Stable-Factory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.24K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

1,357

Trades

4,360

lifetime

Volume

$4.73M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.08K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 274 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% +$6,485

Other

0% 61% -$239

Politics

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?	11	$18.2K	18,203	+18,203	No	+$51	09-15 14:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8?	2	$17.9K	17,965	+17,965	Yes	+$18	09-08 13:58
bitcoin above 76k on september 7 2026	1	$17.9K	17,918	+17,918	Yes	+$18	09-07 14:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3?	1	$17.6K	17,574	+17,574	Yes	+$18	09-03 14:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 2?	3	$17.5K	17,556	+17,556	Yes	+$24	09-02 14:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	1	$17.4K	17,410	+17,410	Yes	+$17	05-02 14:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 27?	13	$17.3K	17,336	+17,336	Yes	+$47	08-27 14:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	2	$17.3K	17,316	+17,316	Yes	+$54	04-30 13:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	1	$17.2K	17,242	+17,242	Yes	+$17	08-25 14:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?	2	$17.2K	17,224	+17,224	Yes	+$17	08-24 14:10
bitcoin above 74k on august 23 2026	1	$17.2K	17,175	+17,175	Yes	+$17	08-23 13:35
bitcoin above 72k on august 21 2026	2	$17.1K	17,081	+17,081	Yes	+$17	08-21 14:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	7	$17.0K	17,035	+17,035	Yes	+$22	05-01 14:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	3	$17.0K	17,038	+17,038	No	+$38	04-27 13:59
bitcoin above 64k on august 19 2026	9	$17.0K	17,018	+17,018	Yes	+$26	08-19 14:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13?	3	$16.9K	16,982	+16,982	Yes	+$37	09-13 14:00
bitcoin above 62k on august 13 2026	1	$16.9K	16,902	+16,902	Yes	+$17	08-13 14:18
bitcoin above 64k on august 8 2026	2	$16.8K	16,802	+16,802	Yes	+$17	08-08 13:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12?	8	$16.8K	16,799	+16,799	Yes	+$24	09-12 13:31
bitcoin above 62k on august 18 2026	1	$16.8K	16,791	+16,791	Yes	+$17	08-18 13:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?	13	$16.8K	16,785	+16,785	Yes	+$21	09-24 14:21
bitcoin above 80k on september 25 2026	8	$16.6K	16,680	+16,680	Yes	+$51	09-25 14:16
bitcoin above 78k on april 21	1	$16.2K	16,464	+16,464	No	+$247	04-21 14:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 6?	1	$16.2K	16,228	+16,228	Yes	+$20	09-06 14:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21?	3	$16.2K	16,214	+16,214	Yes	+$16	07-21 14:43
bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	3	$16.0K	16,010	+16,010	Yes	+$18	07-14 14:38
will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 24	1	$15.9K	15,974	+15,974	No	+$64	07-25 01:55
bitcoin above 62k on august 5 2026	10	$15.9K	15,931	+15,931	Yes	+$25	08-05 14:16
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 20	4	$15.9K	15,986	+15,986	No	+$90	04-21 02:03
bitcoin above 68k on july 22 2026	1	$15.8K	15,800	+15,800	No	+$32	07-22 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x6dafe8…
10-27 13:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x2b1d8e…
10-26 15:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x29326d…
10-26 15:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x6df9b2…
10-26 15:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x275274…
10-26 15:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x4f32df…
10-26 15:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x7df129…
10-26 15:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xe120b3…
10-26 15:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x1e2326…
10-26 15:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0x5836f1…
10-26 15:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x84bbe2…
10-26 15:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x20e3de…
10-26 15:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0xe59183…
10-26 14:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x1f7304…
10-26 14:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xd5e18a…
10-26 14:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xfd35e9…
10-26 14:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xe985e3…
10-26 14:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xb6334b…
10-26 14:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x6b5b94…
10-26 14:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x373b84…
10-26 14:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x2f4b90…
10-26 14:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa670f6…
10-26 14:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xb26af2…
10-25 11:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xee773f…
10-25 11:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xc667cd…
10-25 11:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0x6f4237…
10-25 11:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1a1296…
10-25 11:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd8ed29…
10-25 11:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8bf919…
10-25 11:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	39	10¢	$4	0x5a9b54…
10-25 11:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	61	10¢	$6	0x57a69c…
10-25 09:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x3900e4…
10-25 09:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xb44e07…
10-25 09:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xf2ba51…
10-25 06:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xb72ea1…
10-25 06:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xe8efda…
10-25 06:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xa13556…
10-25 06:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x2c7b6c…
10-25 06:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xd82d1e…
10-25 06:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x569b87…
10-25 06:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x5f1a11…
10-25 02:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xdff91d…
10-25 02:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x428c46…
10-25 02:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xf54d57…
10-25 02:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x1f85cd…
10-25 02:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x7f03dc…
10-24 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf5f903…
10-24 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xa803dd…
10-24 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x6d91f4…
10-24 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5f7139…
10-24 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x4c4ebc…
10-24 13:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0xc70b73…
10-24 13:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x3397d2…
10-24 13:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	80	9¢	$7	0x3e7208…
10-24 13:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0xbf69a7…
10-24 13:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x33b005…
10-24 13:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xac0ff6…
10-24 13:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x79cb0c…
10-24 13:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5d8da5…
10-24 13:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4d2003…
10-24 13:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x42eecf…
10-24 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xa71876…
10-24 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x64706c…
10-24 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4c2dfc…
10-24 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x3afbd0…
10-24 13:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x992c30…
10-24 13:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x96d828…
10-24 12:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0x837e0f…
10-24 12:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xa3193c…
10-24 12:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xac2a48…
10-24 12:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x99bb42…
10-24 12:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x26004f…
10-24 12:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcb6845…
10-24 12:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7c83d7…
10-24 12:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6612ab…
10-24 12:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5dbf0c…
10-24 12:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xfc23bc…
10-24 12:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf911bf…
10-24 12:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb7b8bb…
10-24 12:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xaab76e…
10-24 12:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x3e8d09…
10-24 12:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x5aa14c…
10-24 12:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xd9982d…
10-24 12:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x93e791…
10-24 12:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x89c85a…
10-24 12:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x458109…
10-24 12:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1fc29f…
10-24 12:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0x00a623…
10-24 12:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xe61869…
10-24 12:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xe0321f…
10-24 12:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xdc6324…
10-24 12:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x9bbd6e…
10-24 12:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x0e4cd5…
10-24 10:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xf5ce7f…
10-24 10:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xa2feeb…
10-24 10:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xacf192…
10-24 10:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x466ced…
10-24 10:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x03ff2d…
10-24 10:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xadc00e…
10-24 10:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x91d0d1…