Cylindrical-Stem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.19K

Unrealized P&L

+$392

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,423

lifetime

Volume

$97.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$1.33K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

34% 25% +$4,187

Politics

32% — —

Other

32% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	+2,000	$220	20¢	$410	+$190	06-02 22:17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	+1,000	$210	38¢	$385	+$175	06-03 02:59
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	+3,424	$348	11¢	$360	+$12	06-09 06:48
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	No	+1,500	$165	12¢	$180	+$15	06-07 06:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	14	$6.6K	4,601	3,727	+874	open	—	04-19 12:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	28	$5.9K	6,816	6,816	+0	open	—	05-29 21:32
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	36	$4.1K	8,903	4,044	+4,859	open	—	04-21 13:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	17	$3.8K	15,105	0	+15,105	open	—	04-14 23:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	21	$3.4K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	02-28 10:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$3.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-06 09:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	27	$2.6K	8,403	4,400	+4,003	open	—	04-24 12:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	23	$2.4K	7,322	3,055	+4,266	open	—	04-21 21:45
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	18	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-21 08:08
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	14	$1.7K	1,285	1,418	-133	open	—	03-29 12:01
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	20	$1.6K	11,933	4,300	+7,633	open	—	03-30 02:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	10	$1.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-07 22:53
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	6	$1.5K	16,726	7,000	+9,726	open	—	04-12 04:40
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	9	$1.4K	11,500	6,000	+5,500	open	—	04-07 22:11
bitcoin above 66k on february 25	15	$1.4K	3,000	1,000	+2,000	open	—	02-25 14:59
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-21 09:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	10	$1.1K	8,965	0	+8,965	open	—	04-14 10:44
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	17	$1.1K	6,996	1,000	+5,996	open	—	05-17 23:44
iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	14	$1.1K	0	1,156	-1,156	open	—	06-05 17:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$1.0K	5,285	5,285	+0	open	—	04-29 02:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	11	$980	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-07 17:28
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	14	$950	1,000	500	+500	open	—	01-11 04:46
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	11	$887	3,832	3,368	+464	open	—	04-18 09:49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	16	$880	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-21 14:00
bitcoin above 68k on march 11	65	$850	5,000	500	+4,500	open	—	03-11 08:26
will the us invade iran by march 31	16	$802	4,449	2,500	+1,949	open	—	03-29 09:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$790	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-10 19:53
bitcoin above 90k on january 12	23	$770	6,999	0	+6,999	open	—	01-12 03:13
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	4	$750	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-16 08:57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	7	$741	13,859	0	+13,859	open	—	04-19 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 06:48:07	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	781	10¢	$78	0xd4e247…
06-09 02:46:55	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	72	11¢	$8	0xa7d32c…
06-08 21:42:46	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xc01201…
06-08 21:22:22	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	237	25¢	$59	0x82eafc…
06-08 20:34:15	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xc82369…
06-08 20:27:10	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xf81908…
06-08 20:23:58	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x3cd434…
06-08 20:22:00	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x28345a…
06-08 20:21:06	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xb2ec42…
06-08 20:19:19	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xe1f56f…
06-08 20:16:37	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x17089c…
06-08 20:15:22	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x112350…
06-08 19:43:34	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	25¢	$12	0xf7afe8…
06-08 19:43:33	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	599	25¢	$150	0xe141e5…
06-08 19:12:43	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x74b136…
06-08 17:58:16	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xec434a…
06-08 16:27:25	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xecc917…
06-08 16:06:01	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	127	13¢	$16	0x0de385…
06-08 15:45:22	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x5434df…
06-08 13:10:13	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xfe0b69…
06-08 13:08:16	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x9005bc…
06-08 13:07:58	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x06bd69…
06-08 13:07:54	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xb79286…
06-08 12:41:55	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	94	25¢	$23	0x01dd2f…
06-08 12:11:43	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x8943d0…
06-08 11:44:04	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xaa4874…
06-08 11:01:31	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x862b85…
06-08 10:20:06	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x2f1055…
06-08 09:55:12	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x28c7af…
06-08 01:47:09	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0xcdc92f…
06-07 22:13:33	bitcoin above 60k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	898	15¢	$135	0x59a220…
