Cultured-Disregard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.76K

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

2,982

Trades

26,772

lifetime

Volume

$343.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$2.14K

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-14 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 56% +$1,222

Other

17% 62% +$533

Politics

0% 62% +$7

Tech

0% 50% $0

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,120	$2,078	100¢	$2.1K	+$39	06-12 10:21
will papertrade launch a token by december 31 2026	No	+10	$0	88¢	$9	+$8	06-08 03:47
will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	+10	$6	76¢	$8	+$2	06-11 03:29
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,120	$30	0¢	$6	-$23	06-12 10:21
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	95¢	$2	+$0	06-12 01:11
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+34	$1	3¢	$1	$0	06-08 12:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 6	149	$3.5K	3,609	+3,609	No	+$98	04-06 15:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 6	144	$3.5K	3,531	+3,531	No	+$77	04-06 13:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 21?	95	$3.1K	3,236	+3,236	No	+$112	05-21 15:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 21?	93	$2.9K	2,965	+2,965	No	+$35	05-21 13:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?	35	$2.9K	2,875	+2,875	No	+$6	04-26 05:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 27?	35	$2.9K	2,875	+2,875	No	+$7	04-26 05:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 18?	122	$2.9K	3,229	+3,229	No	+$359	05-18 15:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 18?	100	$2.8K	2,790	+2,790	No	+$16	05-18 15:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 28?	64	$2.6K	2,652	+2,652	No	+$28	04-28 14:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on April 27?	31	$2.6K	2,615	+2,615	No	+$3	04-26 03:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 7	85	$2.5K	2,543	+2,543	No	+$4	04-07 12:32
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	59	$2.5K	2,627	+2,627	No	+$167	05-14 13:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 20?	94	$2.4K	2,587	+2,587	No	+$162	05-20 12:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	78	$2.4K	2,428	+2,428	No	+$5	04-07 12:32
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 26?	49	$2.4K	2,410	+2,410	No	+$5	04-26 03:10
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $5.00?	59	$2.4K	2,587	+2,587	No	+$189	05-14 13:43
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?	49	$2.4K	2,412	+2,412	No	+$36	04-26 03:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 7	77	$2.4K	2,427	+2,427	No	+$59	04-07 12:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 5?	85	$2.4K	2,422	+2,422	No	+$61	05-05 11:22
bitcoin above 70k on april 7	68	$2.2K	2,364	+2,364	No	+$127	04-07 12:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?	37	$2.2K	2,311	+2,311	No	+$27	04-27 15:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 4?	95	$2.1K	2,156	+2,156	No	+$16	05-04 14:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 7?	106	$2.1K	2,127	+2,127	No	+$13	05-07 11:51
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	26	$2.1K	2,120	+2,120	open	—	06-12 10:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 5?	55	$2.1K	2,078	+2,078	No	+$17	05-05 02:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 26?	43	$2.0K	2,103	+2,103	No	+$54	04-26 03:10
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 26?	40	$2.0K	2,032	+2,032	No	+$2	04-25 22:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 5?	43	$2.0K	2,027	+2,027	No	+$3	05-04 17:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 6?	61	$2.0K	2,117	+2,117	No	+$70	05-06 12:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 6?	61	$2.0K	1,987	+1,987	No	+$13	05-06 11:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 13:31:58	Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xb0b4f4…
06-14 13:31:58	Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x38eeef…
06-13 18:33:06	Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x88cfda…
06-13 18:33:06	Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0f4df2…
06-13 17:27:12	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x5e919b…
06-13 17:27:12	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x42259c…
06-13 14:07:45	will lambdas valuation hit low 7b by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xd016af…
06-13 14:07:45	will lambdas valuation hit low 6b by june 30	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5cfb29…
06-13 13:54:48	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb7f46f…
06-13 13:54:48	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x8826da…
06-13 08:29:03	Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb636e5…
06-13 08:29:03	Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x733edc…
06-13 05:50:27	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x78ea0a…
06-13 05:27:22	us x cuba economic deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xafe6e8…
06-13 05:27:22	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x988260…
06-13 05:19:04	will anthropics valuation hit low 850b by june 30	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb9d4a4…
06-13 05:19:04	will anthropics valuation hit low 875b by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x13f0ee…
06-13 04:52:58	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	Yes	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0xe72de7…
06-13 04:52:58	will spacex acquire cursor by september 30 2026	No	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x0aa8b0…
06-13 04:38:37	will spacex acquire cursor by september 30 2026	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xbf1ab5…
06-13 04:38:37	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xa6dfbb…
06-13 03:42:37	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x42beeb…
06-13 03:42:37	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x33a6df…
06-13 02:49:09	will stripes valuation hit high 190b by june 30	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xe68767…
