Drab-Constitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

112

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$63.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$492

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 11-07 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

75% 79% +$33,728

Crypto

18% 98% +$8,313

Politics

7% 100% +$2,259

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$401

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	2	$11.1K	11,710	11,710	+0	No	+$8,314	03-01 11:10
will brandon nakashima win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	2	$8.1K	8,444	8,444	+0	No	+$7,937	03-21 16:30
will any aircraft land or take off at kyiv boryspil airport by december 31	2	$8.1K	8,099	8,099	+0	open	—	09-03 13:42
aapl close above 245 on january 26 2026	2	$7.8K	7,799	7,799	+0	Yes	+$6,863	01-24 03:16
per1 cal ccu 2026 02 08 total 4pt5	2	$7.6K	7,357	7,357	+0	Under	+$6,548	02-01 14:22
will overboard be the 2 us netflix movie this week	2	$7.2K	8,670	8,670	+0	No	+$6,329	02-11 13:01
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	2	$4.0K	3,180	3,180	+0	Yes	+$2,131	03-01 11:12
amzn above 260 on february 6 2026	2	$3.5K	3,453	3,453	+0	No	+$2,970	02-01 14:17
will cold storage score at least 75 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$2.3K	5,619	5,619	+0	Yes	+$1,517	02-11 13:05
will ethena reach 0pt16 in march	2	$1.5K	1,530	1,530	+0	No	+$1,285	03-01 11:07
dota2 heroic btcgam 2026 01 26 game1	1	$509	0	536	-536	Heroic	-$27	01-24 03:12
will zendaya attend the oscars	2	$466	466	466	+0	Yes	+$401	02-11 12:59
sea ata cre 2026 02 09 btts	2	$266	266	266	+0	Yes	+$218	02-01 14:14
will zeynep sonmez win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	2	$168	170	170	+0	No	+$165	03-21 16:14
will jordan strike iran by march 31	2	$140	150	150	+0	No	+$128	03-01 03:07
will the sp 500 index lose at least 3 on any day in q1	2	$40	81	81	+0	No	-$16	03-21 16:13
will bitcoin reach 86k february 2 8	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	02-08 13:05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	1	$19	33	0	+33	No	-$19	11-07 13:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	10-31 05:55
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$15	26	0	+26	No	-$15	03-31 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?	1	$13	39	0	+39	Yes	-$13	05-15 02:43
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 1	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-01 11:16
will axiom be accused of insider trading	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	-$10	02-26 12:12
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	03-14 11:36
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	02-01 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-09 13:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 3?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	09-03 13:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	-$3	09-03 13:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	09-03 13:43
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	03-21 16:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 13:19:43	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0xc4f15c…
10-31 05:55:58	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf49d08…
09-03 13:43:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x08fcea…
09-03 13:43:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xf81a85…
09-03 13:43:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xf8559c…
09-03 13:43:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x82e995…
09-03 13:43:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x04f625…
09-03 13:43:39	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8a8f25…
09-03 13:43:31	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0fa67b…
09-03 13:43:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 3?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3e0312…
09-03 13:43:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x80f482…
09-03 13:43:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0ae3d9…
09-03 13:43:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x023521…
09-03 13:43:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xafa4e5…
09-03 13:42:49	will any aircraft land or take off at kyiv boryspil airport by december 31	Yes	SELL	8,099	98¢	$7,937	0x84b92a…
09-03 13:42:36	will any aircraft land or take off at kyiv boryspil airport by december 31	Yes	BUY	8,099	2¢	$162	0x47b737…
05-15 02:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?	No	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0xb72e8f…
05-09 13:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 10?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x77d58c…
05-09 13:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc4821…
05-09 13:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c0050…
05-09 13:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x153de2…
05-09 13:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd39de1…
05-09 13:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x145c16…
05-09 13:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdb1310…
05-09 13:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3698f0…
03-31 08:31:59	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x3578da…
03-21 16:31:55	will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xc5ea21…
03-21 16:31:49	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbe5e0c…
03-21 16:31:45	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x797890…
03-21 16:31:43	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf79ccf…
03-21 16:31:39	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3d6eae…
03-21 16:31:37	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x49a8d7…
03-21 16:31:33	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6be9f7…
03-21 16:31:31	Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbae799…
03-21 16:31:29	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x312ce0…
03-21 16:30:35	will brandon nakashima win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	SELL	8,444	95¢	$8,022	0x945b02…
03-21 16:28:43	will brandon nakashima win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	BUY	8,444	1¢	$84	0x3029c4…
