Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$150
$104 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$988
Latest YES mid
24¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 02:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $55 | $53 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $17 | $2 | +$15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Median | 5 | $13 | $2 | +$11 |
| Below median | 4 | $10 | $34 | $23 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $12 | $30 | $18 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prize-Jar 0xdd1b…ff31 | Yes | +90 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-12 21:32 |
| Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | +78 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 05-13 00:03 |
| Better-Present 0x1948…ff2f | Yes | +61 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 21:27 |
| Juvenile-Wasabi 0x198e…ede0 | Yes | +39 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-13 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | +38 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-12 21:17 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-12 21:41 |
| Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | +21 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 00:51 |
| Upset-Fireman 0xdedd…17e1 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c8f…5846 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 05-13 02:57 |
| Awful-Skylight 0xfb19…08fe | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e32…a727 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:32 |
| Brisk-Hive 0xee2a…729b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 01:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x84b7…eeb5 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:52 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:01 |
| Stimulating-Glow 0xdecc…7be8 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 17:16 |
| Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 12:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 02:57:50 | Annual-Selfesteem 0x44a7…c2e4 | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x691b1b… |
| 05-13 02:57:50 | (anonymous) 0x0c8f…5846 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xd46139… |
| 05-13 01:33:45 | Brisk-Hive 0xee2a…729b | No | BUY | 3 | 77¢ | $2 | 0xa37da4… |
| 05-13 01:26:15 | Upset-Fireman 0xdedd…17e1 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x696e5d… |
| 05-13 01:26:13 | Juvenile-Wasabi 0x198e…ede0 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xfd5cb6… |
| 05-13 01:07:51 | Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xf188b5… |
| 05-13 00:52:39 | (anonymous) 0x84b7…eeb5 | No | BUY | 3 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x74d72e… |
| 05-13 00:51:15 | Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xfaf771… |
| 05-13 00:16:38 | Odd-Saint 0x2e70…50eb | No | SELL | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x82caf5… |
| 05-13 00:03:34 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x25b7a2… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x74a68b… |
| 05-13 00:01:40 | (anonymous) 0x0c8f…5846 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa05bf3… |
| 05-13 00:01:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x9a3d60… |
| 05-12 21:41:31 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x3889d4… |
| 05-12 21:41:31 | (anonymous) 0x0c8f…5846 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x2c94e6… |
| 05-12 21:41:31 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $25 | 0x7c3cab… |
| 05-12 21:41:31 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x358604… |
| 05-12 21:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x6e32…a727 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x68921d… |
| 05-12 21:32:57 | Prize-Jar 0xdd1b…ff31 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 19¢ | $17 | 0x7f1656… |
| 05-12 21:27:49 | Better-Present 0x1948…ff2f | Yes | BUY | 61 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x810dcf… |
| 05-12 21:17:40 | (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | BUY | 38 | 84¢ | $32 | 0x1a2c82… |
| 05-12 20:17:38 | Juvenile-Wasabi 0x198e…ede0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x726578… |
| 05-12 19:15:25 | Awful-Skylight 0xfb19…08fe | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xa54198… |
| 05-12 18:07:33 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xd42832… |
| 05-12 17:16:38 | Stimulating-Glow 0xdecc…7be8 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xc92f7c… |
| 05-12 12:47:57 | Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xc5bbaa… |