Sore-Vagrant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.54K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.9%

Resolved

201

Trades

1,303

lifetime

Volume

$157.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 05-14 00:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

100% 29% -$4,213

Politics

0% 0% -$311

Crypto

0% 20% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	8	$8.4K	6,874	6,747	+127	Yes	-$130	04-21 09:28
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	6	$7.7K	5,754	5,667	+88	Yes	-$195	04-20 14:30
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	1	$6.4K	7,130	0	+7,130	Yes	+$736	04-17 13:33
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	6	$4.4K	9,208	8,868	+340	No	-$400	04-10 11:47
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	9	$4.2K	10,439	10,026	+413	No	-$81	04-19 23:29
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	11	$4.2K	8,689	8,373	+317	No	-$437	04-19 07:45
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	8	$4.1K	12,806	8,028	+4,779	No	-$2,189	04-21 09:32
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	2	$3.7K	4,424	4,266	+158	Yes	+$1,318	04-10 12:07
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	24	$3.6K	24,361	14,488	+9,873	No	-$2,422	04-20 06:47
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	4	$3.3K	7,855	7,570	+285	No	-$1,051	04-10 08:58
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	17	$3.1K	12,430	12,430	+0	Yes	+$1,281	03-02 15:04
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	6	$3.1K	2,713	2,713	+0	Yes	+$75	03-30 10:08
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	4	$3.0K	5,787	3,912	+1,875	Yes	-$213	04-07 09:32
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	2	$2.9K	4,992	4,815	+177	No	-$11	04-12 11:34
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	2	$2.8K	1,773	1,750	+24	Yes	+$241	04-18 07:56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	2	$2.8K	1,421	1,419	+2	Yes	+$31	04-25 17:30
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	46	$2.8K	8,600	8,600	+0	No	+$69	03-29 18:38
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	10	$2.8K	3,454	2,466	+988	Yes	+$751	02-27 08:09
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	29	$2.7K	3,712	3,712	+0	No	-$488	05-09 15:28
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	6	$2.7K	3,594	3,465	+129	No	+$666	04-24 15:40
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	35	$2.7K	6,580	6,342	+238	No	-$746	04-16 07:03
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	16	$2.6K	5,140	4,659	+481	Yes	+$10	03-31 10:53
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	19	$2.3K	9,062	9,062	+0	No	-$111	03-26 15:26
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	2	$2.1K	1,110	1,107	+3	No	+$68	04-20 18:31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	9	$2.1K	6,653	3,548	+3,105	No	-$999	04-27 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,122	1,122	+0	Yes	-$7	05-08 11:22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	5	$2.0K	4,384	1,365	+3,019	No	-$71	04-25 11:59
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	6	$1.9K	1,607	802	+805	Yes	+$39	03-28 14:04
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	7	$1.8K	2,838	2,838	+0	No	+$26	03-31 10:50
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	29	$1.7K	23,877	23,491	+386	No	+$129	03-03 12:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 00:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	280	15¢	$41	0x8292fe…
05-13 23:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x8ae17d…
05-13 23:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x23135b…
05-13 23:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x58422a…
05-13 23:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	88	27¢	$24	0xf2eb04…
05-13 23:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xf545e9…
05-13 23:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x21dd01…
05-13 23:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	119	19¢	$23	0x37502c…
05-13 23:39:19	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,558	1¢	$72	0x37cce4…
05-13 11:33:30	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x5bec1a…
05-13 11:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	15¢	$23	0x905498…
05-13 09:49:19	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	825	10¢	$82	0x6616e6…
05-13 09:48:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0xa324e6…
05-13 09:48:25	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0e01f3…
05-13 09:48:16	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6627de…
05-13 09:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	811	9¢	$76	0xbf6c80…
05-13 09:48:07	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x7e7a66…
05-13 09:48:04	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,099	10¢	$105	0x379947…
05-13 09:47:55	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	649	10¢	$62	0xafdb6e…
05-13 09:47:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	10¢	$8	0x90c43a…
05-13 09:47:43	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,850	9¢	$170	0x837d28…
05-13 09:47:43	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x09e8ee…
05-12 15:59:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	218	1¢	$2	0xc4ebd4…
05-11 18:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	130	50¢	$65	0x45e6f9…
05-11 17:49:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11,151	1¢	$71	0xe754e6…
05-11 15:57:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x8656f3…
05-11 15:56:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	4¢	$6	0xa0c4d9…
05-11 15:55:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	3¢	$6	0x36cd71…
05-11 15:55:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	430	3¢	$12	0xe5275f…
