Speedy-Truth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.51K

Hit rate

77.1%

Resolved

739

Trades

5,916

lifetime

Volume

$622.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

$10.2K

11 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-26 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

85% 58% +$22,530

Politics

12% 50% -$674

Crypto

3% 33% +$20,608

Tech

0% 67% -$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10,000	$5,553	37¢	$3.7K	-$1,888	10-19 12:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+3,000	$2,460	94¢	$2.8K	+$345	10-19 04:02
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	+1,420	$1,391	99¢	$1.4K	+$10	10-26 13:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+3,258	$1,056	30¢	$977	-$79	10-19 16:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+2,000	$960	46¢	$910	-$50	10-21 20:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	+410	$230	60¢	$244	+$14	10-26 12:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+3,000	$921	6¢	$195	-$726	10-23 18:10
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	+413	$58	12¢	$47	-$10	10-26 13:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	+0	-$339	99¢	$0	+$339	10-21 06:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	15¢	$0	$0	10-24 05:50
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$537	2¢	$0	+$537	10-23 19:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	18	$27.9K	16,616	16,616	+0	Yes	+$607	08-02 16:30
will xrp dip to 1pt05 on august 20 2026	35	$19.8K	30,101	17,033	+13,068	No	+$20,676	08-21 00:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	20	$16.4K	9,564	9,564	+0	Yes	+$1,918	09-18 09:23
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?	47	$14.8K	11,021	11,021	+0	Yes	+$908	06-24 12:54
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	19	$13.4K	9,342	9,342	+0	Yes	+$1,201	08-17 18:29
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	21	$10.3K	6,037	6,037	+0	No	+$370	08-30 19:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	62	$10.1K	10,385	10,385	+0	No	-$100	08-27 14:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	9	$9.4K	15,071	5,071	+10,000	open	—	10-19 12:36
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	67	$8.8K	7,733	7,733	+0	No	+$510	06-29 11:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	20	$8.5K	5,200	5,200	+0	open	—	10-21 06:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	41	$7.2K	8,592	3,055	+5,537	Up	+$407	05-06 19:02
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	19	$5.9K	3,658	3,658	+0	Yes	-$13	05-26 02:33
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	43	$5.7K	6,148	6,148	+0	Yes	+$656	07-19 23:33
will wti dip to 100 in september 2026 from september 14	16	$5.7K	3,124	3,124	+0	Yes	+$514	09-17 12:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	5	$5.6K	5,068	5,068	+0	Yes	-$594	10-24 09:54
spy up or down on july 22 2026	64	$5.5K	8,257	0	+8,257	Down	+$1,708	07-22 19:48
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	23	$5.4K	7,734	7,734	+0	open	—	10-23 19:12
ng up or down on september 24 2026	8	$5.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	Up	+$300	09-24 20:12
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?	57	$4.7K	7,013	7,583	-570	No	+$174	06-17 15:28
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	2	$4.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$1,330	09-14 16:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	32	$4.3K	8,012	8,012	+0	open	—	10-09 12:22
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	44	$4.3K	3,974	3,770	+204	No	+$623	05-28 12:10
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?	46	$4.2K	7,063	6,608	+455	No	+$1,217	07-31 20:02
will wti dip to 80 by july 27 2026	14	$4.0K	2,261	2,261	-0	Yes	+$350	07-28 09:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	17	$4.0K	6,053	6,053	+0	Down	+$941	05-28 14:49
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	22	$3.6K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$311	05-15 14:43
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	8	$3.6K	2,303	2,303	+0	Yes	+$21	09-18 21:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15?	27	$3.6K	2,940	2,661	+278	No	+$885	05-15 17:11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	38	$3.5K	7,271	7,271	+0	Down	+$341	05-21 20:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$3.4K	6,092	92	+6,000	open	—	10-23 18:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:44:56	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xa55895…
10-26 15:35:33	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	89¢	$39	0x5fd82f…
10-26 13:26:51	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	169	5¢	$8	0xb2465e…
10-26 13:20:15	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	413	14¢	$58	0xd61ea7…
10-26 13:12:18	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	81¢	$71	0x3c7fcb…
10-26 13:04:06	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	BUY	1,420	98¢	$1,391	0x07ea15…
10-26 12:43:18	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	169	5¢	$8	0xe6e3a0…
10-26 12:12:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	410	56¢	$230	0x683caa…
10-26 11:51:05	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	916	13¢	$119	0x6b2d4e…
10-26 11:33:38	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	62¢	$279	0xe3944d…
10-26 11:32:06	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x52b7cc…
10-25 18:07:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	SELL	767	66¢	$506	0x2184dd…
10-24 16:59:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0xa60165…
10-24 15:27:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	600	2¢	$10	0x0c5a94…
10-24 15:20:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0x4dc545…
10-24 15:20:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x46d011…
10-24 15:19:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0xd543f2…
10-24 15:19:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x40d18f…
10-24 15:19:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x84c14b…
10-24 15:19:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x15604a…
10-24 15:18:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0x3e43a1…
10-24 15:18:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	193	2¢	$4	0x11c152…
10-24 15:18:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	277	2¢	$5	0xefdca5…
