Unfortunate-Harvest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

967

Trades

3,248

lifetime

Volume

$2.73M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$842

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-27 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

76% 94% +$2,020

Crypto

24% 96% +$8,331

Tech

0% 100% +$421

Sports

0% 0% -$646

Politics

0% 83% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	79	$37.9K	22,716	22,716	+0	No	-$3,407	07-07 16:29
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	87	$34.9K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	-$2,700	07-01 16:19
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	2	$25.4K	25,610	0	+25,610	No	+$205	07-03 22:41
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	69	$24.0K	12,325	12,325	+0	No	+$604	06-23 18:02
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread home 1pt5	6	$22.4K	23,474	0	+23,474	Morocco	+$1,057	07-04 16:48
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread away 1pt5	1	$20.4K	21,699	0	+21,699	Brazil	+$1,302	06-29 11:41
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$20.0K	20,834	0	+20,834	Mexico	+$833	07-01 02:33
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?	1	$19.9K	20,924	0	+20,924	No	+$1,046	06-27 14:36
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	1	$19.2K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$800	07-04 19:22
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	1	$18.6K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$1,400	06-30 19:24
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	135	$18.4K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$1,600	07-02 11:46
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	1	$18.1K	19,903	0	+19,903	Egypt	+$1,791	06-27 02:30
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	1	$18.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$2,000	07-02 00:01
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	1	$17.2K	19,134	0	+19,134	Under	-$17,220	07-07 18:35
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	15	$15.0K	7,597	7,597	+0	No	+$182	06-15 18:21
lib cep pal 2026 08 19 total 4pt5	7	$15.0K	7,647	7,647	+0	Under	+$312	08-20 00:24
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	27	$14.9K	10,202	5,101	+5,101	No	+$362	06-21 17:08
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	115	$14.7K	15,304	0	+15,304	Spain	+$610	06-26 23:59
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 spread away 1pt5	1	$14.6K	14,902	0	+14,902	Colombia	+$313	07-04 01:02
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?	8	$14.5K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	+$450	06-25 18:59
fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	7	$14.4K	15,122	0	+15,122	Korea Republic	+$732	06-25 01:45
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread away 1pt5	1	$14.1K	15,000	0	+15,000	Brazil	+$900	07-05 16:57
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 spread away 2pt5	1	$13.9K	14,663	0	+14,663	Belgium	-$13,930	07-06 16:34
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	2	$13.9K	15,280	0	+15,280	No	+$1,375	06-24 16:35
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 0pt5	31	$13.8K	15,000	0	+15,000	Over	+$1,200	06-30 16:50
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 spread home 2pt5	1	$13.8K	15,000	0	+15,000	Senegal	+$1,200	07-01 18:24
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	1	$13.7K	15,201	0	+15,201	No	+$1,520	07-04 01:15
fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 spread home 2pt5	5	$13.1K	13,417	0	+13,417	Uzbekistan	+$284	06-28 01:16
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread away 1pt5	17	$13.0K	13,115	0	+13,115	Germany	+$141	06-29 19:20
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	5	$12.9K	6,489	6,489	+0	No	+$52	06-13 02:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:59:03	Spread: Jeonbuk FC (-2.5)	Beijing Guoan	BUY	1,333	97¢	$1,296	0x37d08a…
10-27 11:17:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1,813	98¢	$1,768	0x5361f3…
10-27 09:26:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	151	96¢	$145	0xe2338d…
10-27 01:43:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,289	99¢	$1,274	0x959e59…
10-27 01:20:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	364	98¢	$359	0xc51ca0…
10-27 01:19:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$246	0xcc6149…
10-27 01:19:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	279	98¢	$274	0x0efb8e…
10-27 01:19:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	265	98¢	$260	0x7034b0…
10-27 01:17:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x69bcef…
10-27 01:17:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd211d8…
10-27 01:17:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	157	98¢	$154	0x5e48de…
10-27 01:17:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	467	98¢	$457	0x69c812…
10-27 01:15:11	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3,162	100¢	$3,159	0x641ecd…
10-26 13:05:30	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	155	92¢	$143	0x7e0b35…
10-26 13:05:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3,000	92¢	$2,757	0xba4780…
10-26 13:05:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x38b87f…
10-26 01:30:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	724	99¢	$717	0x545634…
10-26 01:30:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xced6ce…
10-26 01:30:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	1,580	99¢	$1,564	0x9d4fed…
10-26 01:28:32	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	307	99¢	$304	0x47adf5…
10-26 01:28:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$212	0x5fbd41…
10-25 16:18:42	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x39aca2…
10-25 16:18:41	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	140	96¢	$135	0x1ea463…
10-25 16:18:39	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	2,732	96¢	$2,628	0x8b5a41…
10-25 16:01:27	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-3.5)	Manchester United FC	SELL	2,770	100¢	$2,767	0xe48d0b…
10-25 15:21:48	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-3.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	2,410	96¢	$2,321	0xbeaad5…
10-25 15:21:47	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-3.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	360	96¢	$347	0x3c829e…
10-25 15:18:12	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	2,064	100¢	$2,062	0x73e84a…
10-25 15:18:12	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x49eecb…
10-25 15:18:11	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	602	100¢	$601	0x438c4a…
10-25 14:24:17	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2,676	98¢	$2,617	0x30915a…
