Tidy-Enthusiasm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

6,980

Trades

26,295

lifetime

Volume

$458.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$82

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-14 00:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 197 days

Categories

Other

82% 94% -$11,464

Crypto

18% 82% -$905

Politics

0% 100% +$64

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-100	-$85	82¢	$-82	+$2	05-06 09:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in hong kong on march 24 2026 26c	70	$5.9K	6,482	6,801	-319	Yes	-$4,720	03-24 07:11
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 215 239	10	$5.5K	4,059	1,743	+2,316	No	+$190	01-17 16:13
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 500 519	6	$5.2K	2,770	2,770	+0	No	+$372	01-16 14:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 18:45 UTC	19	$4.5K	2,330	2,329	+1	Up	+$63	01-26 18:58
highest temperature in hong kong on march 19 2026 25c	12	$4.3K	2,205	2,205	+0	No	+$68	03-19 05:03
highest temperature in hong kong on march 24 2026 25c	19	$4.0K	2,052	2,052	+0	No	+$45	03-24 05:20
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 580plus	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$18	01-16 13:49
highest temperature in hong kong on march 26 2026 28corhigher	94	$3.6K	2,306	2,263	+43	Yes	-$462	03-26 15:43
highest temperature in hong kong on march 26 2026 26c	27	$3.4K	1,758	1,758	+0	No	+$125	03-26 03:23
highest temperature in hong kong on march 27 2026 26c	53	$3.3K	3,909	3,929	-20	Yes	-$3,326	03-27 07:10
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	34	$3.1K	4,147	283	+3,865	No	+$994	01-16 15:27
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 140 164	6	$3.1K	2,211	911	+1,300	No	+$25	01-20 11:47
highest temperature in hong kong on march 19 2026 24c	9	$3.0K	1,503	1,503	-0	No	+$39	03-19 05:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 18:00 UTC	3	$2.7K	2,640	99	+2,540	Up	+$39	01-26 18:14
highest temperature in hong kong on march 25 2026 26c	13	$2.5K	1,280	1,280	+0	No	+$19	03-25 08:33
highest temperature in hong kong on march 27 2026 25c	4	$2.2K	1,124	1,124	+0	No	+$37	03-27 05:32
highest temperature in london on january 15 9c	4	$1.8K	950	950	+0	No	+$76	01-15 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?	26	$1.8K	1,709	1,709	-0	Yes	-$1,615	07-16 09:04
highest temperature in toronto on march 20 2026 3c	53	$1.7K	859	803	+56	No	+$6	03-20 12:33
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 1pm et	11	$1.6K	800	799	+1	Down	+$27	04-17 17:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 10?	23	$1.5K	748	748	+0	No	+$23	06-10 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 9?	35	$1.5K	736	736	+0	No	+$10	06-09 02:54
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 29?	16	$1.4K	718	718	+0	No	+$31	06-29 16:47
highest temperature in london on january 15 12corhigher	19	$1.3K	682	682	+0	No	+$2	01-15 05:50
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	11	$1.3K	1,325	1,196	+128	Yes	-$966	01-17 16:54
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 2?	15	$1.2K	616	616	-0	No	+$12	07-02 16:22
highest temperature in toronto on march 20 2026 4c	22	$1.2K	723	607	+116	No	+$112	03-20 20:22
highest temperature in hong kong on march 26 2026 24c	13	$1.2K	610	610	+0	No	+$10	03-26 01:09
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 11am et	22	$1.1K	1,093	1,057	+35	Down	+$9	04-17 15:29
highest temperature in hong kong on march 25 2026 28corhigher	18	$1.1K	579	579	-0	Yes	+$48	03-25 10:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 00:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x5de7ab…
09-13 22:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x02f069…
09-13 16:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x414f75…
09-13 13:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xddb65f…
09-13 09:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xb480bc…
09-13 09:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x2d5045…
09-13 08:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x6afa27…
09-13 08:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x2118d7…
09-13 07:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 13?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xa1741e…
09-11 13:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6ab181…
09-11 13:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x66e1c3…
09-11 12:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 13?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x3d8ae7…
09-11 06:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x26bd81…
09-11 05:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 12?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x83dec2…
09-11 03:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x892f6d…
09-10 12:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x7770bb…
09-10 01:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x18a063…
09-10 01:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x084f21…
09-10 00:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7dfe4e…
09-10 00:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4deece…
09-10 00:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x21717a…
09-10 00:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x08dfff…
09-09 23:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x4e2c53…
09-09 18:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x821913…
09-09 14:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x4c235b…
09-09 14:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x53b961…
09-09 13:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xfb3ed0…
09-09 09:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf99569…
09-09 08:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x432f10…
09-08 16:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 9?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xee28ec…
09-08 12:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc52c46…
09-08 06:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 9?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb8fc64…
09-07 12:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xc5d11b…
09-07 02:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 7?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x0bde3a…
09-06 09:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1104bf…
09-06 06:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x536896…
09-06 05:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe1e992…
09-06 04:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x26c26f…
09-06 03:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf9b981…
09-06 03:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbf42c2…
09-05 12:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xb4573d…
09-04 22:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xed98fc…
09-04 22:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x025430…
09-04 22:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf3ef5f…
09-04 22:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb8a34b…
09-04 22:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x113f2f…
09-04 22:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5e59f8…
09-04 22:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x21ba3e…
09-04 12:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc9bd0a…
09-04 06:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 4?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7ba8b6…
09-04 06:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 4?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3ac627…
09-04 06:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 4?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x7f5cef…
09-03 12:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x7d3453…
09-03 10:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$111	0x4f751c…
09-03 10:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 4?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd4565d…
09-02 15:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x912834…
09-02 15:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x35e3d8…
09-02 12:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 4?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xc76898…
09-02 06:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x6010ca…
09-02 06:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xcad97c…
09-02 05:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xba9daf…
09-02 05:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 4?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x65f5e9…
09-02 05:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xdd7434…
09-02 04:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 2?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0x8c4afa…
09-01 11:13:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on September 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7e0519…
09-01 04:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 2?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x074633…
09-01 04:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 2?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x554330…
09-01 04:01:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf1cace…
09-01 04:01:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4e9d9e…
09-01 02:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 2?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x07571e…
09-01 01:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 1?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8ce7be…
09-01 01:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 1?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x1c2bb8…
09-01 01:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 1?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x917c24…
09-01 01:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x62af70…
09-01 01:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x80d985…
08-31 20:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xbcdb4c…
08-31 15:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 1?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x402cee…
08-31 14:51:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 1?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x6a452f…
08-31 14:51:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 1?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xee219b…
08-31 12:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 2?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x3b1408…
08-31 12:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x533e03…
08-31 05:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc9a6f3…
08-31 04:35:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd6ec3a…
08-31 04:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 1?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xc0dafc…
08-30 22:35:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xed8f36…
08-30 22:35:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbd7b61…
08-30 22:28:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x81dbb9…
08-30 22:28:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5ea8dd…
08-30 22:26:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4eaf78…
08-30 22:25:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xada606…
08-30 22:25:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xea1851…
08-30 18:48:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2cb835…
08-30 14:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 31?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x9e4a19…
08-30 13:24:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x846ea8…
08-30 13:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xca33cf…
08-30 13:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x61271c…
08-30 10:55:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 1?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x2483b5…
08-30 09:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe0f8b0…
08-30 09:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x7ebe3c…
08-30 09:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeb355b…