03-21 16:14:59	will zeynep sonmez win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	SELL	170	98¢	$167	0xa52c65…
03-21 16:14:33	will zeynep sonmez win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0x50cefc…
03-21 16:13:17	will the sp 500 index lose at least 3 on any day in q1	Yes	SELL	81	15¢	$12	0x4aaeea…
03-14 11:36:55	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x7e6e41…
03-03 14:51:35	will the sp 500 index lose at least 3 on any day in q1	Yes	BUY	81	34¢	$28	0x5b731c…
03-01 11:16:21	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f44d2…
03-01 11:12:35	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	SELL	3,180	96¢	$3,053	0x3d2a4a…
03-01 11:12:09	xrp above 1pt2 on march 1	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5d50fe…
03-01 11:12:07	xrp above 1pt5 on march 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce3d50…
03-01 11:12:03	xrp above 1pt6 on march 1	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b106d…
03-01 11:11:59	bitcoin above 62k on march 1	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa1be3…
03-01 11:11:55	bitcoin above 64k on march 1	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1d0a9f…
03-01 11:11:53	bitcoin above 70k on march 1	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5cfe00…
03-01 11:11:49	bitcoin above 72k on march 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1b4d8…
03-01 11:11:15	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	BUY	3,180	29¢	$922	0x4f0453…
03-01 11:10:05	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	11,710	83¢	$9,719	0xde5071…
03-01 11:08:41	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	11,710	12¢	$1,405	0xe1dcb1…
03-01 11:07:53	will ethena reach 0pt16 in march	Yes	SELL	1,530	92¢	$1,408	0x5f2da2…
03-01 11:07:11	will ethena reach 0pt16 in march	Yes	BUY	1,530	8¢	$122	0x95b655…
03-01 10:59:05	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa6cabe…
03-01 10:59:03	Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc241aa…
03-01 10:58:59	Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3067b0…
03-01 10:58:55	Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa5e69…
03-01 10:58:47	solana above 80 on march 1	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4eb06f…
03-01 10:58:41	solana above 70 on march 1	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x77ceb8…
03-01 10:58:39	solana above 90 on march 1	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x24954a…
03-01 10:58:37	solana above 100 on march 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9c011…
03-01 03:07:35	will jordan strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	150	89¢	$134	0x614264…
03-01 03:06:19	will jordan strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xe14a62…
02-26 12:12:34	will axiom be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa6f02e…
02-11 13:05:51	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0fb471…
02-11 13:05:47	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x05f81e…
02-11 13:05:41	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x26b2a5…
02-11 13:05:37	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb103aa…
02-11 13:05:35	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x03c1e4…
02-11 13:05:19	will cold storage score at least 75 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	5,619	34¢	$1,910	0x5b670c…
02-11 13:04:19	will cold storage score at least 75 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	5,619	7¢	$393	0x4dc346…
02-11 13:02:21	ethereum above 1600 on february 11	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x25b7bd…
02-11 13:02:19	ethereum above 1700 on february 11	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x626944…
02-11 13:02:15	ethereum above 2200 on february 11	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2e1fc0…
02-11 13:02:07	xrp above 1pt1 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4ac84…
02-11 13:02:05	xrp above 1pt2 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x997c1a…
02-11 13:02:03	xrp above 1pt5 on february 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4de4e9…
02-11 13:01:09	will overboard be the 2 us netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	8,670	78¢	$6,763	0x3bb0c8…
02-11 13:00:51	will overboard be the 2 us netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	8,670	5¢	$434	0x5f6a29…
02-11 12:59:45	will zendaya attend the oscars	Yes	SELL	466	93¢	$433	0x942c3f…
02-11 12:59:29	will zendaya attend the oscars	Yes	BUY	466	7¢	$33	0xa7e255…
02-08 13:05:03	will bitcoin reach 86k february 2 8	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2d24d3…
02-01 14:24:28	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xafb40e…
02-01 14:24:24	will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ab990…
02-01 14:24:20	will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3d7bb3…
02-01 14:24:14	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe7d4b4…
02-01 14:23:54	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 1	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1dd519…
02-01 14:23:50	will the price of solana be between 80 90 on february 1	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf33ab9…
02-01 14:23:46	will the price of solana be less than 80 on february 1	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x298d7c…
02-01 14:23:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x81bb8f…
02-01 14:22:44	per1 cal ccu 2026 02 08 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	7,357	96¢	$7,063	0xf28f96…
02-01 14:22:04	will solana dip to 80 january 26 1	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x38f2c6…
02-01 14:21:54	will solana reach 140 january 26 1	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc5fd9d…
02-01 14:21:40	ethereum above 2500 on february 1	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xef7b9b…
02-01 14:21:34	ethereum above 2600 on february 1	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x179f6b…
02-01 14:21:30	ethereum above 2700 on february 1	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xed03c1…
02-01 14:21:24	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c6015…