Wavy-Glutamate 0x5a1a…6fc0 | Up | +24 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 01:58 |
| Monstrous-Delay 0xfb8e…a405 | Up | +20 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-12 01:38 |
| Profuse-Inevitable 0x1034…be24 | Down | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-12 19:36 |
| Sad-Thorn 0x3822…d7e5 | Up | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 01:33 |
| Busy-Soap 0x0e68…826b | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 01:38 |
| Frail-Item 0x06ce…0b8b | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-12 01:24 |
| Tense-Shack 0x7092…657a | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 22:31 |
| Motherly-Coliseum 0xadb4…1295 | Up | +8 | $4 | $9 | 2 | 05-12 10:27 |
| Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 13:58 |
| Irresponsible-Jelly 0xf4b5…c01f | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 18:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 20:20:42 | Neighboring-Bunch 0xe2bf…b03b | Down | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4d98b4… |
| 05-12 19:57:53 | Heavy-Syndicate 0x9dca…7b6c | Down | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xce9255… |
| 05-12 19:57:50 | Gargantuan-Operation 0x3024…b996 | Up | BUY | 64 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xb2ebc3… |
| 05-12 19:56:24 | Incomparable-Porpoise 0x34f4…16bd | Up | SELL | 460 | 4¢ | $16 | 0x71e9cb… |
| 05-12 19:56:19 | Gargantuan-Operation 0x3024…b996 | Up | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x690581… |
| 05-12 19:56:14 | Gargantuan-Operation 0x3024…b996 | Up | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x868fd3… |
| 05-12 19:55:18 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Down | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0xb5b175… |
| 05-12 19:52:31 | Worthless-Signup 0x3f20…5d9b | Up | BUY | 98 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x64711e… |
| 05-12 19:50:36 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Down | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $45 | 0xf5bac7… |
| 05-12 19:50:32 | Baggy-Giant 0xebf6…857e | Down | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $45 | 0x7fc731… |
| 05-12 19:47:29 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Up | BUY | 150 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xf5da02… |
| 05-12 19:47:29 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Up | BUY | 149 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x36f065… |
| 05-12 19:46:08 | Somber-Shoat 0x46f1…ffde | Up | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7581ad… |
| 05-12 19:45:21 | Ugly-Harmonica 0x3234…8b1a | Down | BUY | 800 | 95¢ | $758 | 0x2017ab… |
| 05-12 19:36:15 | Profuse-Inevitable 0x1034…be24 | Down | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x24bf51… |
| 05-12 19:35:24 | (anonymous) 0x4595…4353 | Down | SELL | 17 | 89¢ | $15 | 0xe524d9… |
| 05-12 19:32:33 | Keen-Import 0xfa09…7dd3 | Up | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x24d2bf… |
| 05-12 19:27:19 | Somber-Shoat 0x46f1…ffde | Up | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb4aaea… |
| 05-12 19:26:25 | Fat-Harmonise 0xc512…7fdf | Up | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x823eeb… |
| 05-12 19:25:24 | Fat-Harmonise 0xc512…7fdf | Up | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x9dd988… |
| 05-12 19:21:12 | Somber-Shoat 0x46f1…ffde | Up | SELL | 134 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x350638… |
| 05-12 19:20:30 | Naughty-Decency 0xacb8…570d | Down | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x33d7f0… |
| 05-12 19:12:29 | Good-Convenience 0x9f3f…5488 | Up | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x940543… |
| 05-12 19:07:21 | (anonymous) 0x4595…4353 | Down | BUY | 78 | 98¢ | $76 | 0x91ace5… |
| 05-12 18:57:34 | Incomparable-Porpoise 0x34f4…16bd | Up | BUY | 203 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x44831f… |
| 05-12 18:42:23 | Stimulating-Theater 0x660f…ec30 | Up | BUY | 94 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x0d0a52… |
| 05-12 18:02:23 | Irresponsible-Jelly 0xf4b5…c01f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x293df6… |
| 05-12 17:01:35 | Poor-Blogger 0xe157…51eb | Up | BUY | 961 | 0¢ | $4 | 0xb16766… |
| 05-12 16:17:02 | Juicy-Turtle 0xebcd…d2ef | Down | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x1a6338… |
| 05-12 16:01:52 | Good-Convenience 0x9f3f…5488 | Up | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x87f6d0… |
| 05-12 16:01:23 | Good-Convenience 0x9f3f…5488 | Up | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xfd7022… |
| 05-12 15:38:17 | Any-Impression 0x211f…8e0f | Up | BUY | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xe6b5e0… |
| 05-12 15:28:13 | Impossible-Pamphlet 0xc8a5…3c5d | Up | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xee574f… |
| 05-12 15:08:19 | Another-Kilt 0x8251…879d | Up | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbe44eb… |
| 05-12 14:28:03 | e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 0xdefe…17f4 | Up | SELL | 150 | 10¢ | $15 | 0x03bbc0… |
| 05-12 14:28:03 | e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 0xdefe…17f4 | Down | BUY | 300 | 90¢ | $270 | 0x05e22a… |
| 05-12 14:28:01 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Down | BUY | 150 | 90¢ | $135 | 0x9e9a06… |
| 05-12 14:27:54 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Down | BUY | 150 | 90¢ | $135 | 0x795947… |
| 05-12 14:27:54 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Down | BUY | 150 | 90¢ | $135 | 0x2e2dba… |
| 05-12 14:27:54 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Down | BUY | 150 | 90¢ | $135 | 0x57d392… |
| 05-12 14:27:52 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Down | BUY | 150 | 90¢ | $135 | 0xd7cd16… |
