Optimal-Concentration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$415

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

Trades

19,232

lifetime

Volume

$92.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 08-13 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 8% $-537

Other

6% 43% $-19

Politics

3% 100% +$156

Sports

0% 33% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2272 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	7	$1.6K	2,375	2,375	+0	open	—	05-15 11:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	11	$1.0K	1,504	1,368	+135	open	—	05-14 04:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$956	1,020	1,020	+0	Yes	+$156	05-08 19:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	4	$847	629	629	+0	open	—	04-29 13:43
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$600	1,580	1,580	+0	open	—	03-08 23:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	3	$529	502	267	+235	open	—	04-27 19:21
btc updown 15m 1783098900	98	$528	485	485	+0	open	—	07-03 17:27
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	2	$523	303	299	+4	open	—	04-18 03:50
will solana reach 120 in february 2026	2	$507	724	724	+0	open	—	02-03 00:56
bitcoin above 66k on february 23	2	$472	272	272	+0	open	—	02-23 17:53
spx up or down on april 23 2026	4	$457	308	304	+3	open	—	04-23 17:16
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$431	355	355	+0	open	—	04-20 16:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$429	241	241	+0	open	—	04-21 17:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$399	3,918	3,918	+0	open	—	04-10 01:42
btc updown 15m 1783144800	72	$386	599	0	+599	open	—	07-04 06:14
btc updown 15m 1783011600	92	$358	235	220	+15	open	—	07-02 17:13
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	2	$356	788	781	+7	open	—	03-31 00:53
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	3	$336	267	267	+0	open	—	05-10 19:05
btc updown 15m 1783124100	131	$330	655	0	+655	open	—	07-04 00:16
sol updown 15m 1783017900	89	$328	235	205	+30	open	—	07-02 18:59
bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026	6	$327	332	332	+0	open	—	06-18 19:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	2	$322	333	333	+0	open	—	05-01 20:09
bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	3	$301	270	270	+0	open	—	07-01 22:29
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$285	312	304	+8	open	—	04-27 15:47
bitcoin above 72k on april 4	2	$283	1,868	1,748	+120	open	—	04-02 01:34
sol updown 15m 1782936900	69	$280	320	25	+295	open	—	07-01 20:26
sol updown 15m 1782949500	73	$279	179	174	+5	open	—	07-01 23:59
eth updown 15m 1783022400	89	$272	250	195	+55	open	—	07-02 20:14
will solana reach 130 in february 2026	2	$265	740	740	+0	open	—	02-03 00:58
Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$251	295	0	+295	open	—	04-24 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 16:45:36	btc updown 15m 1786639500	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x830734…
08-13 16:38:21	bnb updown 15m 1786638600	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xf01ba6…
08-13 16:37:13	sol updown 15m 1786638600	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x25f7a9…
08-13 16:31:42	bnb updown 15m 1786638600	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x864081…
08-13 16:30:36	bnb updown 15m 1786638600	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x1b8c54…
08-13 16:28:40	eth updown 15m 1786637700	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x70a3c2…
08-13 16:28:36	sol updown 15m 1786637700	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x745065…
08-13 16:28:34	sol updown 15m 1786637700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x324885…
08-13 16:28:33	eth updown 15m 1786637700	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x10bd22…
08-13 16:28:31	btc updown 15m 1786637700	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x7191e9…
08-13 16:28:12	btc updown 15m 1786637700	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x34f295…
08-13 16:28:00	bnb updown 15m 1786637700	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x8e38e7…
08-13 16:26:27	hype updown 15m 1786637700	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd9d6e8…
08-13 16:14:12	btc updown 15m 1786636800	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xecda21…
08-13 16:11:10	doge updown 15m 1786636800	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xa3bee5…
08-13 16:10:45	btc updown 15m 1786636800	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc86f0d…
08-13 16:09:04	sol updown 15m 1786636800	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa655ee…
08-13 16:06:30	doge updown 15m 1786636800	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xf1c1e7…
08-13 16:03:49	sol updown 15m 1786636800	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xf646e6…
08-13 16:02:45	eth updown 15m 1786636800	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x9b024c…
08-13 15:50:09	btc updown 15m 1786635900	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe57d73…
08-13 15:49:46	btc updown 15m 1786635900	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xa87036…
08-13 15:48:06	hype updown 15m 1786635900	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8e02ec…
08-13 15:32:16	btc updown 15m 1786635000	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x06852b…
08-13 15:31:03	eth updown 15m 1786635000	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1751e5…
08-13 15:30:39	btc updown 15m 1786635000	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x0c7534…
08-13 15:30:36	btc updown 15m 1786635000	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe623aa…
08-13 15:27:15	hype updown 15m 1786634100	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x51f7c6…
08-13 15:27:00	hype updown 15m 1786634100	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x900830…
08-13 15:24:48	bnb updown 15m 1786634100	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xab10a8…
08-13 15:24:43	btc updown 15m 1786634100	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfc7241…
08-13 15:24:01	btc updown 15m 1786634100	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xeab2b6…
08-13 15:18:54	sol updown 15m 1786634100	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x4be291…
08-13 15:15:22	btc updown 15m 1786634100	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xc63fe5…
08-13 15:15:19	btc updown 15m 1786634100	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x8ae16c…
08-13 14:47:03	btc updown 15m 1786632300	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x4ee976…
