Infamous-Illness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$159

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

696

lifetime

Volume

$42.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-08 19:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

43% 100% +$51

Politics

40% 100% +$90

Crypto

15% 100% +$18

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	41	$2.5K	1,401	1,401	+0	open	—	04-29 19:04
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	27	$2.1K	1,145	1,145	+0	open	—	04-26 04:41
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	30	$1.8K	1,572	1,572	+0	open	—	05-07 23:49
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	17	$1.8K	1,792	0	+1,792	Yes	+$35	05-07 00:10
Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?	15	$1.6K	1,454	311	+1,142	open	—	04-29 20:00
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	21	$1.6K	1,101	1,041	+60	open	—	04-26 07:16
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	16	$1.6K	863	823	+41	open	—	05-01 00:28
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	14	$1.5K	1,549	0	+1,549	open	—	05-02 06:06
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	6	$1.4K	1,422	0	+1,422	Yes	+$45	05-07 05:25
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	12	$1.4K	701	701	+0	open	—	05-07 06:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	6	$1.1K	567	567	+0	open	—	04-18 10:24
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	20	$989	505	504	+1	Yes	+$12	05-02 20:07
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	20	$957	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$43	05-11 19:13
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	26	$935	979	0	+979	open	—	04-25 04:30
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	18	$906	615	330	+284	open	—	04-24 00:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	3	$797	400	400	+0	open	—	04-26 19:19
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	11	$753	972	0	+972	open	—	05-21 23:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	24	$741	1,369	610	+759	open	—	05-19 20:36
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$740	755	0	+755	Yes	+$15	04-25 19:50
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	13	$686	754	0	+754	open	—	04-30 20:25
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	24	$662	2,373	2,373	+0	open	—	05-08 17:17
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	6	$657	337	333	+4	open	—	04-28 07:02
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	10	$631	730	16	+714	open	—	04-22 02:48
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	23	$607	1,082	692	+390	open	—	05-29 15:36
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	7	$606	343	343	+0	open	—	04-27 18:54
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	6	$591	300	300	+0	open	—	04-30 15:12
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	10	$578	366	412	-46	open	—	05-21 14:17
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 14, 2026?	6	$541	295	295	+0	open	—	05-13 14:55
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	7	$481	248	248	+0	open	—	04-24 22:38
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	2	$457	230	230	+0	open	—	04-26 17:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 19:04:01	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x7055e9…
06-08 03:53:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xe5f94e…
06-07 21:02:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x9aee40…
06-03 12:58:35	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xc10e51…
05-29 15:36:58	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x947ea9…
05-29 15:36:44	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x963e96…
05-29 15:23:10	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	113	92¢	$104	0x9d9219…
05-29 14:51:25	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xe75c5b…
05-29 14:50:50	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x7f9ecb…
05-29 14:50:25	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x948870…
05-29 14:49:06	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	119	93¢	$110	0x053728…
05-26 21:08:28	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x3524aa…
05-26 19:53:23	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x19f1ea…
05-26 19:50:19	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xcf6c09…
05-26 15:23:07	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	270	12¢	$32	0x661bb0…
05-26 15:23:05	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	SELL	692	6¢	$42	0x7da71a…
05-23 00:17:30	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0xba2d4b…
05-22 23:58:16	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	49¢	$39	0x1a6f73…
05-22 23:35:10	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x32770d…
05-22 23:15:48	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x9ce085…
05-22 04:44:46	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xc159d6…
05-22 04:44:30	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x97a3f7…
05-22 04:41:24	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x3f6af4…
05-22 04:40:55	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	37¢	$30	0x7236ac…
05-22 03:10:07	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x57566c…
05-22 03:07:49	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x888f28…
05-22 02:52:56	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x4d921d…
05-22 02:52:54	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	57	29¢	$17	0xfd6b1d…
05-22 02:32:47	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	39	30¢	$12	0x2aeed4…
05-22 02:24:30	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x3d6563…
05-21 23:25:35	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x9c26cb…
05-21 23:24:45	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0x2d4af6…
05-21 23:24:39	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xfe472b…
05-21 23:24:32	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	52	89¢	$47	0x1f6a97…