06-13 02:49:09	will stripes valuation hit high 210b by june 30	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x71df40…
06-13 02:48:57	will stripes valuation hit high 190b by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x3fb567…
06-13 02:48:57	will stripes valuation hit high 210b by june 30	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x03e665…
06-13 02:48:48	will stripes valuation hit high 210b by june 30	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe5f3fa…
06-13 02:48:48	will stripes valuation hit high 190b by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x14d98a…
06-13 00:50:42	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2816fb…
06-13 00:50:42	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1e4c77…
06-13 00:46:45	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xc0f7eb…
06-13 00:46:45	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xb6a057…
06-13 00:19:09	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x5607db…
06-13 00:19:09	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1ab4de…
06-13 00:17:39	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0xd90ab6…
06-13 00:17:39	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0xa2879c…
06-13 00:17:27	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0x27de46…
06-13 00:17:27	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	86¢	$28	0x10d360…
06-12 22:25:27	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xca0980…
06-12 22:25:27	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x445f6b…
06-12 22:03:28	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x4a04c6…
06-12 22:03:28	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3b53e7…
06-12 21:53:34	will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	44	28¢	$12	0xe46348…
06-12 21:53:34	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	44	70¢	$31	0x9a6647…
06-12 21:40:22	Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xdfab81…
06-12 21:40:22	Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x0c18fd…
06-12 21:40:19	Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xa7fb97…
06-12 21:40:19	Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7c1eb9…
06-12 10:21:57	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xd62a78…
06-12 10:21:57	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x79b7ff…
06-12 09:38:27	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x65cc35…
06-12 09:38:27	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x252838…
06-12 09:38:18	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x7adf0a…
06-12 09:38:16	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf43da2…
06-12 09:38:07	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x80d78f…
06-12 09:38:07	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x596222…
06-12 09:38:00	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe67e1e…
06-12 09:38:00	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x69e350…
06-12 09:37:52	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeabea1…
06-12 09:37:52	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9bb4f1…
06-12 09:37:43	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe83bb3…
06-12 09:37:43	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9884cb…
06-12 09:37:34	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9d4145…
06-12 09:37:34	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7b68a8…
06-12 09:37:27	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x96c038…
06-12 09:37:27	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x0e28e0…
06-12 09:37:19	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xfe3551…
06-12 09:37:19	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2b251f…
06-12 09:37:12	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbbd74e…
06-12 09:37:12	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2402e4…
06-12 09:37:03	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcde2b8…
06-12 09:37:03	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x451be1…
06-12 09:36:55	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xef592f…
06-12 09:36:55	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x15a015…
06-12 09:36:48	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7611d9…
06-12 09:36:46	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x796ad9…
06-12 09:36:39	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcf3123…
06-12 09:36:39	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7fcbe0…
06-12 09:15:40	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x81e2bd…
06-12 09:15:40	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4b3d97…
06-12 09:13:30	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf0dc00…
06-12 09:13:30	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9eb5c8…
06-12 09:13:12	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xe08784…
06-12 09:13:12	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xbbb084…
06-12 09:13:03	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xcf1521…
06-12 09:13:03	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x9047ca…
06-12 09:12:51	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf2017d…
06-12 09:12:51	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc1a89f…
06-12 09:12:43	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe6d478…
06-12 09:12:43	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x57c8e9…
06-12 09:12:36	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa1f86a…
06-12 09:12:36	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x420d6f…
06-12 09:12:27	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x784311…
06-12 09:12:27	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x40cb8f…
06-12 09:12:18	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7915ad…
06-12 09:12:18	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x47ed79…
06-12 09:12:10	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2f8e5f…
06-12 09:12:09	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaa467d…
06-12 09:12:01	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x520a3e…