Optimal-Concentration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$415

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,451

lifetime

Volume

$35.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-01 06:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 8% $-537

Other

11% 43% $-19

Politics

9% 100% +$156

Sports

0% 33% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 1302 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	7	$1.6K	2,375	2,375	+0	open	—	05-15 11:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	11	$1.0K	1,504	1,368	+135	open	—	05-14 04:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$956	1,020	1,020	+0	Yes	+$156	05-08 19:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	4	$847	629	629	+0	open	—	04-29 13:43
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$600	1,580	1,580	+0	open	—	03-08 23:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	3	$529	502	267	+235	open	—	04-27 19:21
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	2	$523	303	299	+4	open	—	04-18 03:50
will solana reach 120 in february 2026	2	$507	724	724	+0	open	—	02-03 00:56
bitcoin above 66k on february 23	2	$472	272	272	+0	open	—	02-23 17:53
spx up or down on april 23 2026	4	$457	308	304	+3	open	—	04-23 17:16
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$431	355	355	+0	open	—	04-20 16:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$429	241	241	+0	open	—	04-21 17:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$399	3,918	3,918	+0	open	—	04-10 01:42
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	2	$356	788	781	+7	open	—	03-31 00:53
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	3	$336	267	267	+0	open	—	05-10 19:05
bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026	6	$327	332	332	+0	open	—	06-18 19:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	2	$322	333	333	+0	open	—	05-01 20:09
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$285	312	304	+8	open	—	04-27 15:47
bitcoin above 72k on april 4	2	$283	1,868	1,748	+120	open	—	04-02 01:34
will solana reach 130 in february 2026	2	$265	740	740	+0	open	—	02-03 00:58
Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$251	295	0	+295	open	—	04-24 19:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$240	403	124	+278	open	—	06-15 21:12
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	5	$239	240	240	+0	Down	+$79	05-07 17:37
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	4	$238	216	216	+0	open	—	02-14 04:34
sol updown 15m 1770429600	3	$233	406	31	+375	open	—	02-07 02:13
eth updown 15m 1770327900	2	$232	133	132	+1	open	—	02-05 22:00
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	2	$221	709	709	+0	open	—	06-07 22:38
btc updown 15m 1770328800	2	$220	323	0	+323	open	—	02-05 22:08
btc updown 15m 1770329700	2	$219	200	200	+0	open	—	02-05 22:29
spx opens up or down on april 23 2026	2	$215	175	172	+3	open	—	04-23 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 08:16:10	btc updown 15m 1782893700	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x865847…
07-01 08:15:35	btc updown 15m 1782893700	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6291e8…
07-01 08:04:43	btc updown 15m 1782892800	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbf058f…
07-01 08:02:56	btc updown 15m 1782892800	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe87b4b…
07-01 07:52:38	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x04b219…
07-01 07:52:26	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x317fa0…
07-01 07:52:04	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa6cf7b…
07-01 07:51:53	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3f5ce8…
07-01 07:51:41	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xabb5cf…
07-01 07:51:23	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x7752b6…
07-01 07:51:05	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xe21200…
07-01 07:50:53	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x043430…
07-01 07:50:43	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb3265b…
07-01 07:50:01	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x4b3aab…
07-01 07:49:49	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xc72575…
07-01 07:49:37	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xfc6921…
07-01 07:49:25	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x66ddbb…
07-01 07:49:13	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xdd3320…
07-01 07:48:46	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x286895…
07-01 07:48:34	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd109b9…
07-01 07:48:16	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x68496b…
07-01 07:46:05	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6dbc22…
07-01 07:16:32	btc updown 15m 1782890100	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4e1702…
07-01 07:00:13	btc updown 15m 1782889200	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x315383…
07-01 06:53:19	btc updown 15m 1782888300	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0f8960…
07-01 06:53:08	btc updown 15m 1782888300	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6b4d4a…
07-01 06:52:56	btc updown 15m 1782888300	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xbec003…
07-01 06:52:43	btc updown 15m 1782888300	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6ca727…
07-01 06:52:35	btc updown 15m 1782888300	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd0ce17…
07-01 06:50:05	btc updown 15m 1782888300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x90737f…
07-01 06:21:19	btc updown 15m 1782886500	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb3fa24…
07-01 06:01:47	btc updown 15m 1782885600	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9f3b9b…
07-01 05:52:32	btc updown 15m 1782884700	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1498f4…
07-01 05:52:28	btc updown 15m 1782884700	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5b17f4…