05-11 15:55:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x7cf8d9…
05-11 15:55:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$9	0x7377ca…
05-11 15:54:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x0ce0e9…
05-11 15:54:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$7	0xff018c…
05-11 15:54:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x5e4ab8…
05-11 15:54:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	754	1¢	$11	0xca6fa4…
05-11 15:53:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,429	3¢	$40	0x3a0751…
05-11 15:50:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,468	4¢	$138	0x4391c4…
05-11 15:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	323	43¢	$140	0xf96a04…
05-11 15:45:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,429	2¢	$54	0xbc6c9a…
05-11 15:44:32	Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12,923	1¢	$122	0x71eafd…
05-11 15:29:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,046	0¢	$34	0x88b196…
05-11 15:27:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$1	0x91e655…
05-11 15:27:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$1	0x55efcb…
05-11 15:27:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,599	1¢	$22	0x515246…
05-11 15:26:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6b14fe…
05-11 15:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x94d033…
05-11 15:26:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,424	1¢	$14	0xfac0b9…
05-11 15:25:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x104061…
05-11 15:25:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	1¢	$1	0x142dd4…
05-11 15:24:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x659811…
05-11 15:23:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,446	1¢	$26	0xa4d9e2…
05-11 15:23:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0x176fc3…
05-11 13:19:17	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	305	0¢	$2	0xf802df…
05-11 13:19:01	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	426	1¢	$2	0xc62a25…
05-11 13:19:01	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x01296d…
05-11 13:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,620	1¢	$19	0x29ce34…
05-11 12:49:16	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,365	1¢	$53	0xe6c3e7…
05-11 12:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,157	1¢	$19	0xe800e2…
05-11 12:46:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xd9a7ac…
05-11 12:45:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,314	2¢	$29	0x082751…
05-11 09:34:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0x988baf…
05-11 09:34:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,253	8¢	$99	0x7cfb97…
05-11 09:34:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0b3e25…
05-11 09:32:11	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	562	37¢	$207	0x1b003f…
05-11 07:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	323	46¢	$150	0x8a0a8e…
05-11 07:35:02	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	562	27¢	$150	0x8eba10…
05-11 07:34:23	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	192	89¢	$171	0x54caf8…
05-11 05:57:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	78¢	$150	0x619f86…
05-11 05:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 11?	Yes	SELL	802	3¢	$25	0x2371ad…
05-11 04:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	275	18¢	$50	0xe3509b…
05-11 04:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	527	18¢	$97	0xf61c48…
05-11 04:08:21	Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,391	2¢	$24	0x7faf6c…
05-10 17:28:54	Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	2¢	$3	0xa214d5…
05-10 17:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x406316…
05-10 17:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	518	0¢	$3	0x960297…
05-10 16:18:44	Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0x33b570…
05-10 16:10:48	Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x7b4350…
05-10 16:10:46	Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf8e742…
05-10 16:09:01	Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,233	1¢	$140	0xc3e976…
05-10 16:07:51	Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,530	1¢	$11	0xea64f4…
05-10 16:01:31	Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,530	1¢	$13	0x1fbb7b…
05-10 08:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	482	99¢	$477	0xd0509d…
05-10 07:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	482	14¢	$67	0x780088…
05-10 07:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x8faa87…
05-10 07:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x57ba8f…
05-10 07:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x66a44d…
05-10 07:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xa8ef72…
05-10 07:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xc7a5cd…
05-10 07:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x164e3f…
05-10 07:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xf12035…
05-10 06:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x2c053e…
05-10 06:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	188	44¢	$83	0xfdf415…
05-10 06:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd89137…
05-10 05:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x716b12…
05-10 05:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x760dea…
05-10 05:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x63c454…
05-10 05:43:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0xf880b7…
05-10 05:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x2a0399…
05-10 05:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x8e51f9…
05-10 05:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	225	1¢	$3	0x78048b…