Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C or below on May 9?
open
Total volume
$1,273
$1,387 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$6,664
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 10:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $93 | $93 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | — | $149 | $149 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | $93 | $93 |
| Median | 6 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $100 | $100 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 4 | — | $44 | $44 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adorable-Cot 0xb62d…f10d | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-08 09:30 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +65 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-08 03:32 |
| Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-07 05:18 |
| Unused-Try 0xfb2f…ada9 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-08 09:25 |
| Nocturnal-Brook 0xa059…c241 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-08 10:01 |
| Content-Neurobiologist 0x2e68…6898 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 08:39 |
| Willing-Basin 0xb2a1…378a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:10 |
| Infatuated-Easel 0xee5c…814d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 06:45 |
| Immaculate-Pillow 0x6e7d…adb4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:44 |
| Lawful-Doorway 0x70e7…60ce | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 10:01:03 | Nocturnal-Brook 0xa059…c241 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x5b28f5… |
| 05-08 09:54:52 | Elderly-Bug-Degree 0x6534…2e43 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x91a06f… |
| 05-08 09:30:57 | Adorable-Cot 0xb62d…f10d | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0xe46f2f… |
| 05-08 09:25:37 | Unused-Try 0xfb2f…ada9 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x03706b… |
| 05-08 09:14:55 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 106 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56fb75… |
| 05-08 09:10:11 | Willing-Basin 0xb2a1…378a | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa0adc5… |
| 05-08 08:39:53 | Content-Neurobiologist 0x2e68…6898 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x37e13c… |
| 05-08 08:39:37 | Lawful-Doorway 0x70e7…60ce | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x31ae53… |
| 05-08 07:44:32 | Immaculate-Pillow 0x6e7d…adb4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5e9fa6… |
| 05-08 06:55:16 | Wan-Terracotta 0x27d0…7943 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 100¢ | $998 | 0x955f11… |
| 05-08 06:45:17 | Infatuated-Easel 0xee5c…814d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd65530… |
| 05-08 06:09:30 | Torn-Conversation 0xcd51…0976 | No | SELL | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x8937e7… |
| 05-08 03:32:05 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x797694… |
| 05-08 03:32:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0xaf4966… |
| 05-07 08:40:15 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb6acd8… |
| 05-07 08:39:43 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5b63f… |
| 05-07 08:39:22 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x669b75… |
| 05-07 08:39:22 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab8726… |
| 05-07 08:39:22 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9abc96… |
| 05-07 08:39:22 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c0cd1… |
| 05-07 08:39:22 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x592c19… |
| 05-07 08:39:22 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02ff29… |
| 05-07 08:39:22 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd85f65… |
| 05-07 08:39:22 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6c04de… |
| 05-07 05:44:15 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ecedf… |
| 05-07 05:43:05 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6c2d7b… |
| 05-07 05:18:02 | Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x09b8a5… |