Productive-Stamen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.12K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

48.7%

Resolved

465

Trades

797

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-27 01:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 14% +$521

Other

47% 27% -$2,444

Sports

3% 25% +$177

Politics

2% 0% -$378

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	—	+117	$7	3¢	$3	-$4	10-27 01:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on july 8 2026	3	$1.3K	1,173	1,173	+0	No	+$1,073	07-08 16:11
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	3	$986	787	787	+0	No	+$587	03-05 17:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 6	2	$952	563	563	+0	No	+$152	03-06 14:35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek	2	$769	441	441	+0	Iga Swiatek	+$111	05-11 19:13
bitcoin above 70k on march 6	3	$698	575	575	+0	No	+$326	03-06 15:23
bitcoin above 68k on march 6	4	$550	2,643	0	+2,643	Yes	-$550	03-06 15:46
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapova	2	$547	308	308	+0	Jessica Pegula	+$67	05-11 17:43
bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 4pm et	4	$400	2,845	0	+2,845	Up	-$400	08-19 20:25
bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 5pm et	4	$331	1,475	878	+597	Up	-$94	08-19 21:43
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$300	500	0	+500	Spurs	+$200	05-09 02:25
spx up or down on march 6 2026	1	$300	3,333	0	+3,333	Down	-$300	03-06 16:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?	4	$246	178	178	+0	Yes	+$110	05-11 16:55
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$240	455	0	+455	Yes	-$240	05-11 19:16
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 180 199	3	$221	4,837	2,491	+2,346	No	-$133	03-07 02:29
bitcoin above 66k on august 20 2026	2	$207	2,700	2,700	+0	Yes	-$145	08-19 21:31
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$200	1,165	0	+1,165	No	-$200	05-15 11:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	3	$195	1,043	0	+1,043	No	-$195	10-08 04:55
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5	1	$190	594	0	+594	Over	-$190	05-11 19:19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	2	$190	331	0	+331	Thiago Agustin Tirante	-$190	05-11 17:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 9?	2	$164	773	773	+0	No	-$36	07-08 04:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?	4	$161	220	220	+0	Yes	-$39	05-14 11:50
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$156	3,646	0	+3,646	No	-$156	05-08 15:07
highest temperature in seoul on april 9 2026 12c	4	$154	117	114	+4	Yes	+$76	04-09 12:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 21:00 UTC	3	$150	1,511	0	+1,511	Up	-$150	08-19 21:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 20:30 UTC	3	$150	542	0	+542	Down	+$392	08-19 20:35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?	2	$149	99	99	+0	Yes	+$49	05-09 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?	1	$147	215	0	+215	No	-$147	05-08 04:42
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$139	2,722	2,722	+0	No	-$3	06-06 05:31
highest temperature in tokyo on april 9 2026 19c	3	$134	97	94	+3	Yes	+$56	04-09 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 9?	2	$133	83	83	+0	Yes	+$33	05-10 02:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:41:15	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	175	1¢	$2	0x8adc00…
10-27 01:40:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	134	1¢	$2	0x8c020c…
10-27 01:21:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	134	2¢	$2	0x5c75ac…
10-27 01:20:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0x510533…
10-27 01:19:42	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,061	1¢	$12	0x4e9fe0…
10-27 01:19:20	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	232	5¢	$12	0xa3ad4b…
10-26 09:19:03	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0xd33deb…
10-26 09:18:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x8db330…
10-26 09:17:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	381	5¢	$20	0xac2e67…
10-25 23:06:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	431	2¢	$8	0xe499d9…
10-23 12:11:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,099	1¢	$11	0x2848ec…
10-20 09:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x9692f4…
10-20 09:49:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	983	1¢	$8	0x29ec47…
10-19 14:26:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	870	1¢	$7	0xdfa13c…
10-15 18:12:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	637	2¢	$11	0xe0d2a0…
10-14 21:54:34	bitcoin above 80k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	68	12¢	$8	0x69b08f…
10-14 21:54:18	bitcoin above 78k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	947	3¢	$24	0xd73afb…
10-14 12:38:18	bitcoin above 80k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	137	5¢	$7	0xbe96aa…
10-14 12:36:35	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	No	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0xe48719…
10-14 12:36:08	bitcoin above 88k on october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	2,188	0¢	$2	0xc1400c…
10-14 12:18:26	bitcoin above 88k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2,188	1¢	$11	0xf7a62c…
10-14 12:18:06	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	458	3¢	$13	0x5696da…
10-14 06:06:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	477	1¢	$6	0x79b5e8…
10-14 06:06:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?	No	SELL	71	10¢	$7	0xefd8b0…
10-14 05:57:41	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	458	4¢	$18	0xe0ba98…
10-14 05:56:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	140	10¢	$14	0x67d5db…
10-14 05:56:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	952	1¢	$13	0xf82e95…
10-13 07:45:38	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	628	2¢	$10	0x30fe6e…
10-13 07:39:10	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3f0319…
10-13 07:36:59	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x85a1bf…
