Speedy-Truth — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$23.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$381

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved (90d)

185

Trades (90d)

1,022

5,866 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$224.9K

$621.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

$3.00K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 11-03 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Other

84% 58% +$23,214

Politics

12% 50% -$210

Crypto

3% 33% +$20,608

Tech

0% 67% -$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+3,000	$2,460	76¢	$2.3K	-$176	10-19 04:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+3,000	$921	24¢	$716	-$206	10-23 18:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	15¢	$0	$0	10-24 05:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	18	$27.9K	16,616	16,616	+0	Yes	+$607	08-02 16:30
will xrp dip to 1pt05 on august 20 2026	35	$19.8K	30,101	17,033	+13,068	No	+$20,676	08-21 00:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	20	$16.4K	9,564	9,564	+0	Yes	+$1,918	09-18 09:23
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	47	$14.8K	11,021	11,021	+0	Yes	+$908	06-24 12:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	10	$13.5K	15,071	15,071	+0	open	—	11-03 00:44
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	19	$13.4K	9,342	9,342	+0	Yes	+$1,201	08-17 18:29
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	21	$10.3K	6,037	6,037	+0	No	+$370	08-30 19:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	62	$10.1K	10,385	10,385	+0	No	-$100	08-27 14:10
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	67	$8.8K	7,733	7,733	+0	No	+$510	06-29 11:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	20	$8.5K	5,200	5,200	+0	No	+$316	10-21 06:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	41	$7.2K	8,592	3,055	+5,537	Up	+$407	05-06 19:02
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	19	$5.9K	3,658	3,658	+0	Yes	-$13	05-26 02:33
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	43	$5.7K	6,148	6,148	+0	Yes	+$656	07-19 23:33
will wti dip to 100 in september 2026 from september 14	16	$5.7K	3,124	3,124	+0	Yes	+$514	09-17 12:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	5	$5.6K	5,068	5,068	+0	Yes	-$594	10-24 09:54
spy up or down on july 22 2026	64	$5.5K	8,257	0	+8,257	Down	+$1,708	07-22 19:48
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	23	$5.4K	7,734	7,734	+0	No	+$537	10-23 19:12
ng up or down on september 24 2026	8	$5.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	Up	+$300	09-24 20:12
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?	57	$4.7K	7,013	7,583	-570	No	+$174	06-17 15:28
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	2	$4.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$1,330	09-14 16:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	32	$4.3K	8,012	8,012	+0	No	-$111	10-09 12:22
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	44	$4.3K	3,974	3,770	+204	No	+$623	05-28 12:10
spcx above 110 on july 31 2026	46	$4.2K	7,063	6,608	+455	No	+$1,217	07-31 20:02
will wti dip to 80 by july 27 2026	14	$4.0K	2,261	2,261	-0	Yes	+$350	07-28 09:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	17	$4.0K	6,053	6,053	+0	Down	+$941	05-28 14:49
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	22	$3.6K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$311	05-15 14:43
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	8	$3.6K	2,303	2,303	+0	Yes	+$21	09-18 21:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15?	27	$3.6K	2,940	2,661	+278	No	+$885	05-15 17:11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	38	$3.5K	7,271	7,271	+0	Down	+$341	05-21 20:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$3.4K	6,092	92	+6,000	open	—	10-23 18:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 00:44:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,000	41¢	$4,101	0x25cacd…
11-02 13:43:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	3,618	40¢	$1,447	0xfc23a6…
10-31 21:41:12	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	SELL	569	36¢	$205	0x810852…
10-30 13:47:04	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xd9de7a…
10-30 00:37:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	4,258	39¢	$1,674	0xbb527b…
10-29 20:09:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	559	40¢	$222	0xdfe8b6…
10-29 17:06:56	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	575	43¢	$249	0x7c261d…
10-29 16:54:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xcc8b3f…
10-29 16:54:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0x922c8a…
10-29 16:54:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	138	13¢	$18	0x039cb5…
10-29 16:02:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	241	12¢	$29	0xc3d0b6…
10-29 16:02:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	521	5¢	$27	0x08a7c6…
10-29 13:43:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	370	10¢	$37	0x61264b…
10-29 13:40:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0xf0fe05…
10-29 13:40:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x255307…
10-29 13:39:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	301	8¢	$23	0xcc4141…
10-29 13:36:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	580	12¢	$69	0xc0c973…
10-29 13:17:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	849	18¢	$152	0x945621…
10-29 00:31:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	707	19¢	$134	0x86a35f…
10-29 00:21:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x87e2f5…
10-28 23:57:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	243	19¢	$46	0xa0318a…
10-28 15:53:02	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	343	85¢	$292	0x1dd995…
10-28 15:52:52	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	413	12¢	$50	0x4abb44…
10-28 15:52:19	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	SELL	1,420	97¢	$1,379	0x7022be…
10-28 01:01:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	1,618	49¢	$792	0xaf8bf9…
10-26 15:44:56	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xa55895…