08-13 14:45:28	eth updown 15m 1786632300	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x98a862…
08-13 14:45:25	btc updown 15m 1786632300	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xa1cf09…
08-13 14:45:15	btc updown 15m 1786632300	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xa7f6a9…
08-13 14:22:09	doge updown 15m 1786630500	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf79697…
08-13 14:21:52	doge updown 15m 1786630500	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x6fa1f7…
08-13 14:21:19	doge updown 15m 1786630500	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x29356e…
08-13 14:20:28	btc updown 15m 1786630500	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1e6414…
08-13 14:10:54	sol updown 15m 1786629600	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x4fd6a6…
08-13 14:09:27	bnb updown 15m 1786629600	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2333b2…
08-13 13:48:43	hype updown 15m 1786628700	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x09f707…
08-13 13:48:07	hype updown 15m 1786628700	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x86ad0c…
08-13 13:48:01	sol updown 15m 1786628700	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3a791d…
08-13 13:45:16	sol updown 15m 1786628700	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x825062…
08-13 13:30:10	btc updown 15m 1786627800	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xe227f4…
08-13 13:30:07	btc updown 15m 1786627800	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb5104e…
08-13 13:13:58	bnb updown 15m 1786626000	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xd8cf59…
08-13 13:04:25	bnb updown 15m 1786626000	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x95ea78…
08-13 13:02:30	hype updown 15m 1786626000	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x766e82…
08-13 13:02:15	hype updown 15m 1786626000	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x8b977d…
08-13 13:01:25	btc updown 15m 1786626000	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xa77cc7…
08-13 13:01:13	eth updown 15m 1786626000	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x7cff27…
08-13 12:58:54	bnb updown 15m 1786625100	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x2b2f0e…
08-13 12:56:18	hype updown 15m 1786625100	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xf8410d…
08-13 12:55:58	eth updown 15m 1786625100	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x143106…
08-13 12:51:25	bnb updown 15m 1786625100	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x73a077…
08-13 12:45:13	eth updown 15m 1786625100	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x075ffc…
08-13 12:44:25	bnb updown 15m 1786624200	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x728cbd…
08-13 12:44:16	bnb updown 15m 1786624200	Down	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x89fd06…
08-13 12:41:18	btc updown 15m 1786624200	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x1a47f6…
08-13 12:41:12	btc updown 15m 1786624200	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xae4c93…
08-13 12:40:57	btc updown 15m 1786624200	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x9c2785…
08-13 12:40:37	btc updown 15m 1786624200	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x83c30a…
08-13 12:34:51	bnb updown 15m 1786624200	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe1b2c7…
08-13 12:30:33	bnb updown 15m 1786624200	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x28ff94…
08-13 12:30:16	eth updown 15m 1786624200	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x01fdeb…
08-13 12:30:15	eth updown 15m 1786624200	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x74d0db…
08-13 12:26:30	doge updown 15m 1786623300	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x9076b0…
08-13 12:26:28	doge updown 15m 1786623300	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x7c28e2…
08-13 12:15:22	btc updown 15m 1786623300	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x7d2cfc…
08-13 12:15:18	btc updown 15m 1786623300	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xabfcdd…
08-13 12:06:31	bnb updown 15m 1786622400	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x14a573…
08-13 12:06:12	bnb updown 15m 1786622400	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x6c8242…
08-13 11:57:36	eth updown 15m 1786621500	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x207dd0…
08-13 11:56:49	bnb updown 15m 1786621500	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x4528bf…
08-13 11:56:48	bnb updown 15m 1786621500	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3a9775…
08-13 11:43:54	btc updown 15m 1786620600	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe86794…
08-13 11:43:54	btc updown 15m 1786620600	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xc03bb6…
08-13 11:42:58	sol updown 15m 1786620600	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x26947d…
08-13 11:42:57	sol updown 15m 1786620600	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x24ef38…
08-13 11:38:36	btc updown 15m 1786620600	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd4f39e…
08-13 11:38:36	btc updown 15m 1786620600	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x129781…
08-13 11:38:34	btc updown 15m 1786620600	Up	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x05073b…
08-13 11:20:01	bnb updown 15m 1786619700	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x9f6c45…
08-13 11:16:22	bnb updown 15m 1786619700	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x80827a…
08-13 11:15:40	doge updown 15m 1786619700	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x18851c…
08-13 11:15:39	doge updown 15m 1786619700	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe334b6…
08-13 11:12:19	bnb updown 15m 1786618800	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xc0044f…
08-13 11:11:45	doge updown 15m 1786618800	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xba9903…
08-13 11:11:16	bnb updown 15m 1786618800	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe456e4…
08-13 11:11:16	bnb updown 15m 1786618800	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x53ff33…
08-13 11:08:33	doge updown 15m 1786618800	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x2fde0c…
08-13 11:06:54	hype updown 15m 1786618800	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x42ab1a…
08-13 11:06:13	hype updown 15m 1786618800	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x8ba4bc…
08-13 11:06:06	hype updown 15m 1786618800	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x45469a…