10-13 07:07:29	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2cb67c…
10-10 03:32:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	1,203	1¢	$8	0x69dc84…
10-08 15:24:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	992	2¢	$15	0x42cf3f…
10-08 04:55:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	521	15¢	$79	0xb2263a…
10-08 02:36:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	68	23¢	$16	0x014ff1…
10-08 02:34:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x6a8aff…
10-07 22:37:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	935	4¢	$33	0x9b190a…
10-07 22:37:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	1,407	2¢	$30	0x1c7ccc…
10-07 22:36:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1,176	3¢	$40	0x545e85…
10-07 22:35:47	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x301223…
10-07 13:55:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc4ad50…
10-07 13:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	632	10¢	$64	0x947d5e…
10-07 13:49:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0x4a5af7…
10-07 13:48:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9f430b…
10-07 13:48:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	34	10¢	$3	0x58a515…
10-07 13:48:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0xfde009…
10-07 13:48:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb2c806…
10-07 13:48:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x571bdb…
10-07 13:48:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x142771…
10-07 13:48:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x461b3e…
10-07 13:48:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0x27ad8d…
10-07 13:48:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6508b7…
10-07 13:48:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0xcaed23…
10-07 13:48:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x836f26…
10-07 13:48:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x55eba2…
10-07 13:48:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x399842…
10-07 13:48:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	151	10¢	$15	0xe538a9…
10-07 13:48:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xaf0c49…
10-07 13:48:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x51078d…
10-07 13:47:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x061c73…
10-07 13:47:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	149	10¢	$15	0xf739ef…
10-07 13:47:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x1e17d6…
10-07 13:46:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0x4e1dc5…
10-07 13:44:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0x3b37ca…
10-07 09:17:42	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	362	2¢	$9	0x176e52…
10-07 09:17:27	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x339c91…
10-07 09:16:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	1,622	3¢	$50	0x29fa3b…
10-05 13:03:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	1,319	0¢	$4	0xe61cae…
10-05 13:03:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	304	2¢	$7	0x5a28b5…
09-28 01:25:51	bitcoin above 80k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	797	1¢	$9	0xb1e461…
09-28 01:25:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	254	6¢	$16	0x8114c2…
09-28 01:23:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0xfe24cd…
09-28 01:07:21	will bitcoin dip to 84k on september 27 2026	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xf9b512…
09-28 00:25:35	will bitcoin dip to 84k on september 27 2026	Yes	BUY	58	13¢	$7	0x750f5c…
09-24 09:59:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24?	No	BUY	84	13¢	$11	0xa6a41c…
09-23 00:49:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	68	4¢	$2	0xeff968…
09-23 00:48:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	667	1¢	$6	0xf78211…
09-22 02:15:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	347	2¢	$7	0x382b97…
09-22 02:13:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x91c949…
09-22 02:13:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x85f164…
09-22 02:12:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x366dae…
09-21 05:25:39	will bitcoin dip to 79k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	34	10¢	$3	0x146ed0…
09-21 05:23:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	1,167	1¢	$7	0xaaaa4e…
09-21 05:23:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xe30713…
09-19 14:54:48	will bitcoin dip to 78k september 14 20 2026 from september 18	Yes	BUY	521	2¢	$10	0x882178…
09-16 08:04:40	will bitcoin dip to 69k on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	574	1¢	$3	0x28c928…
09-16 08:04:25	will bitcoin dip to 70k on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$5	0xa4387c…
09-16 08:04:18	will bitcoin dip to 71k on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xedb6d5…
09-16 08:03:46	will bitcoin dip to 72k on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	350	3¢	$10	0x3a4deb…
09-16 08:02:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	133	7¢	$10	0x6b8aed…
09-15 01:43:18	will bitcoin dip to 77k on september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	191	5¢	$9	0x13a471…
09-14 17:57:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	313	3¢	$8	0x2fe933…
09-14 03:15:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	1,328	1¢	$16	0x24ffd7…
09-14 03:12:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	800	5¢	$40	0x075d5b…
09-13 11:09:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	308	4¢	$12	0x77c871…
09-13 11:08:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13?	No	BUY	133	7¢	$10	0xe06ba5…
09-11 22:38:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12?	No	BUY	1,177	5¢	$60	0x2450a0…
09-11 17:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x147fa4…
09-11 17:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xbd8a27…
09-11 17:20:10	will bitcoin dip to 76k on september 11 2026	Yes	BUY	610	8¢	$50	0x5e7bec…