Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$260
$1,477 in 24h
Trades
48
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$2,335
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 20:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $62 | $62 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $65 | $75 | $10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $31 | $101 | $69 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 8 | $4 | $11 | $7 |
| Below median | 11 | $4 | $14 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $5 | $12 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $5 | $4 | +$1 |
| unranked | 5 | $16 | — | +$16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sore-Vagrant 0x7091…af26 | Yes | +129 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 05-13 23:48 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +68 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 05-14 04:40 |
| Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | +41 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 05-14 16:34 |
| Bewitched-Hop 0x8725…9498 | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| Happy-Immigrant 0xe2cc…740e | Yes | +37 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 16:36 |
| Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | +32 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 20:38 |
| Memorable-Woodland 0xc57b…3451 | Yes | +26 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 19:47 |
| Disguised-Mantel 0x2691…6c3c | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 05:31 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-14 00:12 |
| Pure-Snob 0x1792…11a2 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 10:59 |
| Triangular-Thrush 0x58f6…167e | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 03:31 |
| Easy-Discussion 0xc65a…a48e | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 08:09 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-14 16:26 |
| Vengeful-Approach 0x686d…f866 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:13 |
| Forsaken-Bureau 0xaff7…fb8b | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 16:00 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 23:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f64…452a | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 18:34 |
| Wavy-Surround 0x9a12…fe57 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:18 |
| Twin-Fry 0xa170…27d8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:49 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 04:40 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 15:38 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 16:14 |
| Foolish-Cone 0xbddb…81ea | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 00:29 |
| Torn-Semicolon 0xfd9b…96bf | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 20:38:45 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 32 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xc33a4f… |
| 05-14 19:13:23 | Vengeful-Approach 0x686d…f866 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xff1437… |
| 05-14 18:34:23 | (anonymous) 0x3f64…452a | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x8bfcc6… |
| 05-14 16:36:33 | Happy-Immigrant 0xe2cc…740e | Yes | BUY | 37 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xa64481… |
| 05-14 16:34:34 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | BUY | 26 | 81¢ | $21 | 0x7354ea… |
| 05-14 16:34:08 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xfde0f5… |
| 05-14 16:33:58 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x6384fa… |
| 05-14 16:26:47 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xea5789… |
| 05-14 16:14:34 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x2f8445… |
| 05-14 16:00:32 | Forsaken-Bureau 0xaff7…fb8b | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x6731ee… |
| 05-14 15:38:33 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xb3f1a3… |
| 05-14 15:38:31 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x315493… |
| 05-14 14:49:12 | Twin-Fry 0xa170…27d8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x390fad… |
| 05-14 14:26:11 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xfeb0ce… |
| 05-14 14:18:25 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x07b852… |
| 05-14 10:59:13 | Pure-Snob 0x1792…11a2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x2197a4… |
| 05-14 10:19:45 | Gloomy-Antechamber 0xf3d2…6efc | Yes | SELL | 100 | 24¢ | $24 | 0x62dccb… |
| 05-14 10:04:51 | Bewitched-Hop 0x8725…9498 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xcd9994… |
| 05-14 08:09:21 | Easy-Discussion 0xc65a…a48e | No | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0xdc6e50… |
| 05-14 05:31:21 | Disguised-Mantel 0x2691…6c3c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xeab4df… |
| 05-14 05:21:10 | High-Problem 0xd72e…4faa | Yes | SELL | 31 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x9dc90a… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x89679f… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x7b45b3… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x114d6d… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xff18a7… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xdba0fe… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 38 | 86¢ | $33 | 0xd15732… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x8813ae… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x690dc7… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x59942d… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6a3911… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x1b55b7… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x4d49b9… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0xc3e588… |
| 05-14 04:36:10 | Glossy-Gemsbok 0x55cf…cb47 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xf2aac5… |
| 05-14 03:31:16 | Triangular-Thrush 0x58f6…167e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x588aaa… |
| 05-14 02:50:33 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x730e2c… |
| 05-14 02:41:29 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x1461c1… |
| 05-14 00:29:20 | Foolish-Cone 0xbddb…81ea | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xe2853d… |
| 05-14 00:12:04 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x0a4297… |
| 05-14 00:04:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x648fd4… |
| 05-14 00:04:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xca6bb0… |
| 05-13 23:48:40 | Sore-Vagrant 0x7091…af26 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x58422a… |
| 05-13 23:47:11 | Sore-Vagrant 0x7091…af26 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 19¢ | $23 | 0x37502c… |
| 05-13 23:08:20 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xf328be… |
| 05-13 22:18:26 | Wavy-Surround 0x9a12…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x4bf29a… |
| 05-13 19:47:54 | Memorable-Woodland 0xc57b…3451 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x1f9089… |
| 05-13 04:17:10 | Torn-Semicolon 0xfd9b…96bf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x021e35… |