Charming-Metabolite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.97K

Unrealized P&L

-$66

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

2,122

Trades

8,837

lifetime

Volume

$1.50M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$170

Open exposure

$5.50K

22 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-23 21:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 207 days

Categories

Other

84% 93% -$9,511

Politics

7% 76% -$3,301

Crypto

5% 81% +$5,707

Sports

2% 93% +$503

Tech

1% 93% +$634

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (22) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will bitcoin reach 150k in october 2026	No	+5,014	$5,000	100¢	$5.0K	+$6	10-01 07:00
will xrp reach 4 in october 2026	No	+142	$141	100¢	$142	+$1	10-01 07:00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-73	-$98	97¢	$-71	+$27	05-23 04:35
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+76	$50	93¢	$70	+$20	07-01 13:57
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+71	$50	94¢	$67	+$17	07-02 11:03
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+45	$25	93¢	$42	+$17	06-20 03:21
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	+597	$27	4¢	$26	-$1	10-16 06:26
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	+551	$21	4¢	$21	-$1	10-16 06:26
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+19	$19	98¢	$18	$0	10-23 21:06
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	+200	$8	5¢	$9	+$1	10-16 04:17
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+198	$73	4¢	$7	-$66	05-11 12:44
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+103	$75	5¢	$5	-$70	05-31 01:28
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+686	$25	1¢	$5	-$20	05-31 01:28
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+59	$25	8¢	$5	-$20	06-20 03:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+3	$3	98¢	$3	$0	10-19 22:28
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	-102	-$16	1¢	$-1	+$15	05-23 04:35
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+10	$1	6¢	$1	$0	10-14 12:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+27	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	09-18 04:59
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-102	-$3	0¢	$-0	+$3	05-23 04:36
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-102	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	05-23 04:36
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-102	-$7	0¢	$-0	+$7	05-23 04:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+27	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	09-18 04:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$46.4K	33,731	33,731	+0	No	+$3,930	04-22 17:32
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$36.6K	23,221	23,221	+0	Yes	+$608	03-29 14:44
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	2	$34.1K	34,549	0	+34,549	No	+$469	04-24 00:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	10	$33.2K	21,224	21,224	+0	No	+$6,370	05-29 14:26
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	49	$24.7K	13,120	13,120	+0	No	+$1,347	05-18 23:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	5	$23.9K	12,041	12,041	+0	Yes	+$181	05-23 03:09
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	56	$21.8K	11,330	11,330	-0	No	+$427	04-02 13:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$18.2K	10,434	10,434	+0	No	+$819	05-31 00:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	6	$13.9K	14,155	0	+14,155	No	+$299	07-29 00:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$13.7K	13,783	0	+13,783	No	+$129	04-21 17:19
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?	14	$10.9K	11,316	0	+11,316	No	+$452	04-25 18:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	3	$10.6K	10,612	0	+10,612	No	+$32	04-30 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 6?	5	$9.8K	9,919	0	+9,919	No	+$159	05-06 08:54
highest temperature in taipei on april 12 2026 35corhigher	32	$9.0K	9,056	0	+9,056	No	+$46	04-12 09:45
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	10	$8.8K	4,826	4,826	-0	No	+$245	04-26 14:53
will crude oil cl settle at 75 80 in march 416	1	$8.8K	8,800	0	+8,800	No	+$26	03-30 23:51
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in May?	8	$8.1K	8,170	0	+8,170	No	+$55	05-11 22:53
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	9	$7.6K	7,900	0	+7,900	No	+$321	05-31 03:32
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 22c	19	$7.5K	8,221	0	+8,221	No	+$704	04-13 05:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$7.5K	7,591	0	+7,591	No	+$123	05-09 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?	24	$7.3K	7,971	0	+7,971	No	-$391	05-02 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C or higher on May 8?	25	$7.0K	7,006	0	+7,006	No	+$19	05-08 17:59
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$5.4K	5,479	0	+5,479	No	+$88	08-12 13:36
highest temperature in hong kong on april 12 2026 27c	8	$5.3K	5,455	0	+5,455	No	+$110	04-12 02:21
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	44	$5.1K	2,671	2,671	+0	No	+$51	04-22 10:19
will bitcoin reach 150k in october 2026	1	$5.0K	5,014	0	+5,014	open	—	10-01 07:00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 18?	1	$5.0K	5,010	0	+5,010	No	+$10	07-16 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on July 14?	1	$5.0K	5,010	0	+5,010	No	+$10	07-13 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C or below on July 14?	1	$5.0K	5,010	0	+5,010	No	+$10	07-13 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C or below on July 8?	1	$5.0K	5,010	0	+5,010	No	+$10	07-06 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 21:06:35	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x86a17b…
10-23 20:46:54	Will USD/BRL hit 3.75 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe0d48e…
10-23 20:36:06	Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x5492eb…
10-20 08:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x521883…
10-20 00:44:35	Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x7e5e3e…
10-19 22:28:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x96dbe4…
10-18 14:19:26	Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xbacc27…
10-18 07:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x49bc35…
10-17 20:24:12	will open dip to 1 00 by october 19 2026	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x9be6e3…
10-17 08:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 17?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x45597e…
10-17 07:04:41	highest temperature in madrid on october 19 2026 8corbelow	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1b8b0e…
10-16 20:29:06	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in October?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x4847b1…
10-16 06:26:04	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	232	4¢	$9	0x07c5df…
10-16 06:26:03	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x057ebf…
10-16 06:26:01	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	210	4¢	$8	0x767b2f…
10-16 06:26:00	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	234	4¢	$11	0x88bfc1…
10-16 05:16:21	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in October?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xccf0aa…
10-16 04:17:55	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xb21dc7…
10-15 15:50:17	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe031bb…
10-14 12:31:57	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x958a23…
10-14 12:31:54	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	109	4¢	$4	0xfdb243…
10-14 12:31:51	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	297	4¢	$13	0x92ecf9…
10-14 11:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C or below on October 16?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x884166…
10-14 06:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C or below on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde426b…
10-14 04:31:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83e816…
10-13 19:49:06	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be 43°F or below on October 14?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x228f75…
10-13 16:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 96°F or higher on October 15?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc3ae45…
