Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$140
$755 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$6,116
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 09:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $1 | $139 | $138 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $106 | $105 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Showy-Focus 0xd19e…754e | Yes | +200 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:53 |
| Front-Meantime 0x599b…2cec | No | +36 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-10 07:53 |
| Variable-Disagreement 0xfdec…6093 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 08:41 |
| Legal-Savage 0x831d…ad8b | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-10 08:28 |
| Menacing-Stacking 0x6459…8f41 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 07:01 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-09 14:53 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 07:36 |
| Aged-Solicitation 0x0762…925e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 09:09 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 18:49 |
| Drab-Constitution 0xa1ab…2e0f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 13:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 09:09:39 | Aged-Solicitation 0x0762…925e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7702fd… |
| 05-10 08:42:25 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9ab4f… |
| 05-10 08:41:32 | Variable-Disagreement 0xfdec…6093 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x5a7537… |
| 05-10 08:28:20 | Legal-Savage 0x831d…ad8b | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x2154f0… |
| 05-10 08:23:08 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1dd607… |
| 05-10 08:23:03 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c6d81… |
| 05-10 08:12:52 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2f260a… |
| 05-10 08:12:45 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x862e3f… |
| 05-10 07:53:23 | Showy-Focus 0xd19e…754e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x332900… |
| 05-10 07:53:21 | Front-Meantime 0x599b…2cec | No | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0xf0e367… |
| 05-10 07:36:33 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x255901… |
| 05-10 07:01:40 | Menacing-Stacking 0x6459…8f41 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x3bad74… |
| 05-10 06:07:13 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x14bc72… |
| 05-10 04:21:03 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf5643… |
| 05-10 04:21:03 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc3d48d… |
| 05-10 04:21:03 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64782c… |
| 05-10 04:11:12 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x92b18e… |
| 05-10 04:11:01 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc7ff10… |
| 05-10 04:10:40 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd939d2… |
| 05-10 04:10:28 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc01f24… |
| 05-09 19:22:38 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x49c3c9… |
| 05-09 18:49:41 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xd9061b… |
| 05-09 14:53:55 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xef7a44… |
| 05-09 14:53:55 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x0899ee… |
| 05-09 13:18:21 | Drab-Constitution 0xa1ab…2e0f | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xfc4821… |