Productive-Stamen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$289

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

Trades

355

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-06 05:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

53% 42% $-394

Crypto

45% 49% +$483

Sports

3% 100% +$200

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	3	$986	787	787	+0	open	—	03-05 17:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 6	2	$952	563	563	+0	open	—	03-06 14:35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek	2	$769	441	441	+0	Iga Swiatek	+$111	05-11 19:13
bitcoin above 70k on march 6	3	$698	575	575	+0	open	—	03-06 15:23
bitcoin above 68k on march 6	4	$550	2,643	0	+2,643	open	—	03-06 15:46
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapova	2	$547	308	308	+0	Jessica Pegula	+$67	05-11 17:43
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$300	500	0	+500	Spurs	+$200	05-09 02:25
spx up or down on march 6 2026	1	$300	3,333	0	+3,333	open	—	03-06 16:52
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$240	455	0	+455	Yes	$-240	05-11 19:16
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 180 199	3	$221	4,837	2,491	+2,346	open	—	03-07 02:29
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5	1	$190	594	0	+594	Over	$-190	05-11 19:19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	2	$190	331	0	+331	Thiago Agustin Tirante	$-190	05-11 17:24
highest temperature in seoul on april 9 2026 12c	4	$154	117	114	+4	open	—	04-09 12:26
highest temperature in tokyo on april 9 2026 19c	3	$134	97	94	+3	open	—	04-09 08:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$129	236	0	+236	Up	+$107	05-11 08:14
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 160 179	2	$127	6,569	6,569	+0	open	—	03-07 02:24
highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 11c	2	$122	96	96	+0	open	—	03-20 05:45
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	7	$120	567	542	+25	open	—	04-10 06:32
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	3	$120	5,796	5,796	+0	open	—	03-07 02:23
bitcoin above 60k on june 6 2026 252	2	$114	397	0	+397	open	—	06-06 05:41
highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 11c	2	$111	79	79	+0	open	—	03-21 06:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	3	$108	578	533	+45	Yes	+$2	05-12 05:26
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	2	$107	185	185	+0	Daniil Medvedev	$-93	05-11 17:13
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	1	$100	627	0	+627	open	—	03-05 17:32
bitcoin above 68k on march 4	1	$100	257	0	+257	open	—	03-04 06:55
Seattle Storm vs. Connecticut Sun	1	$100	196	0	+196	Seattle Storm	+$96	05-10 17:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$100	289	0	+289	Down	+$189	05-07 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$100	285	0	+285	Up	+$185	05-08 07:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$100	196	0	+196	Down	+$96	05-11 08:44
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears	1	$100	175	0	+175	SSG Landers	+$75	05-08 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 05:41:33	bitcoin above 60k on june 6 2026 252	No	BUY	55	25¢	$14	0x0b8f92…
06-06 05:32:46	bitcoin above 60k on june 6 2026 252	No	BUY	342	29¢	$100	0xfdaf8a…
06-05 17:36:10	btc updown 5m 1780680900	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc31aee…
06-05 17:36:07	btc updown 5m 1780680900	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc5f13c…
06-05 17:35:58	btc updown 5m 1780680900	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xe450d7…
06-05 17:35:36	btc updown 5m 1780680600	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xad6040…
06-05 17:30:21	btc updown 5m 1780680600	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9b9035…
06-05 17:30:21	btc updown 5m 1780680600	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x958aaf…
06-05 17:30:19	btc updown 5m 1780680600	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x93398d…
06-05 17:30:19	btc updown 5m 1780680600	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8c8f20…
06-05 17:26:36	btc updown 5m 1780680300	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x7f8587…
06-05 17:26:09	btc updown 5m 1780680300	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x688ae7…
06-05 17:26:07	btc updown 5m 1780680300	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe1d67c…
06-03 11:41:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x239488…
05-17 06:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdc13f2…
05-15 11:01:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,291	6¢	$83	0xa60dd2…
05-14 14:42:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	948	1¢	$8	0x6afd08…
05-14 05:36:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,407	1¢	$21	0x2dd767…
05-14 04:39:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	653	1¢	$10	0xff45e7…
05-14 02:37:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,002	3¢	$30	0x271d7b…
05-12 05:26:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe928e4…
05-12 05:26:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	893	1¢	$5	0x05b2c8…
05-12 05:24:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	533	10¢	$55	0xf74442…
05-11 23:56:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	533	9¢	$48	0x148817…
05-11 19:19:57	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	594	32¢	$190	0xe8361b…
05-11 19:16:47	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	455	53¢	$240	0xdac831…
05-11 19:13:20	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	SELL	441	100¢	$440	0x316e77…
05-11 17:46:25	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	441	75¢	$329	0xeacd4d…
05-11 17:43:51	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapova	Jessica Pegula	SELL	308	100¢	$307	0x881f8e…
05-11 17:24:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0xdb9947…
05-11 17:23:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	161	56¢	$90	0xfba350…
05-11 17:16:09	Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Ruiz (+1.5)	Medvedev	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xb35f0c…
05-11 17:13:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	SELL	185	4¢	$7	0x5f293b…
05-11 16:34:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapova	Jessica Pegula	BUY	308	78¢	$240	0x4b99dc…
05-11 16:28:20	Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Ruiz (+1.5)	Medvedev	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0xe4da03…
