Triangular-Thrush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$130

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

4,501

Trades

7,168

lifetime

Volume

$24.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-29 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 218 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 62% -$743

Other

44% 33% +$624

Sports

1% 11% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 26?	2	$74	174	0	+174	No	-$74	08-24 21:18
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 25?	3	$70	173	19	+154	Yes	+$102	10-25 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1?	6	$64	45	45	+0	No	-$2	04-30 09:31
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 27?	1	$63	134	0	+134	No	-$63	08-25 19:51
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 22?	1	$59	162	0	+162	No	-$59	08-20 18:02
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 20:00 UTC	11	$58	49	48	+1	Up	+$9	04-13 22:15
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 16:00 UTC	10	$57	45	22	+23	Up	+$3	04-13 18:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?	6	$57	46	46	+0	Yes	$0	04-30 09:30
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 16:00 UTC	10	$55	45	22	+23	Up	+$1	04-13 18:12
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 25?	1	$53	110	0	+110	No	-$53	08-23 16:00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 23?	1	$53	112	0	+112	Yes	+$59	08-21 15:43
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 20?	1	$51	106	0	+106	Yes	+$55	08-18 15:21
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 21?	1	$51	108	0	+108	No	-$51	08-19 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 10:10 UTC	20	$48	96	0	+96	Up	-$3	04-14 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 4?	1	$48	95	0	+95	No	-$48	09-02 23:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	3	$47	45	43	+2	Yes	+$41	04-28 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 3?	1	$46	95	0	+95	Yes	+$49	09-02 00:02
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 1pm et	10	$45	87	0	+87	Down	-$4	04-13 17:44
highest temperature in hong kong on march 30 2026 28c	6	$45	42	42	+0	Yes	+$39	03-30 09:43
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 12pm et	8	$45	62	22	+40	Up	+$0	04-15 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 5?	1	$45	99	0	+99	No	-$45	09-04 00:02
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 29?	1	$42	112	0	+112	No	-$42	08-28 00:02
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 28?	1	$42	107	0	+107	No	-$42	08-27 00:02
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 19?	1	$41	83	0	+83	Yes	+$42	08-17 16:00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 18?	1	$41	92	0	+92	Yes	+$51	08-16 15:58
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on August 22?	1	$40	76	0	+76	No	-$40	08-21 00:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 12:00 UTC	10	$39	66	0	+66	Down	+$9	04-15 12:00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 13?	1	$39	95	0	+95	No	-$39	08-11 16:00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 24?	3	$39	103	0	+103	Yes	+$65	08-23 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:35 UTC	15	$38	65	0	+65	Up	-$3	04-14 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	35	50¢	$17	0x986207…
10-29 11:49:35	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	59	53¢	$31	0xd34d7c…
10-29 03:43:32	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5b6808…
10-29 03:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x71c8fb…
10-28 23:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xceab78…
10-28 23:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0x5a7460…
10-28 18:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	104	21¢	$22	0xa6f983…
10-28 14:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbd0e1e…
10-28 05:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xb7f017…
10-28 01:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x211e67…
10-28 01:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xffc907…
10-28 01:40:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa82bfb…
10-28 01:40:32	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	126	22¢	$28	0xcb5047…
10-28 01:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xa62369…
10-27 21:15:51	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	91	28¢	$26	0xc87ab4…
10-27 11:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xbceb93…
10-27 04:19:38	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	59	55¢	$32	0xf01cfb…
10-27 04:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xc9d9e6…
10-27 04:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x228784…
10-27 00:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x7c96fb…
10-27 00:16:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x49615e…
10-26 19:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xaafd5f…
10-26 10:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x44afbc…
10-26 04:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x83d2e3…
10-26 02:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xb327bd…
10-26 02:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x1abc76…
10-26 02:47:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x88a44a…
10-26 02:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x465177…
10-26 02:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	37	29¢	$11	0x2c4972…
10-25 22:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xdb7f38…
10-25 13:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xc7a954…
10-25 09:15:29	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	19	47¢	$9	0x480dec…
10-25 04:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x0dc952…
10-25 04:46:47	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x1dfcd0…
10-25 04:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x5f3ac8…
10-25 00:43:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe4f770…
10-25 00:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x163b6a…
10-25 00:43:41	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xde0762…
10-25 00:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x5f647f…
10-25 00:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x5c2846…
10-25 00:43:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0xe3947f…
10-24 05:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd39b6c…
10-24 05:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6739f8…
10-24 05:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xe9b8b6…
10-24 05:52:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x71fac2…
10-24 05:52:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x37c729…
10-24 02:55:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x2f038f…
10-24 02:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x2a467b…
10-24 02:55:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x30698e…
10-24 02:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0x7ec05f…
10-24 02:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0xac8a87…
10-23 22:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x22b286…
10-23 22:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x7ed141…
10-23 13:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x5efe8c…
10-23 12:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x882477…
10-23 04:00:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xd6edfd…
10-23 03:57:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xbed2b5…
10-23 03:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0xf84006…
10-23 03:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0x19cbca…
10-22 23:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	47	34¢	$16	0x5f352a…
10-22 23:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xec6c7e…
10-22 19:50:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x91ab4b…
10-22 19:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x952bac…
10-22 15:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x3330a7…
10-22 07:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x0869d0…
10-22 07:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0xdefc7e…
10-22 03:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xad511c…
10-22 03:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x17603d…
10-22 03:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xdda70c…
10-22 03:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x7dae8d…
10-21 23:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x490f8a…
10-21 22:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x81c4e1…
10-21 21:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe7acb0…
10-21 18:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6636c4…
10-21 11:10:18	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xcd633e…
10-21 07:26:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7d3804…
10-21 05:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xf71fa4…
10-21 05:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x96b14d…
10-21 04:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x4949be…
10-21 04:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x61a11e…
10-20 23:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x35e545…
10-20 23:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x46135a…
10-20 19:20:56	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x9f3de2…
10-20 10:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	39	41¢	$16	0x30e9c1…
10-20 06:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x99a40f…
10-20 06:21:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa77093…
10-20 02:18:32	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x0dad1a…
10-20 02:18:29	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	57	38¢	$22	0x192bc9…
10-20 02:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x58fbe8…
10-20 02:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x8168b6…
10-19 21:53:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe9d1c4…
10-19 21:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x6c299b…
10-19 17:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x99690d…
10-19 08:09:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0x3a6659…
10-19 08:09:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x7443ad…
10-19 05:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x945959…
10-19 04:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x1e7c59…
10-19 04:06:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xe01c13…
10-19 04:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x15bec9…
10-19 04:06:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x30f057…