Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$1,113
$4,219 in 24h
Trades
49
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$3,377
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 07:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $297 | $297 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $21 | $794 | $773 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | $363 | $361 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $59 | $59 |
| Median | 5 | — | $54 | $54 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $389 | $387 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $5 | $55 | $50 |
| unranked | 7 | — | $171 | $171 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angry-Disparity 0x847c…9ff8 | Yes | +532 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 04:06 |
| Tremendous-Referendum 0x40fd…7765 | No | +390 | $386 | $386 | 1 | 05-10 05:13 |
| Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | +300 | $297 | $297 | 1 | 05-10 04:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xbeed…ece9 | Yes | +250 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:18 |
| Sore-Vagrant 0x7091…af26 | Yes | +225 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 05:32 |
| Unhealthy-Deed 0xd79f…12fb | Yes | +202 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 02:38 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +145 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:46 |
| Far-Prosperity 0x4de4…04b6 | Yes | +105 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:46 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | +66 | $66 | $66 | 9 | 05-09 09:45 |
| Tidy-Enthusiasm 0xbfec…4dc7 | No | +45 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 05-09 08:55 |
| Dangerous-Pitcher 0xb88c…7d3f | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 05-09 08:45 |
| Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-10 05:52 |
| Simplistic-Donut 0xa1a2…0c6f | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-10 02:47 |
| Excited-Thousand 0xabb0…8f2a | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 02:01 |
| Several-Pickle 0xd2dc…4648 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-10 03:10 |
| Deserted-Tutu 0x49b7…b58a | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-10 03:21 |
| Handsome-Nurture 0x2efe…6f95 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-10 03:38 |
| Charming-Majorleague 0xd3f0…a17c | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-10 05:43 |
| Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 05:57 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 07:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-10 04:46 |
| Unique-Nature 0xec16…72a4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:28 |
| Drab-Constitution 0xa1ab…2e0f | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 04:06 |
| Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 14:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:36:33 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x8faa87… |
| 05-10 07:28:50 | Unique-Nature 0xec16…72a4 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x66a44d… |
| 05-10 07:18:56 | (anonymous) 0xbeed…ece9 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xe826de… |
| 05-10 06:46:25 | Far-Prosperity 0x4de4…04b6 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x423ebd… |
| 05-10 06:07:13 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe274ec… |
| 05-10 05:57:11 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x716b12… |
| 05-10 05:52:50 | Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x760dea… |
| 05-10 05:43:41 | Charming-Majorleague 0xd3f0…a17c | No | BUY | 23 | 98¢ | $23 | 0xf880b7… |
| 05-10 05:38:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2a0399… |
| 05-10 05:32:39 | Sore-Vagrant 0x7091…af26 | Yes | BUY | 225 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x78048b… |
| 05-10 05:13:10 | Tremendous-Referendum 0x40fd…7765 | No | BUY | 390 | 99¢ | $386 | 0xf4d032… |
| 05-10 04:46:54 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd9a15f… |
| 05-10 04:46:54 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 145 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3a6dcb… |
| 05-10 04:37:14 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 300 | 99¢ | $297 | 0xf90a1b… |
| 05-10 04:21:05 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xee2808… |
| 05-10 04:21:05 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf92d53… |
| 05-10 04:21:03 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6aa6c5… |
| 05-10 04:11:12 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3265c1… |
| 05-10 04:11:01 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x785b3e… |
| 05-10 04:10:40 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa1ef6c… |
| 05-10 04:10:28 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7ddcc9… |
| 05-10 04:06:26 | (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf69a0a… |
| 05-10 04:06:26 | (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2d92bc… |
| 05-10 04:06:25 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7eaeb3… |
| 05-10 04:06:25 | Angry-Disparity 0x847c…9ff8 | Yes | BUY | 532 | 1¢ | $7 | 0x9ae4ff… |
| 05-10 03:38:44 | Handsome-Nurture 0x2efe…6f95 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x4c3ab9… |
| 05-10 03:21:17 | Deserted-Tutu 0x49b7…b58a | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x87a30e… |
| 05-10 03:10:39 | Several-Pickle 0xd2dc…4648 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x890fee… |
| 05-10 02:47:19 | Simplistic-Donut 0xa1a2…0c6f | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0x9b4add… |
| 05-10 02:38:55 | Unhealthy-Deed 0xd79f…12fb | Yes | BUY | 202 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x21b2af… |
| 05-10 02:01:07 | Excited-Thousand 0xabb0…8f2a | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x4d5377… |
| 05-09 19:22:38 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bc1b7… |
| 05-09 14:53:55 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x40138b… |
| 05-09 14:25:33 | Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xccfaae… |
| 05-09 13:18:14 | Drab-Constitution 0xa1ab…2e0f | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x153de2… |
| 05-09 09:45:08 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x837a82… |
| 05-09 09:45:06 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf2c6ac… |
| 05-09 09:45:03 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc80df0… |
| 05-09 09:44:59 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf28b73… |
| 05-09 09:44:56 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x425ec3… |
| 05-09 09:44:52 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcbc1e0… |
| 05-09 09:44:51 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x822197… |
| 05-09 08:59:40 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x06403a… |
| 05-09 08:59:38 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xd7d3df… |
| 05-09 08:55:05 | Tidy-Enthusiasm 0xbfec…4dc7 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x9e3fbf… |
| 05-09 08:45:07 | Dangerous-Pitcher 0xb88c…7d3f | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x5c169b… |
| 05-09 08:35:06 | Tidy-Enthusiasm 0xbfec…4dc7 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x9a5d5b… |
| 05-09 08:25:06 | Dangerous-Pitcher 0xb88c…7d3f | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x025fae… |
| 05-09 08:15:06 | Tidy-Enthusiasm 0xbfec…4dc7 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x0fbc87… |