07-01 05:49:01	btc updown 15m 1782884700	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4b5706…
07-01 05:28:11	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0xb976f2…
07-01 05:25:07	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc496ab…
07-01 05:21:26	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6304e1…
07-01 05:21:23	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe7202b…
07-01 05:21:19	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3ffed3…
07-01 05:21:14	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x501dd3…
07-01 05:21:10	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x06e435…
07-01 05:21:05	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x152e51…
07-01 05:21:01	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x684e29…
07-01 05:20:58	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9c0b70…
07-01 05:20:53	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4148e4…
07-01 05:20:49	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd01ea8…
07-01 05:20:44	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe3bc4e…
07-01 05:20:40	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3aae3b…
07-01 05:20:31	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xceb58b…
07-01 05:20:26	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x806215…
07-01 05:20:23	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x73a89b…
07-01 05:20:19	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x34a301…
07-01 05:20:14	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9c8e78…
07-01 05:20:08	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x85af7f…
07-01 05:16:32	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x69283b…
07-01 05:15:13	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x991b74…
07-01 05:13:10	btc updown 15m 1782882000	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3a2070…
07-01 05:12:59	btc updown 15m 1782882000	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6e1051…
07-01 05:12:38	btc updown 15m 1782882000	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0c6d91…
07-01 05:07:25	btc updown 15m 1782882000	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6211cb…
07-01 04:56:16	btc updown 15m 1782881100	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe08ae0…
07-01 04:55:10	btc updown 15m 1782881100	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9bf578…
07-01 02:41:14	btc updown 15m 1782873000	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x461939…
07-01 02:40:52	btc updown 15m 1782873000	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8af031…
07-01 02:38:34	btc updown 15m 1782873000	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x9d1ac3…
07-01 02:38:11	btc updown 15m 1782873000	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x65a0dd…
07-01 02:38:04	btc updown 15m 1782873000	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x505a41…
07-01 02:37:40	btc updown 15m 1782873000	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x29c451…
07-01 02:21:22	btc updown 15m 1782872100	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x5cd85b…
07-01 02:21:16	btc updown 15m 1782872100	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0882c7…
07-01 02:21:10	btc updown 15m 1782872100	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x76ebf0…
07-01 02:21:04	btc updown 15m 1782872100	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd48e0b…
07-01 02:19:16	btc updown 15m 1782872100	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x2dee27…
07-01 02:18:13	btc updown 15m 1782872100	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x697021…
07-01 02:14:22	btc updown 15m 1782871200	Down	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x799fa2…
07-01 02:06:31	btc updown 15m 1782871200	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xffd607…
07-01 02:06:07	btc updown 15m 1782871200	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x83d6f1…
07-01 02:05:53	btc updown 15m 1782871200	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7f931a…
07-01 01:51:02	btc updown 15m 1782870300	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x9e2813…
07-01 01:49:14	btc updown 15m 1782870300	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x0a52ee…
07-01 01:37:44	bitcoin above 58k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x294cc7…
07-01 01:19:26	btc updown 15m 1782868500	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x046fdc…
07-01 01:19:13	btc updown 15m 1782868500	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x8d7d12…
07-01 01:18:37	btc updown 15m 1782868500	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xce2aaf…
07-01 00:01:34	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x182128…
07-01 00:01:28	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x4cd817…
07-01 00:01:20	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x304afd…
07-01 00:01:14	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xca2410…
07-01 00:01:07	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe31b1a…
07-01 00:00:59	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc85119…
07-01 00:00:52	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x867337…
07-01 00:00:46	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x186b7c…
07-01 00:00:38	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x0c4194…
07-01 00:00:32	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x310fa7…
06-30 23:46:53	btc updown 15m 1782863100	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x699bdc…
06-30 23:46:37	btc updown 15m 1782863100	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x294bed…
06-30 23:46:32	btc updown 15m 1782863100	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x074c5f…
06-30 23:46:14	btc updown 15m 1782863100	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x01f0f9…
06-30 23:46:05	btc updown 15m 1782863100	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3ece24…