Jaded-Display — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$599

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

760

Trades

15,138

lifetime

Volume

$5.48M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$362

Open exposure

$5.80K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 78% +$68,829

Other

3% 66% -$2,552

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 358 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	+4,086	$3,301	82¢	$3.4K	+$49	10-27 13:36
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+2,030	$2,550	51¢	$1.0K	-$1,505	10-29 09:59
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+1,434	$971	71¢	$1.0K	+$44	10-29 17:50
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+144	-$4	86¢	$125	+$129	10-28 11:02
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+125	$105	92¢	$116	+$11	10-29 14:33
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	-386	-$206	23¢	$-89	+$118	07-14 16:46
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	+36	$34	94¢	$34	+$0	08-22 11:36
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+18	-$22	95¢	$17	+$40	10-24 08:43
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	+56	$27	18¢	$10	-$17	08-27 01:58
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+0	-$30	99¢	$0	+$31	10-14 16:33
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+0	-$502	95¢	$0	+$502	10-28 07:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	145	$95.3K	53,867	48,764	+5,103	Yes	+$3,665	05-01 02:02
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	125	$58.1K	34,152	34,152	+0	Yes	+$7,892	09-10 18:32
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	278	$52.6K	44,215	44,215	+0	Yes	+$1,690	09-10 20:00
laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	122	$49.8K	35,913	35,913	+0	No	+$1,728	09-10 20:00
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	80	$48.7K	25,991	25,991	+0	Yes	+$2,874	07-31 20:01
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	97	$44.6K	23,854	24,242	-389	Yes	+$1,778	04-30 13:09
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	155	$43.6K	23,865	23,765	+100	Yes	+$2,891	03-31 19:32
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	94	$43.4K	25,993	19,820	+6,173	Yes	+$1,285	03-06 17:36
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	133	$42.5K	23,997	24,916	-918	Yes	+$4,747	01-29 20:59
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	66	$42.4K	23,046	22,757	+290	Yes	+$999	04-14 19:57
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	27	$41.6K	21,186	21,186	+0	No	-$28	05-25 12:52
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	39	$39.5K	20,350	20,716	-366	No	+$867	04-01 19:59
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	61	$36.1K	18,575	19,745	-1,170	Yes	+$611	04-01 19:59
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	92	$33.2K	17,999	18,099	-100	Yes	+$1,595	04-01 12:00
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	63	$32.8K	17,387	18,297	-910	Yes	+$844	02-28 20:14
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	72	$32.2K	15,354	18,076	-2,722	Yes	+$1,040	05-26 19:57
bitcoin above 72k on august 21 2026	40	$31.8K	15,997	15,997	+0	Yes	+$109	08-21 14:25
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	44	$31.4K	15,906	16,906	-1,000	Yes	+$1,111	04-22 19:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12?	38	$30.6K	15,375	15,375	+0	Yes	+$42	06-12 14:34
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	70	$30.4K	16,002	16,002	+0	Yes	+$1,124	07-31 09:24
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	67	$29.6K	14,880	16,624	-1,744	Yes	+$974	04-14 18:09
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	70	$29.2K	16,098	16,445	-347	Yes	+$1,087	04-01 17:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?	36	$28.8K	14,463	14,463	+0	Yes	+$72	09-18 13:49
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	71	$28.5K	20,247	12,091	+8,157	Yes	+$2,188	04-13 17:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	42	$28.2K	14,311	13,981	+330	No	+$69	05-18 15:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?	26	$27.9K	14,014	14,014	+0	No	+$94	09-15 14:39
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	50	$27.3K	15,211	14,642	+569	Yes	+$885	04-22 18:22
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	76	$25.8K	14,848	15,633	-785	Yes	+$978	05-26 20:01
ethereum above 1900 on march 10	33	$24.8K	12,545	12,470	+74	Yes	+$115	03-10 14:46
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	43	$24.4K	13,136	13,513	-377	Yes	+$1,461	04-22 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:50:25	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,896	90¢	$1,701	0x304937…
10-29 17:50:22	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,434	75¢	$1,072	0x14333e…
10-29 14:33:14	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	48	93¢	$45	0x891e23…
10-29 13:26:56	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	554	93¢	$515	0x7c94fb…
10-29 09:59:16	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	54	60¢	$33	0xdc23ec…
10-29 09:48:58	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,034	61¢	$1,246	0x08e369…
10-29 09:48:50	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,500	62¢	$1,555	0x23131f…
10-29 07:25:52	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,343	88¢	$1,179	0x1f8979…
10-29 06:23:38	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,996	85¢	$1,703	0x146a37…
10-29 04:26:44	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	101	88¢	$89	0x727c77…
10-28 17:24:31	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	152	88¢	$133	0x316048…
10-28 15:17:59	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	203	69¢	$140	0x911cef…
10-28 12:00:04	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	64¢	$190	0x66df41…
10-28 11:32:47	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0x83d608…
10-28 11:05:04	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	77	82¢	$63	0xd944d4…
10-28 11:02:50	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0xd81dbe…
10-28 10:50:16	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	290	82¢	$238	0x614904…
10-28 10:49:56	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	65¢	$196	0x6c82f8…
10-28 10:35:50	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x0c92ba…
10-28 09:51:37	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	72¢	$217	0xe69cdd…
10-28 09:42:25	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x1b4034…
10-28 09:41:52	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	530	95¢	$503	0x091b3a…