10-24 09:54:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	2,000	1¢	$14	0x50c7cf…
10-24 05:50:11	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	18¢	$25	0x34cff7…
10-24 05:39:20	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	770	18¢	$139	0x9bcbfd…
10-24 04:03:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xc40da4…
10-24 02:43:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x21feb8…
10-24 01:36:24	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xd23290…
10-24 01:36:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x5f9ae8…
10-24 01:36:05	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xbc2e8d…
10-24 01:35:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xb0a39a…
10-24 01:35:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x731d17…
10-24 01:35:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xc3d692…
10-24 01:34:32	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x5cb985…
10-24 01:34:21	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x09810b…
10-24 01:34:11	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x245948…
10-24 01:34:02	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x298dde…
10-23 20:04:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x38e483…
10-23 20:04:36	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xc03fb3…
10-23 20:04:36	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x407bc5…
10-23 20:03:36	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0x6a56a6…
10-23 19:37:47	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3,000	7¢	$221	0x37723a…
10-23 19:36:42	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	10¢	$296	0x71a19a…
10-23 19:12:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	764	45¢	$344	0x39981a…
10-23 19:12:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	45¢	$77	0x27d089…
10-23 19:12:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	45¢	$19	0x6a533c…
10-23 19:10:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	403	45¢	$181	0xb9d6e6…
10-23 19:09:08	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	84	18¢	$15	0xb28631…
10-23 19:08:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,361	43¢	$582	0x60c3b5…
10-23 19:08:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x2838e5…
10-23 18:10:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	92	24¢	$22	0x8d1250…
10-23 18:10:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	219	11¢	$24	0xb4d130…
10-23 17:25:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,354	39¢	$1,295	0xa83397…
10-23 17:10:59	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,354	30¢	$994	0x018bc3…
10-23 16:48:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,998	36¢	$1,074	0x7fa910…
10-23 16:47:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x1c3215…
10-23 16:13:08	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0xb362d1…
10-23 16:09:42	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	727	28¢	$203	0x7ef1ec…
10-23 16:08:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	339	29¢	$98	0x44de4c…
10-23 16:08:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	29¢	$18	0x2fbf52…
10-23 16:08:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0x14146d…
10-23 16:08:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xfb412a…
10-23 16:08:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xf67b1d…
10-23 16:08:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xa9e768…
10-23 16:08:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0x09320a…
10-23 16:08:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	29¢	$23	0xda1c7a…
10-23 16:07:42	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	655	24¢	$154	0x069390…
10-23 16:07:38	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x0b4865…
10-23 16:07:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	28¢	$20	0x7319a6…
10-23 16:07:08	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x01efc2…
10-23 16:06:59	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0x6cecc3…
10-23 16:06:41	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0xa08b6d…
10-23 16:06:29	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	27¢	$32	0x064288…
10-23 16:05:02	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x66b41b…
10-23 15:48:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	2,807	10¢	$281	0x918cd7…
10-23 12:08:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	767	64¢	$491	0x52ff2a…
10-22 22:49:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,677	19¢	$319	0xe81eea…
10-22 20:31:38	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$219	0xcdbfc6…
10-22 01:52:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,176	54¢	$1,186	0xee7bbb…
10-21 20:33:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2,000	48¢	$960	0x8d1e27…
10-21 20:26:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,471	30¢	$441	0x45330a…
10-21 20:26:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xaeefa1…
10-21 20:25:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x49a616…
10-21 20:24:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,492	31¢	$462	0x7c04ac…
10-21 20:22:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,858	19¢	$353	0xe21806…
10-21 20:20:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	142	19¢	$27	0xe08b60…
10-21 20:18:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	3,068	81¢	$2,471	0x98fdcd…
10-21 17:24:32	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,775	57¢	$1,012	0x6bfa11…
10-21 17:19:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x1576ae…
10-21 15:12:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,677	21¢	$349	0x18d609…
10-21 15:03:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,526	20¢	$508	0xcb296a…
10-21 14:29:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,526	18¢	$446	0x33307e…
10-21 13:49:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x16805c…
10-21 06:05:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	364	96¢	$351	0xfc47eb…
10-21 06:05:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x105d2e…
10-21 06:04:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x27e3fa…
10-21 05:51:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	290	96¢	$279	0x8713f9…
10-21 05:51:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	290	96¢	$279	0x974b9c…
10-21 05:51:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xea5b97…