Optimal-Concentration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.85K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

7,466

Trades

27,984

lifetime

Volume

$134.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 08-26 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 54% +$1,751

Other

10% 51% +$102

Politics

2% 36% +$6

Sports

0% 38% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 1087 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	7	$1.6K	2,375	2,375	+0	No	-$201	05-15 11:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	11	$1.0K	1,504	1,368	+135	Yes	-$112	05-14 04:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$956	1,020	1,020	+0	Yes	+$156	05-08 19:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	4	$847	629	629	+0	Down	+$47	04-29 13:43
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$600	1,580	1,580	+0	No	+$0	03-08 23:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	3	$529	502	267	+235	Up	+$64	04-27 19:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 17:15 UTC	98	$528	485	485	+0	Down	+$43	07-03 17:27
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	2	$523	303	299	+4	No	+$27	04-18 03:50
will solana reach 120 in february 2026	2	$507	724	724	+0	No	+$87	02-03 00:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?	4	$483	449	449	+0	No	-$17	05-04 15:11
bitcoin above 66k on february 23	2	$472	272	272	+0	No	+$72	02-23 17:53
spx up or down on april 23 2026	4	$457	308	304	+3	Down	-$1	04-23 17:16
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$431	355	355	+0	No	+$31	04-20 16:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$429	241	241	+0	No	+$29	04-21 17:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 15?	3	$404	1,265	1,265	+0	No	-$196	05-13 15:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$399	3,918	3,918	+0	No	-$101	04-10 01:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 06:00 UTC	72	$386	599	0	+599	Down	-$92	07-04 06:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	2	$373	357	357	+0	Yes	-$27	04-29 23:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 17:00 UTC	92	$358	235	220	+15	Up	+$15	07-02 17:13
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	2	$356	788	781	+7	Yes	-$44	03-31 00:53
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	3	$336	267	267	+0	No	+$36	05-10 19:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 00:15 UTC	131	$330	655	0	+655	Down	+$325	07-04 00:16
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 18:45 UTC	89	$328	235	205	+30	Down	-$10	07-02 18:59
bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026	6	$327	332	332	+0	Yes	+$177	06-18 19:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	2	$322	333	333	+0	Yes	+$122	05-01 20:09
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	84	$320	230	190	+40	Down	-$19	07-02 19:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 8?	2	$317	308	308	+0	Yes	-$83	05-08 10:54
bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	3	$301	270	270	+0	Yes	+$51	07-01 22:29
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$285	312	304	+8	No	-$115	04-27 15:47
bitcoin above 72k on april 4	2	$283	1,868	1,748	+120	No	-$117	04-02 01:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 01:00:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2772a5…
08-26 00:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xe945b9…
08-26 00:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xb0f79f…
08-26 00:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x21ff53…
08-26 00:00:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xbec272…
08-25 23:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x545d5c…
08-25 23:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x739108…
08-25 23:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x90ad15…
08-25 23:10:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xc5d5ed…
08-25 23:00:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x23c00e…
08-25 22:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6d988f…
08-25 22:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x3d5350…
08-25 22:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x577a69…
08-25 22:00:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3264c0…
08-25 21:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb291d3…
08-25 21:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xa8b761…
08-25 21:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xee8ba5…
08-25 21:00:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xc42319…
08-25 20:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xf2d3d1…
08-25 20:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe20f31…
08-25 20:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x5b59b8…
08-25 20:00:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x529b69…
08-25 19:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x68a8b0…
08-25 19:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x520ae0…
08-25 19:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x5615e3…
08-25 19:00:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbc1848…
08-25 18:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x901892…
08-25 18:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4b2c5d…
08-25 18:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9f530a…
08-25 18:13:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x44e55a…
08-25 18:00:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6c905c…
08-25 17:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9f5027…
08-25 05:02:25	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x84d0bd…
08-25 05:02:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb14f4c…
08-25 05:01:45	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf72d25…
08-25 04:58:22	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x8feb76…
08-25 04:48:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xbbc9d5…
08-25 04:41:16	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xe51e4d…
08-25 04:36:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x69ee3d…
08-25 04:31:55	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x0d2e8f…
08-25 04:30:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x36068b…
08-25 04:26:39	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x275351…
08-25 04:24:28	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x2cecfe…
08-25 04:22:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xabc434…
08-25 04:20:40	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x1b3d68…
08-25 04:16:15	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a9574…
08-25 04:13:31	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xd13b84…
08-25 04:13:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xbe321a…
08-25 04:10:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x11758d…
08-25 04:03:52	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xfba08f…
08-25 04:03:15	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x4635b4…
08-25 03:58:58	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xa585b2…
08-25 03:58:54	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa43282…
08-25 03:58:51	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x9eb24a…
08-25 03:58:39	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xbbacb5…
08-25 03:43:27	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x0954de…
08-25 03:43:19	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x7b388f…
08-25 03:40:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xc1e77c…
08-25 03:40:19	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x972813…
08-25 03:35:58	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1feed5…
08-25 03:23:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x52363c…
08-25 03:23:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x3c0a98…
08-25 03:11:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x258a6d…
08-25 03:11:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xcc3cad…
08-25 03:10:39	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xc03d49…
08-25 03:09:52	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xc5a6d6…
08-25 03:09:39	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xe15093…
08-25 03:09:33	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xb45fa8…
08-25 02:52:21	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x5e2a27…
08-25 02:50:46	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd1ea20…
08-25 02:46:46	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x218cc1…
08-25 02:09:15	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5df72f…
08-25 01:52:16	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9f4b2c…
08-25 01:23:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xae9c13…
08-25 01:14:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8497ea…
08-25 01:14:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xaf9de7…
08-25 01:14:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x6bafe6…
08-25 01:10:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x371ffe…
08-25 01:05:49	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x321596…
08-25 01:05:31	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x3f4be1…
08-25 01:03:09	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x0d1bd8…
08-25 01:02:12	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x26dd4f…
08-25 01:01:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xd519cd…
08-25 00:40:49	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x768ed2…
08-25 00:39:10	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x24c860…
08-25 00:26:06	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x5d11d3…
08-25 00:16:22	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xfcbb01…
08-25 00:13:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x8b42af…
08-25 00:12:37	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x22198a…
08-25 00:12:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6575ea…
08-24 23:58:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc067d1…
08-24 23:58:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xf6cab8…
08-24 23:58:09	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xb1a026…
08-24 23:34:15	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x10a7ef…
08-24 23:17:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x3b3955…
08-24 23:13:58	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xd3defd…
08-24 23:13:36	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xd6be49…
08-24 23:13:00	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x391f56…
08-24 22:42:52	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xc0d224…
08-24 22:42:49	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x0c9af4…