Realized P&L
-$1.21K
Unrealized P&L
-$224
Hit rate
79.5%
Resolved
597
Trades
1,259
lifetime
Volume
$42.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$307
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 10-31 15:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 146 days
Categories
Crypto
60% 73% -$382
Other
35% 54% -$705
Pop-Culture
2% 100% +$69
Politics
1% 60% -$164
Sports
1% 55% -$13
Tech
0% 29% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +130 $110 98¢ $128 +$18 10-26 07:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +128 $100 98¢ $126 +$26 10-05 14:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +15 $11 72¢ $11 $0 10-28 02:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $0 10-29 02:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +10 $5 52¢ $5 $0 10-27 06:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +8 $272 59¢ $5 -$267 10-29 02:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +7 $5 68¢ $5 $0 10-29 02:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +10 $4 34¢ $3 -$1 10-29 02:54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +6 $2 56¢ $3 +$1 10-26 16:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 $0 10-29 02:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +2 $2 86¢ $2 $0 10-29 02:58
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-25 13:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 10-26 07:17
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +1 $1 75¢ $1 $0 10-29 08:08
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 $0 10-29 08:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 $0 10-27 06:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +3 $1 29¢ $1 $0 10-22 01:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +2 $1 42¢ $1 $0 10-27 06:37
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-27 06:32