| 05-12 14:23:07 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Down | BUY | 67 | 87¢ | $58 | 0x59f307… |
| 05-12 14:22:51 | Baggy-Giant 0xebf6…857e | Down | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x22d96f… |
| 05-12 13:58:00 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | Down | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x9169d5… |
| 05-12 13:58:00 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf4ca0f… |
| 05-12 13:57:53 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5e4eed… |
| 05-12 13:57:53 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe6f060… |
| 05-12 13:57:53 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x265cd8… |
| 05-12 13:43:06 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x4f6296… |
| 05-12 13:43:06 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Up | BUY | 150 | 20¢ | $30 | 0xa835ac… |
| 05-12 13:43:02 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Up | BUY | 150 | 20¢ | $30 | 0x375bc8… |
| 05-12 13:42:57 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Up | BUY | 150 | 20¢ | $30 | 0x967f87… |
| 05-12 13:37:56 | Gargantuan-Operation 0x3024…b996 | Up | BUY | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x1bf1cc… |
| 05-12 13:33:06 | Gargantuan-Operation 0x3024…b996 | Up | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xf7285b… |
| 05-12 13:33:02 | Gargantuan-Operation 0x3024…b996 | Up | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x7719e0… |
| 05-12 13:23:02 | Petty-Bend 0x1e0e…5347 | Up | BUY | 62 | 32¢ | $20 | 0x852812… |
| 05-12 13:12:58 | Buttery-Rugby 0x38ba…bcf9 | Up | BUY | 32 | 34¢ | $11 | 0xccc230… |
| 05-12 12:52:52 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xe2f011… |
| 05-12 12:52:51 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x66bb94… |
| 05-12 12:52:49 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x2dccc5… |
| 05-12 12:52:49 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 13 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xfceb09… |
| 05-12 11:27:48 | Stunning-Miscommunication 0x59d5…e993 | Down | BUY | 32 | 77¢ | $25 | 0xd1474c… |
| 05-12 10:27:18 | Motherly-Coliseum 0xadb4…1295 | Up | SELL | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x74b5b9… |
| 05-12 10:17:39 | (anonymous) 0xbb10…0508 | Down | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x59c64a… |
| 05-12 10:07:39 | Dazzling-Safari 0x6061…5090 | Down | SELL | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x96216b… |
| 05-12 04:45:44 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | BUY | 8 | 53¢ | $4 | 0xd9e96a… |
| 05-12 04:00:51 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $5 | 0xd8a9a1… |
| 05-12 03:30:53 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 250 | 46¢ | $115 | 0x122b57… |
| 05-12 03:30:53 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 250 | 46¢ | $115 | 0x62e942… |
| 05-12 03:30:52 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 250 | 46¢ | $115 | 0xdb3d3e… |
| 05-12 02:44:20 | Fumbling-Celebrity 0x4e93…be55 | Up | SELL | 17 | 43¢ | $7 | 0xed654e… |
| 05-12 02:44:12 | Ugly-Harmonica 0x3234…8b1a | Down | BUY | 371 | 57¢ | $211 | 0x6adc29… |
| 05-12 02:14:04 | Fumbling-Celebrity 0x4e93…be55 | Down | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x3b3b13… |
| 05-12 01:58:54 | Wavy-Glutamate 0x5a1a…6fc0 | Up | BUY | 24 | 42¢ | $10 | 0x6bc1d8… |
| 05-12 01:54:03 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x38c57b… |
| 05-12 01:54:02 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | BUY | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0x6c9bb6… |
| 05-12 01:38:50 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 40 | 38¢ | $15 | 0x36e8d3… |
| 05-12 01:38:50 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 14 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x8601b9… |
| 05-12 01:38:50 | Motherly-Coliseum 0xadb4…1295 | Up | BUY | 16 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x56e111… |
| 05-12 01:38:50 | Busy-Soap 0x0e68…826b | Up | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xb6bd9f… |
| 05-12 01:38:50 | Monstrous-Delay 0xfb8e…a405 | Up | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x0d641f… |
| 05-12 01:38:50 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 14 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x892dfa… |
| 05-12 01:38:50 | Monstrous-Delay 0xfb8e…a405 | Up | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x3a2a4a… |
| 05-12 01:38:50 | Altruistic-Gambling 0x264c…baca | Up | SELL | 649 | 40¢ | $257 | 0x157a32… |
| 05-12 01:38:50 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 178 | 38¢ | $68 | 0xcb9244… |
| 05-12 01:33:26 | Sad-Thorn 0x3822…d7e5 | Up | BUY | 11 | 46¢ | $5 | 0xb85514… |
| 05-12 01:24:10 | Frail-Item 0x06ce…0b8b | Down | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x5986e4… |
| 05-12 01:23:35 | Frail-Item 0x06ce…0b8b | Down | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x084858… |
| 05-12 00:18:32 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 21 | 51¢ | $11 | 0x0d8b0d… |
| 05-12 00:13:10 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Up | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x61bdf4… |
| 05-12 00:12:44 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Up | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x149634… |
| 05-11 22:31:05 | Tense-Shack 0x7092…657a | Down | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x279afc… |
| 05-11 22:19:02 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x83998c… |
| 05-11 22:19:02 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $7 | 0x1a8582… |
| 05-11 22:19:02 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x34b26a… |