Aged-Solicitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$92

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$5.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-28 13:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

74% 58% -$22

Sports

17% 100% +$58

Politics

8% 33% +$57

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes		+50	$31	0¢	$0	-$31	08-12 09:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$822	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$18	07-05 09:15
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	17	$585	522	522	+0	Yes	+$2	03-15 16:30
will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	17	$582	500	500	+0	No	-$1	03-15 16:44
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	6	$361	219	219	-0	No	-$1	08-12 09:52
will amzn dip to 216 by june 22 2026	2	$344	300	56	+244	No	+$7	06-26 08:00
will msft dip to 345 in june 2026	7	$313	600	49	+551	No	+$11	06-29 13:49
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?	5	$161	200	200	+0	No	-$7	06-03 08:05
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	71	$128	3,278	3,278	+0	open	—	08-13 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on May 22?	1	$108	108	0	+108	No	+$0	05-21 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on May 22?	1	$107	107	0	+107	No	+$0	05-21 08:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 7?	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	05-06 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on May 13?	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	05-12 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 10?	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	05-09 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on May 15?	1	$104	104	0	+104	No	+$0	05-14 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C or below on May 9?	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	05-08 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 18?	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	05-17 14:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 11?	1	$96	96	0	+96	No	+$0	05-10 09:09
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?	5	$52	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	05-27 19:23
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?	3	$44	25	25	+0	No	-$1	06-06 02:17
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?	2	$40	25	25	+0	No	-$3	06-06 02:17
Will FC Den Bosch vs. FC Dordrecht end in a draw?	1	$40	50	0	+50	Yes	+$10	10-03 19:45
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	1	$31	50	0	+50	open	—	08-12 09:43
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $22.5B?	3	$22	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 17:13
Will Salvatore Alfano win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?	3	$17	20	20	+0	No	-$1	06-05 08:54
Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?	3	$16	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	06-06 02:18
Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?	2	$15	60	0	+60	No	+$45	06-05 21:26
Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	2	$15	20	20	+0	Sander Jong	-$5	10-19 18:30
will aapl dip to 272 in june 2026	4	$13	56	56	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:10
will meta dip to 520 in june 2026	3	$13	300	279	+21	No	-$11	06-30 18:39
CSD Tristan Suarez vs. Quilmes AC: O/U 0.5	2	$11	13	13	+0	Under	-$10	10-03 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:44:20	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x3918f4…
10-20 21:59:42	Missouri State vs. Delaware	Missouri State	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x24b7b8…
10-20 21:48:14	Missouri State vs. Delaware	Missouri State	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x1acf52…
10-20 21:48:11	Missouri State vs. Delaware	Missouri State	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4406e5…
10-20 12:02:48	Missouri State vs. Delaware	Missouri State	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9d7286…
10-19 23:58:05	Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International	Florida International	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x410def…
10-19 22:03:15	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd3b3c8…
10-19 18:30:39	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Kenta Miyoshi	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xf6e9bc…
10-19 18:28:51	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xdd2bec…
10-19 18:26:18	Cali: Alex Hernandez vs Franco Ribero	Alex Hernandez	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0xa9811e…
10-19 18:25:48	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Kenta Miyoshi	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xefde6d…
10-13 15:09:52	Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren	Luca Nardi	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x4b194b…
10-13 12:22:41	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xdd710b…
10-13 09:46:43	Jinan: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Alexander Shevchenko	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4b6b77…
10-13 09:46:17	Jinan: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Alexander Shevchenko	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5d8d72…
10-13 07:40:25	Anyang vs. Goyang	Goyang	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8486a0…
10-12 22:01:59	Atenas vs. Ferro Carril Oeste	Atenas	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xf0789c…
10-12 22:01:59	Atenas vs. Ferro Carril Oeste	Atenas	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xa309ac…
10-12 21:52:14	Will PSV win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xe67194…
10-12 21:36:15	Jinan: Alibek Kachmazov vs Jay Dylan Friend	Alibek Kachmazov	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0x069bc5…
10-12 21:30:42	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd33a52…
10-12 21:14:39	Timberwolves vs. Knicks	Timberwolves	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0x34501d…
10-12 20:10:59	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x390c53…
10-12 19:58:15	Roanne: Matteo Martineau vs Max Schoenhaus	Max Schoenhaus	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc5f364…
10-12 19:50:53	Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x812589…
10-12 19:37:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Zverev	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xe27b51…