05-11 16:06:09	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xeaa01b…
05-11 15:26:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	152	1¢	$2	0x38c128…
05-11 15:21:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x4e2a6e…
05-11 15:21:17	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic	Mariano Navone	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xa01df7…
05-11 15:17:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	347	1¢	$5	0x39820f…
05-11 14:38:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0x205447…
05-11 14:35:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	124	8¢	$10	0x5c2fbb…
05-11 08:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x23a720…
05-11 08:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	70	54¢	$38	0x09a7fe…
05-11 08:36:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xaebc9f…
05-11 08:35:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x8054f5…
05-11 08:26:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	148	54¢	$80	0x355c65…
05-11 08:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	236	55¢	$129	0x92529a…
05-11 08:05:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0x01f997…
05-11 08:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0xd62091…
05-11 07:55:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x0f0f2b…
05-11 07:52:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x524799…
05-11 07:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc06831…
05-11 07:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x35a2cd…
05-10 17:17:21	Seattle Storm vs. Connecticut Sun	Seattle Storm	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x6248b7…
05-09 02:25:06	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xbbe43e…
05-08 16:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x77842b…
05-08 16:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x74736a…
05-08 12:06:07	KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles	LG Twins	SELL	71	34¢	$24	0x531fcf…
05-08 10:01:16	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears	SSG Landers	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x7a404d…
05-08 10:00:53	KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles	LG Twins	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xb38347…
05-08 10:00:48	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Lotte Giants	Kia Tigers	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x8495f3…
05-08 09:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xdd6c7f…
05-08 09:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x1d9a97…
05-08 09:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc3634d…
05-08 09:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfe63cd…
05-08 09:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2b9a0d…
05-08 07:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x166a77…
05-08 07:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x97eb8f…
05-08 07:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	285	35¢	$100	0x39923b…
05-07 15:15:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	125	31¢	$39	0x49ba31…
05-07 11:18:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2493c1…
05-07 07:37:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x974223…
05-07 07:36:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x870487…
05-07 07:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x116ba3…
05-07 07:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x81fdea…
05-07 07:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xbb565f…
05-07 07:25:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x050346…
05-07 07:21:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe1a9af…
05-07 07:19:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xa65c7e…
05-07 07:17:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x17ca7e…
05-07 07:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xf5c46e…
05-07 07:07:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x4f4c2c…
05-07 06:50:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x92c8ca…
05-07 06:42:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x4553ec…
05-07 06:15:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	289	35¢	$100	0x25b2a9…
04-23 17:09:28	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 72forhigher	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8fffc0…
04-23 16:49:28	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0xecbf1e…
04-23 16:13:08	highest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0xd08120…
04-23 10:17:42	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 23	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0xcb5787…
04-23 09:58:34	lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xe9c971…
04-23 09:54:40	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	174	3¢	$5	0xc9224f…
04-23 09:51:14	will bitcoin dip to 75k on april 23	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xd36e57…
04-23 09:50:52	will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 23	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0x43f8e5…
04-23 09:46:52	lowest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x6b4ed6…
04-23 09:44:58	highest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x8ac897…
04-19 07:36:48	highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x47df00…
04-19 07:35:44	bitcoin above 72k on april 19	No	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x7cc2a3…
04-19 07:27:08	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	No	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x33d567…
04-19 07:27:02	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	No	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x2f66d5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	104	$37.4K	3,687	05-15 14:01
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	91	$17.5K	3,437	04-24 03:45
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	90	$107.5K	2,951	05-14 15:14
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	87	$25.5K	7,831	04-28 09:31
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	86	$55.7K	8,845	04-25 16:48
Upset-Fireman 0xdedd…17e1	79	$14.1K	1,780	04-23 23:24
Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b	79	$2.40K	599	04-24 15:43
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	79	$1.79K	365	04-18 00:04