Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?
open
Total volume
$259
$1,358 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$21,575
Latest YES mid
37¢
Latest NO mid
63¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 17:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $206 | $53 | +$153 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $10 | $22 | $12 |
| Median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $2 | $23 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 2 | $194 | — | +$194 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kindly-Notation 0x302e…00b6 | Yes | +500 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 05-09 17:08 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +29 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 05-08 22:06 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | +22 | $16 | $16 | 8 | 05-08 22:06 |
| Studious-Transmission 0x1184…a836 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 17:08 |
| Mellow-Blank 0x63fc…f9a5 | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 14:07 |
| Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-09 17:09 |
| Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-09 17:09 |
| Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 17:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 17:08 |
| Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-08 22:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 19:13 |
| Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 22:06 |
| Impeccable-Setting 0xc138…9baa | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 19:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf9f…7dd6 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 14:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 17:09:43 | Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xe377e7… |
| 05-09 17:09:43 | Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x8dd6fd… |
| 05-09 17:09:10 | Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xea62eb… |
| 05-09 17:09:10 | Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xf22fd3… |
| 05-09 17:08:51 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | BUY | 7 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x937384… |
| 05-09 17:08:51 | Studious-Transmission 0x1184…a836 | No | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0x78b572… |
| 05-09 17:08:51 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x2a225d… |
| 05-09 17:08:49 | Kindly-Notation 0x302e…00b6 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 38¢ | $190 | 0x93e6f7… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | (anonymous) 0xdf9f…7dd6 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xd38bb6… |
| 05-09 14:07:59 | Mellow-Blank 0x63fc…f9a5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x7aa6f9… |
| 05-08 22:06:46 | Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xc05400… |
| 05-08 22:06:46 | Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x05212f… |
| 05-08 22:06:41 | Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x03dad1… |
| 05-08 22:06:20 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x410244… |
| 05-08 22:06:20 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0xd1fe8c… |
| 05-08 22:06:20 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x78dec3… |
| 05-08 22:06:15 | Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x865d2d… |
| 05-08 19:13:52 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x8357dd… |
| 05-08 19:13:50 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x8df659… |
| 05-08 19:12:14 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x1dec59… |
| 05-08 19:11:58 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x6af946… |
| 05-08 19:10:22 | Impeccable-Setting 0xc138…9baa | No | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x016856… |
| 05-08 18:37:54 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x968353… |
| 05-08 18:37:53 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x301ad7… |
| 05-08 18:37:53 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x057327… |
| 05-08 18:37:53 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xc01add… |
| 05-08 18:37:51 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xe29bd4… |
| 05-08 18:37:51 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0xe4aae7… |
| 05-08 18:37:51 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x440b66… |