10-12 19:22:17	Nets vs. Wizards	Nets	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xdddc1d…
10-12 19:19:57	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x63d17a…
10-12 19:10:41	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0xff6730…
10-12 19:07:20	Will Al Gharafa SC vs. Esteghlal FC Tehran end in a draw?	No	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x0907b4…
10-12 19:07:18	Will Al Gharafa SC vs. Esteghlal FC Tehran end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf96961…
10-12 19:02:44	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xda440e…
10-04 12:30:14	Will Cerro Largo FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x11b488…
10-04 07:09:43	Kyrgyz Republic vs. Lebanon: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x14a343…
10-03 23:14:28	Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xc53787…
10-03 23:14:28	Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x669e83…
10-03 23:14:26	Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa25bba…
10-03 23:14:26	Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x474338…
10-03 21:07:46	Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x82acac…
10-03 19:55:34	CSD Tristan Suarez vs. Quilmes AC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xe4f20a…
10-03 19:45:18	Will FC Den Bosch vs. FC Dordrecht end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x4e45a0…
10-03 19:34:46	Will CSD Tristan Suarez win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x0a8f55…
10-03 19:03:59	Will United States win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0xa56a07…
10-03 18:27:14	Will Cerro Largo FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf4f94f…
10-03 18:26:59	Will FC Eindhoven win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x309cf8…
10-03 18:25:54	Will FC Eindhoven win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x3de6c1…
10-03 18:25:53	Will FC Eindhoven win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xc852f4…
10-03 18:25:42	FC Eindhoven vs. De Graafschap: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x95b2dd…
10-03 18:23:50	FC Den Bosch vs. FC Dordrecht: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5460bd…
10-03 18:23:38	Will FC Den Bosch win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x3b7569…
10-03 18:23:23	Will FC Den Bosch win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5e963b…
10-03 18:16:56	Will Canada win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x3d30fa…
10-03 18:16:00	Will CSD Tristan Suarez win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x3cda71…
10-03 18:09:03	CSD Tristan Suarez vs. Quilmes AC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x77ca82…
10-03 18:08:50	Colon de Santa Fe vs. CA Estudiantes: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9b2283…
10-03 17:57:59	Will Colon de Santa Fe win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd590c6…
10-03 17:56:12	Will Colon de Santa Fe win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	16	52¢	$9	0x607227…
10-03 17:55:56	Deportivo Moron vs. CA All Boys: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xf800f2…
10-03 17:55:56	Deportivo Moron vs. CA All Boys: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xe90e4e…
10-03 17:54:24	Will Deportivo Moron win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x29910d…
09-19 05:42:15	Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x8c1855…
09-18 00:28:03	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x7df9a9…
09-17 21:33:24	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x72b23b…
09-17 16:38:16	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x2474cc…
09-17 07:41:06	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7bcb70…
09-17 01:43:46	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xbf6699…
09-16 21:30:51	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xe3174d…
09-16 20:36:27	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xb0af62…
09-16 15:58:09	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x529d7e…
09-16 15:58:08	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7539e8…
09-16 15:57:53	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x985616…
09-15 20:35:55	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xbf3cb8…
09-15 15:17:42	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9abe36…
09-15 07:58:03	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xbb6ef9…
09-15 04:35:54	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1b8bd8…
09-14 14:36:15	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x888db9…
09-14 12:21:19	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x6156c4…
09-14 12:20:52	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9b8a83…
08-29 20:59:13	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x1e3218…
08-29 18:14:52	Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xde3709…
08-29 15:44:33	Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xd4de9b…
08-29 12:53:00	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7e7e44…
08-29 04:35:37	Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x40bbe4…
08-28 20:42:40	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x6448ad…
08-28 10:16:54	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x8da52a…
08-28 05:29:40	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0xf28307…
08-28 00:55:51	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x6b3c61…
08-27 23:34:34	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x20cb49…
08-13 08:20:03	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	189	2¢	$4	0xcc4d37…
08-13 08:19:45	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,121	2¢	$22	0x8780f2…
08-13 07:55:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x26538e…
08-13 07:46:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x7132c9…
08-13 06:46:06	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0x961aaa…
08-13 04:21:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x728788…
08-13 03:19:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0x354452…
08-13 03:02:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xc44214…
08-13 02:56:39	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x860a91…
08-13 01:34:39	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x1994c9…
08-13 00:27:39	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x53d6ce…
08-13 00:01:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd95011…