10-13 16:06:34	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x423f9e…
10-13 11:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on October 15?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2ac548…
10-12 19:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 92°F or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x716097…
10-11 13:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x805d40…
10-11 13:27:01	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$153	0xa7f402…
10-11 12:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xbf2b1e…
10-10 19:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x3d652c…
10-10 00:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 10?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xb8a16b…
10-10 00:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 10?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xbf020d…
10-10 00:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0x5b091a…
10-09 23:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x28b9b8…
10-09 23:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 10?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$101	0x584797…
10-09 22:32:38	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.75 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x79bd19…
10-09 22:31:38	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x17e7f9…
10-09 22:31:37	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x69cb4f…
10-09 14:35:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 51°F or below on October 11?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdc8b4c…
10-09 02:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on October 9?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x17ce0f…
10-09 02:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on October 9?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdd8a88…
10-09 02:23:24	Will USD/BRL hit 7 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	533	96¢	$512	0xcea221…
10-09 00:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on October 9?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0bc34a…
10-08 22:46:32	Will Chainlink reach $24 in October?	No	BUY	247	99¢	$245	0xd31888…
10-08 22:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C or below on October 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd2eba9…
10-08 20:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on October 9?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x078a10…
10-08 16:11:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 53°F or below on October 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x84cb38…
10-08 13:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 92°F or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x20145f…
10-08 07:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x08f039…
10-07 17:37:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on October 8?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7b778e…
10-07 14:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C or below on October 7?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x682eae…
10-07 14:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C or below on October 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb039de…
10-07 07:52:48	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x68f69e…
10-06 22:30:22	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on October 8?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe000ce…
10-06 22:28:39	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on October 8?	No	BUY	317	100¢	$316	0x23f40a…
10-06 21:33:12	Will the lowest temperature in London be 2°C or below on October 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x89e5bb…
10-06 21:31:27	Will the lowest temperature in London be 2°C or below on October 8?	No	BUY	475	100¢	$474	0x3712ea…
10-06 11:49:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9e16eb…
10-06 01:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C or below on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3399e…
10-06 00:05:55	Will GBP/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	421	97¢	$408	0x522bc7…
10-06 00:05:52	Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	4,092	100¢	$4,084	0x4c2b59…
10-05 06:03:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x73a41d…
10-04 17:32:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C or below on October 6?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x35fbd6…
10-03 17:06:11	Will Chainlink dip to $6 in October?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd1fa28…
10-03 04:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C or below on October 4?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xf81d86…
10-03 02:40:30	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	BUY	894	100¢	$893	0xe380c0…
10-03 00:33:27	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xfbc605…
10-03 00:33:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in October?	No	BUY	5,006	100¢	$5,000	0xdd90e1…
10-02 22:26:45	will open dip to 1 50 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xa4707e…
10-02 22:19:54	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.25 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x499ef4…
10-02 18:48:48	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x525585…
10-02 06:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on October 4?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xeadcac…
10-02 00:27:33	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in October?	No	BUY	762	100¢	$761	0x398ef8…
10-01 10:55:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in October?	No	BUY	4,174	100¢	$4,169	0x96ad4a…
10-01 10:55:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6e1261…
10-01 07:24:32	will bnb dip to 300 in october 2026	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xe1c73b…
10-01 07:00:56	will xrp reach 3pt2 in october 2026	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x782696…
10-01 07:00:56	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in october 2026	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x6c473c…
10-01 07:00:54	will solana dip to 30 in october 2026	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x24c4c6…
10-01 07:00:17	will chainlink dip to 8 in october 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xeafeee…
10-01 07:00:15	will chainlink reach 26 in october 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd940d9…
10-01 07:00:15	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in october 2026	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0xb53819…
10-01 07:00:15	will bnb dip to 400 in october 2026	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x8891c4…
10-01 07:00:14	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in october 2026	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x75ca90…
10-01 07:00:12	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in october 2026	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0xdf2119…
10-01 07:00:12	will xrp reach 4 in october 2026	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0xc0fbef…
10-01 07:00:11	will solana dip to 20 in october 2026	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x9d9aee…
10-01 07:00:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in october 2026	No	BUY	5,014	100¢	$5,000	0x5fd835…
10-01 00:32:26	will ethbtc dip to 0pt0305 september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa3549b…
10-01 00:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on October 2?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x65dc3b…
09-30 20:30:00	will ethbtc dip to 0pt0300 september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf9d5c5…
09-30 20:30:00	will wti reach 125 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x34ddaf…
09-30 20:29:57	Will Ethena dip to $0.16 in September?	No	BUY	195	99¢	$193	0x9d0329…
09-30 13:23:38	Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	628	95¢	$598	0xe7a4de…
09-30 13:23:30	Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	702	94¢	$659	0x40a588…
09-30 13:23:21	Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,043	95¢	$994	0x00416b…