10-28 09:41:37	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xbd8a5b…
10-28 09:33:01	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	490	80¢	$394	0x8eec58…
10-28 08:32:19	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x17bc3b…
10-28 08:30:10	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	82¢	$409	0x8268be…
10-28 08:24:38	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	393	85¢	$333	0xb41f19…
10-28 08:23:37	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xf3c781…
10-28 08:23:04	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9e6023…
10-28 08:22:53	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xe18846…
10-28 08:22:47	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	177	91¢	$161	0xfd3c9c…
10-28 08:13:11	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	197	90¢	$177	0x304bc8…
10-28 07:46:37	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	344	96¢	$330	0x0f588d…
10-28 07:40:44	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	88	96¢	$84	0xc9a279…
10-28 07:35:34	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	922	97¢	$894	0xdaa551…
10-28 07:28:47	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x56f377…
10-28 07:23:13	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	99	96¢	$95	0x88f321…
10-28 07:22:58	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x495e2d…
10-28 07:17:59	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	90¢	$901	0xa18a7b…
10-28 07:16:19	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xafbe05…
10-28 07:07:20	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x419076…
10-28 07:02:29	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	559	90¢	$504	0xf0468c…
10-28 06:59:52	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	300	88¢	$264	0xe43653…
10-28 06:59:38	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,443	88¢	$2,150	0xb19c45…
10-28 06:58:37	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	276	91¢	$252	0x4d2180…
10-28 06:55:13	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x35fc8d…
10-28 06:44:49	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x76b442…
10-28 06:43:44	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x1ff1d7…
10-28 06:39:40	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	750	85¢	$636	0x880bd4…
10-28 06:39:11	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,025	95¢	$974	0xf86cab…
10-28 06:38:37	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xd6d080…
10-28 06:38:08	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x581d6f…
10-28 06:37:46	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	617	87¢	$535	0x631774…
10-28 06:37:31	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x1c3e58…
10-28 06:37:05	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x413ec6…
10-28 06:36:50	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	603	96¢	$581	0xb1cccb…
10-27 13:36:54	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0xcd10d5…
10-27 12:07:32	StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	156	1¢	$1	0x386de1…
10-27 10:44:45	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x39c8de…
10-27 08:54:06	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0xaf5d0b…
10-27 08:46:45	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	603	96¢	$579	0x6388e6…
10-27 08:45:36	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	745	80¢	$596	0x2505d0…
10-26 15:47:33	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	230	94¢	$216	0xd5c096…
10-26 15:47:23	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0xc9177d…
10-26 15:46:47	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	182	75¢	$136	0x61906f…
10-26 08:09:12	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	977	94¢	$917	0x11c689…
10-26 05:07:11	Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x9c860a…
10-26 03:22:47	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	93	95¢	$88	0x7bcd2f…
10-26 03:07:18	Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xef84b0…
10-26 03:07:15	Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x613089…
10-26 03:07:09	Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x2f4f09…
10-26 03:07:06	Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xd2246f…
10-26 03:06:08	Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x9d7f62…
10-26 03:06:05	Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$3	0xe2a5f1…
10-26 03:06:03	Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x88bb55…
10-26 03:06:03	Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	559	3¢	$17	0x5e2937…
10-26 02:02:33	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xb75d76…
10-26 02:02:30	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x8a210a…
10-25 16:49:14	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	790	95¢	$750	0x74c016…
10-25 09:24:57	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	293	95¢	$278	0xb827c2…
10-25 02:43:11	StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x45a17f…
10-24 10:01:39	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xbafffe…
10-24 09:42:26	StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	130	1¢	$1	0xec0050…
10-24 08:43:03	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	700	96¢	$671	0x45225a…
10-24 06:13:30	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	298	71¢	$212	0xab6256…
10-24 01:41:30	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	363	73¢	$265	0xe69fd5…
10-23 18:55:03	StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	118	1¢	$1	0xa4fdc7…
10-23 09:13:32	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	95	95¢	$90	0x7c75a8…
10-23 09:12:18	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	110	95¢	$104	0x1afd1e…
10-23 09:11:56	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0xe8da69…
10-23 09:11:24	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	67	95¢	$64	0x72f52d…
10-23 09:10:51	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0xc5fd23…
10-23 09:10:23	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0x46260b…
10-23 09:06:47	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xa4d961…
10-23 09:05:47	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x5e94ce…
10-23 09:03:50	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x861608…
10-23 09:02:24	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x648630…
10-23 09:02:00	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	82	95¢	$78	0xf0482c…
10-23 09:00:56	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0xbaa0bb…
10-23 06:49:32	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	118	69¢	$82	0x81206f…