06-07 22:13:25	bitcoin above 60k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x00d126…
06-07 22:13:12	bitcoin above 60k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x5feff4…
06-07 22:12:06	bitcoin above 60k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	775	20¢	$155	0xfd8b18…
06-07 22:12:06	bitcoin above 60k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	225	20¢	$45	0xc2467a…
06-07 08:47:40	bitcoin above 60k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	999	13¢	$130	0xb1361e…
06-07 06:41:49	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x0eb579…
06-07 06:41:24	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x5bed31…
06-07 06:41:21	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	478	13¢	$62	0x5bd55f…
06-06 23:15:55	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	118	13¢	$15	0x65065b…
06-06 22:23:58	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x4fa92e…
06-06 22:20:54	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x0291ad…
06-06 17:15:58	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x62a337…
06-06 10:13:24	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0x1100c9…
06-06 07:30:48	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xb65ef7…
06-06 05:19:39	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x6ffc85…
06-05 17:09:45	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x16421b…
06-05 16:38:01	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3fc76b…
06-05 15:26:33	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x63db1c…
06-05 14:57:39	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x45cb64…
06-05 09:17:09	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x1c09ad…
06-05 01:38:07	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	SELL	172	96¢	$165	0xbcad28…
06-05 00:32:07	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x0bd784…
06-04 18:03:46	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x42e549…
06-04 10:20:18	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	SELL	204	96¢	$196	0x6709ba…
06-03 22:30:39	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	SELL	484	95¢	$459	0x3d376b…
06-03 13:39:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	840	12¢	$101	0x0a0bc6…
06-03 13:39:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xb11328…
06-03 13:39:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	150	12¢	$18	0xf257b2…
06-03 13:25:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	61	11¢	$7	0x708389…
06-03 10:28:16	Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xd1f14d…
06-03 04:48:11	Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x501c6f…
06-03 04:17:16	Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x42f9af…
06-03 03:17:37	Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x090c55…
06-03 02:59:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0x8c57a7…
06-03 00:10:15	Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5af820…
06-02 22:17:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	1,999	11¢	$220	0x6c8116…
06-02 22:09:56	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xa16805…
05-31 22:59:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	1,287	4¢	$51	0x8d7004…
05-31 22:52:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	173	4¢	$7	0x64065e…
05-31 22:36:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	421	4¢	$17	0x122a9f…
05-31 22:28:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x4c4fc2…
05-31 05:55:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x9f8fc7…
05-31 05:43:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xd20cf8…
05-31 05:35:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xa89022…
05-31 05:35:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x989ae6…
05-31 05:34:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x933e60…
05-31 05:20:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x93a882…
05-31 05:19:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	884	5¢	$44	0x30f0a5…
05-31 05:03:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x442c8b…
05-31 05:01:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x1a5b9c…
05-31 01:05:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x3e342b…
05-31 01:02:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x2cf0bc…
05-29 21:32:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	258	73¢	$189	0xccfcf3…
05-29 21:32:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	362	73¢	$264	0x2e7615…
05-29 21:31:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,196	73¢	$2,333	0x247d89…
05-18 11:36:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	85¢	$850	0x450fdb…
05-17 23:44:29	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	511	15¢	$77	0xcf59af…
05-17 17:31:04	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xaa65b1…
05-17 17:26:06	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0xa557b3…
05-17 17:23:27	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x97d2cc…
05-17 17:22:24	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0x77f7fc…
05-17 17:19:27	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xcbf25d…
05-17 17:13:07	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x64a64d…
05-17 17:11:29	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x04b63c…
05-17 17:07:12	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x9d77a3…
05-17 16:26:03	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x3dd5ad…
05-17 16:26:01	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	BUY	825	8¢	$66	0xce70cc…
05-17 16:12:20	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	489	15¢	$73	0xada130…
05-17 11:56:47	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xc8658a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	141	$28.1K	7,354	04-22 15:17
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	139	$942.3K	17,092	06-10 02:32
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	128	$1.44M	13,649	06-08 14:05
Clear-Tower 0xddcd…725f	125	$4.74K	3,270	06-08 14:45
Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1	123	$514.2K	22,754	06-05 15:31
(anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35	123	$45.1K	2,618	06-01 11:57
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	122	$313.6K	5,364	06-08 05:44
(anonymous) 0x997c…251e	119	$2.26M	84,253	06-08 14:26