10-25 08:08:59	FC Tōkyō vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1,426	92¢	$1,312	0x041cd0…
10-25 02:30:39	Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1,428	89¢	$1,275	0xc6d903…
10-25 02:21:18	Houston Dynamo vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	113	45¢	$51	0x4b9b4c…
10-25 02:12:51	Houston Dynamo vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	1,151	57¢	$656	0x7915ff…
10-25 00:51:32	Houston Dynamo vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1,264	93¢	$1,176	0xf381f2…
10-24 18:28:44	Young Boys Bern vs. FC St. Gallen 1879: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	891	92¢	$820	0x62fced…
10-24 18:28:17	Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)	SS Lazio	BUY	889	97¢	$864	0xeb9a4b…
10-24 18:26:35	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)	Chelsea FC	SELL	1,691	100¢	$1,689	0xb2556b…
10-24 16:19:03	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	1,691	97¢	$1,638	0x0dc5d8…
10-24 16:18:48	Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	SELL	1,642	100¢	$1,640	0x9828da…
10-24 16:12:00	SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2,405	96¢	$2,308	0x2c03d4…
10-24 16:06:47	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	2,312	100¢	$2,310	0x7df2c9…
10-24 15:44:35	Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd7918a…
10-24 15:44:32	Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	BUY	1,030	95¢	$973	0x2a7680…
10-24 15:44:30	Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	BUY	611	94¢	$577	0x86813d…
10-24 14:14:48	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	2,312	96¢	$2,229	0xbdb4a7…
10-24 13:26:02	Spread: Elche CF (-3.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	1,556	96¢	$1,500	0x5d7b42…
10-24 12:41:51	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,920	0xac92f2…
10-24 12:40:21	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x6f25e4…
10-24 11:24:30	Spread: Manchester City FC (-4.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x462b00…
10-24 06:56:03	Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)	Kashima Antlers	BUY	1,453	94¢	$1,364	0x612582…
10-24 02:40:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xe8935d…
10-24 02:40:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	151	98¢	$148	0xa79ec5…
10-24 02:34:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	231	97¢	$225	0xccc85b…
10-23 16:17:39	Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)	VfB Stuttgart	BUY	1,936	97¢	$1,869	0x88012f…
10-23 16:15:11	Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Ahli Saudi Club	BUY	987	97¢	$956	0x761200…
10-23 16:13:51	Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Ahli Saudi Club	BUY	318	97¢	$308	0xca83c0…
10-23 16:13:45	Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Ahli Saudi Club	BUY	315	97¢	$305	0xf8ea8d…
10-23 09:14:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	283	95¢	$268	0x723bb9…
10-23 09:07:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	219	95¢	$208	0xd6fe6b…
10-23 09:00:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0xb3ed87…
10-23 08:58:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	157	95¢	$149	0xbc189c…
10-23 08:15:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,462	95¢	$1,383	0x6cefe8…
10-23 07:20:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	214	95¢	$204	0xc9ba38…
10-23 05:15:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,084	95¢	$1,030	0x1e1b0a…
10-23 02:03:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	447	97¢	$435	0xc0e524…
10-23 01:35:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	214	98¢	$209	0x6cf648…
10-23 01:33:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	214	98¢	$209	0xb10798…
10-23 01:29:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	589	98¢	$574	0x80a7f5…
10-23 01:28:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x97724d…
10-23 01:28:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x8b06c1…
10-23 01:28:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x78f5ec…
10-23 01:27:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x83a110…
10-23 01:27:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xb36d4a…
10-22 17:03:48	Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5)	Ferencvárosi TC	BUY	1,137	97¢	$1,102	0x0a910f…
10-22 16:49:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	990	58¢	$574	0x623564…
10-22 16:47:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	990	57¢	$564	0x3925e0…
10-22 16:44:21	Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	840	100¢	$839	0x01cc53…
10-22 15:52:06	Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)	Trabzonspor	BUY	905	97¢	$875	0x9cfb38…
10-22 15:50:35	Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)	RU Saint-Gilloise	BUY	1,189	96¢	$1,142	0x04b15c…
10-22 15:42:41	Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	840	98¢	$819	0x100dde…
10-22 15:32:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	2,606	100¢	$2,603	0xd09878…
10-22 11:21:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	860	98¢	$841	0x8d0aeb…
10-22 11:21:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	1,746	98¢	$1,704	0x09bd4a…
10-22 01:44:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	89	96¢	$86	0xd83829…
10-22 01:44:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	2,906	97¢	$2,816	0x36ed66…
10-22 01:08:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	55	37¢	$20	0xea3dcc…
10-21 18:30:53	Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	1,118	97¢	$1,090	0x76607f…
10-21 18:28:08	Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)	Club Brugge KV	BUY	1,814	97¢	$1,756	0x0be44e…
10-21 18:25:39	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	2,850	100¢	$2,847	0xf11b6a…
10-21 18:04:32	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	2,850	98¢	$2,801	0x3d7287…
10-21 18:01:41	Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)	Como 1907	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x200541…
10-21 18:01:38	Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)	Como 1907	SELL	2,805	100¢	$2,802	0x6e6cf4…
10-21 16:42:27	Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)	Como 1907	BUY	2,792	95¢	$2,652	0xe7b78c…
10-21 16:15:48	Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)	Como 1907	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x071731…
10-21 09:02:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2,459	92¢	$2,262	0x70542a…
10-21 09:02:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	214	91¢	$195	0xe3288e…
10-21 01:08:12	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	1,427	98¢	$1,397	0x2e8696…
10-21 00:39:03	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1,046	95¢	$995	0xb33593…