10-26 15:35:33	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	89¢	$39	0x5fd82f…
10-26 13:26:51	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	169	5¢	$8	0xb2465e…
10-26 13:20:15	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	413	14¢	$58	0xd61ea7…
10-26 13:12:18	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	81¢	$71	0x3c7fcb…
10-26 13:04:06	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	BUY	1,420	98¢	$1,391	0x07ea15…
10-26 12:43:18	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	169	5¢	$8	0xe6e3a0…
10-26 12:12:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	410	56¢	$230	0x683caa…
10-26 11:51:05	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	916	13¢	$119	0x6b2d4e…
10-26 11:33:38	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	62¢	$279	0xe3944d…
10-26 11:32:06	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x52b7cc…
10-25 18:07:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	SELL	767	66¢	$506	0x2184dd…
10-24 16:59:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0xa60165…
10-24 15:27:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	600	2¢	$10	0x0c5a94…
10-24 15:20:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0x4dc545…
10-24 15:20:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x46d011…
10-24 15:19:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0xd543f2…
10-24 15:19:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x40d18f…
10-24 15:19:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x84c14b…
10-24 15:19:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x15604a…
10-24 15:18:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0x3e43a1…
10-24 15:18:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	193	2¢	$4	0x11c152…
10-24 15:18:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	277	2¢	$5	0xefdca5…
10-24 09:54:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	2,000	1¢	$14	0x50c7cf…
10-24 05:50:11	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	18¢	$25	0x34cff7…
10-24 05:39:20	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	770	18¢	$139	0x9bcbfd…
10-24 04:03:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xc40da4…
10-24 02:43:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x21feb8…
10-24 01:36:24	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xd23290…
10-24 01:36:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x5f9ae8…
10-24 01:36:05	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xbc2e8d…
10-24 01:35:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xb0a39a…
10-24 01:35:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x731d17…
10-24 01:35:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xc3d692…
10-24 01:34:32	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x5cb985…
10-24 01:34:21	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x09810b…
10-24 01:34:11	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x245948…
10-24 01:34:02	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x298dde…
10-23 20:04:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x38e483…
10-23 20:04:36	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xc03fb3…
10-23 20:04:36	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x407bc5…
10-23 20:03:36	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0x6a56a6…
10-23 19:37:47	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3,000	7¢	$221	0x37723a…
10-23 19:36:42	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	10¢	$296	0x71a19a…
10-23 19:12:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	764	45¢	$344	0x39981a…
10-23 19:12:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	45¢	$77	0x27d089…
10-23 19:12:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	45¢	$19	0x6a533c…
10-23 19:10:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	403	45¢	$181	0xb9d6e6…
10-23 19:09:08	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	84	18¢	$15	0xb28631…
10-23 19:08:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,361	43¢	$582	0x60c3b5…
10-23 19:08:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x2838e5…
10-23 18:10:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	92	24¢	$22	0x8d1250…
10-23 18:10:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	219	11¢	$24	0xb4d130…
10-23 17:25:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,354	39¢	$1,295	0xa83397…
10-23 17:10:59	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,354	30¢	$994	0x018bc3…
10-23 16:48:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,998	36¢	$1,074	0x7fa910…
10-23 16:47:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x1c3215…
10-23 16:13:08	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0xb362d1…
10-23 16:09:42	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	727	28¢	$203	0x7ef1ec…
10-23 16:08:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	339	29¢	$98	0x44de4c…
10-23 16:08:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	29¢	$18	0x2fbf52…
10-23 16:08:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0x14146d…
10-23 16:08:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xfb412a…
10-23 16:08:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xf67b1d…
10-23 16:08:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xa9e768…
10-23 16:08:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0x09320a…
10-23 16:08:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	29¢	$23	0xda1c7a…
10-23 16:07:42	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	655	24¢	$154	0x069390…
10-23 16:07:38	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x0b4865…
10-23 16:07:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	28¢	$20	0x7319a6…
10-23 16:07:08	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x01efc2…
10-23 16:06:59	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0x6cecc3…
10-23 16:06:41	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0xa08b6d…
10-23 16:06:29	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	27¢	$32	0x064288…
10-23 16:05:02	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x66b41b…