05-21 23:21:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x6fafe3…
05-21 23:20:41	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0x0ef71e…
05-21 22:45:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	64	89¢	$57	0x9506db…
05-21 22:44:07	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc47433…
05-21 22:43:58	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	109	90¢	$98	0xb15c17…
05-21 22:43:51	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xd0a159…
05-21 15:15:42	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	42	28¢	$12	0xfba3bb…
05-21 15:14:34	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	400	60¢	$240	0xeb8ba6…
05-21 15:10:15	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$15	0x3b165a…
05-21 15:08:34	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0xb27054…
05-21 15:07:22	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3772b4…
05-21 15:07:10	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	136	27¢	$37	0x7bff82…
05-21 14:17:00	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	196	94¢	$184	0x224010…
05-21 07:37:18	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	94¢	$101	0xe1f8b4…
05-21 07:29:34	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	94¢	$102	0xfbfeac…
05-20 13:34:34	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc4fb2f…
05-20 12:02:17	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbef0cd…
05-20 08:16:44	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x325277…
05-20 07:19:29	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	56¢	$42	0x87cdd3…
05-20 07:03:07	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	57¢	$31	0xf2095a…
05-20 07:00:23	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x964236…
05-20 06:53:23	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	59¢	$85	0x7cd220…
05-19 20:36:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x23fbb3…
05-19 19:58:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xed5f4e…
05-19 19:44:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x4ecb32…
05-19 15:25:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xb4953d…
05-19 15:25:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0x0bbdaa…
05-19 14:49:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x5492e9…
05-18 23:28:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x57c008…
05-18 20:07:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xade90c…
05-18 19:21:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x88dc8c…
05-18 19:03:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0xda457f…
05-18 19:03:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe4141f…
05-18 19:03:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb8bfe5…
05-18 19:03:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xb649b0…
05-18 18:06:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xe3e2cc…
05-18 18:04:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0xe4713c…
05-18 17:44:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	220	49¢	$108	0xe5b6a9…
05-13 18:39:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	146	38¢	$56	0x2d46d6…
05-13 15:19:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	464	37¢	$172	0x99de81…
05-13 14:55:11	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	295	95¢	$281	0x2e3f5d…
05-12 17:11:19	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xf809bf…
05-12 04:16:09	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	10¢	$24	0x8bc71f…
05-12 03:27:01	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x846e19…
05-12 02:40:05	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x533254…
05-12 02:30:50	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	66	93¢	$62	0x14acc8…
05-11 23:17:07	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x1f48ae…
05-11 20:12:45	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xe61b56…
05-11 20:09:06	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	97¢	$118	0xae7d1e…
05-11 20:09:01	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8eb708…
05-11 20:08:26	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	141	86¢	$121	0x7bfd61…
05-11 20:08:08	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x86c379…
05-11 19:13:22	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x22a241…
05-11 06:18:58	Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0xa0ad58…
05-11 06:08:59	Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x10f5a7…
05-11 05:12:42	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	145	100¢	$144	0x04ed49…
05-10 06:08:56	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x49820e…
05-09 07:29:20	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaf91e6…
05-09 05:45:16	Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x47263c…
05-08 18:46:38	Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x0f9875…
05-08 17:44:42	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x228a3a…
05-08 17:44:13	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xac014f…
05-08 17:40:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x9ddf82…
05-08 17:27:16	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd3b889…
05-08 17:19:41	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x77aec6…
05-08 17:19:36	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xbecc0e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	77	$56.5K	5,984	06-08 17:38
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	75	$10.6K	852	06-08 23:08
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	73	$177.5K	11,739	06-01 03:47
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	71	$287.1K	6,016	06-08 17:39
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	68	$256.8K	20,962	06-08 19:54
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	65	$6.19M	12,222	06-07 22:54
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	65	$114.2K	9,035	04-26 02:46
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	65	$11.5K	1,931	06-08 21:48