Charming-Metabolite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,353

lifetime

Volume

$572.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$243

Open exposure

$474

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-08 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% 100% +$4

Politics

18% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

6% — —

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	-181	$-141	84¢	$-153	$-12	07-08 13:55
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	+149	$85	56¢	$84	$-1	06-18 02:30
Negative GDP growth in 2026?	No	+73	$67	94¢	$68	+$1	07-05 14:53
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+76	$50	83¢	$63	+$13	07-01 13:57
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+71	$50	82¢	$58	+$8	07-02 11:03
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+45	$25	80¢	$36	+$11	06-20 03:21
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+59	$25	20¢	$12	$-13	06-20 03:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$46.4K	33,731	33,731	+0	open	—	04-22 17:32
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$36.6K	23,221	23,221	+0	open	—	03-29 14:44
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	2	$34.1K	34,549	0	+34,549	open	—	04-24 00:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	10	$33.2K	21,224	21,224	+0	open	—	05-29 14:26
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	49	$24.7K	13,120	13,120	+0	open	—	05-18 23:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	5	$23.9K	12,041	12,041	+0	open	—	05-23 03:09
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	56	$21.8K	11,330	11,330	-0	open	—	04-02 13:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$13.7K	13,783	0	+13,783	open	—	04-21 17:19
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?	14	$10.9K	11,316	0	+11,316	open	—	04-25 18:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	3	$10.6K	10,612	0	+10,612	open	—	04-30 08:18
highest temperature in taipei on april 12 2026 35corhigher	32	$9.0K	9,056	0	+9,056	open	—	04-12 09:45
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	10	$8.8K	4,826	4,826	-0	open	—	04-26 14:53
will crude oil cl settle at 75 80 in march 416	1	$8.8K	8,800	0	+8,800	open	—	03-30 23:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$8.7K	10,434	0	+10,434	open	—	05-30 11:34
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 22c	19	$7.5K	8,221	0	+8,221	open	—	04-13 05:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$7.5K	7,591	0	+7,591	open	—	05-09 09:50
highest temperature in hong kong on april 12 2026 27c	8	$5.3K	5,455	0	+5,455	open	—	04-12 02:21
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	44	$5.1K	2,671	2,671	+0	open	—	04-22 10:19
highest temperature in singapore on april 6 2026 35corhigher	5	$5.0K	5,001	0	+5,001	open	—	04-05 23:00
highest temperature in taipei on april 11 2026 36corhigher	15	$4.9K	4,955	0	+4,955	open	—	04-11 04:05
maduro mugshot released by monday	2	$4.8K	5,628	0	+5,628	open	—	01-05 12:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$4.7K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-29 03:22
highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 92forhigher	10	$4.6K	4,638	0	+4,638	open	—	04-13 20:26
highest temperature in taipei on april 15 2026 35corhigher	9	$4.6K	4,614	0	+4,614	open	—	04-13 10:51
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$4.5K	4,707	0	+4,707	open	—	01-15 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	34	$3.3K	1,742	1,742	+0	open	—	05-23 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 38°C or higher on April 28?	23	$3.2K	3,190	0	+3,190	open	—	04-27 15:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?	4	$3.1K	3,258	0	+3,258	open	—	04-19 02:13
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 20c	4	$3.1K	3,130	0	+3,130	open	—	04-14 01:22
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$3.0K	3,636	0	+3,636	open	—	05-14 02:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 13:55:52	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	181	78¢	$141	0x3539c3…
07-08 13:54:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0x91e55a…
07-05 14:53:59	Negative GDP growth in 2026?	No	BUY	73	92¢	$67	0x2d0fc5…
07-02 11:03:35	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x653745…
07-01 13:57:38	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x88a2e6…
06-24 00:10:53	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xce873a…
06-24 00:10:53	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x37c860…
06-23 23:20:37	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeb7f02…
06-23 00:08:02	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8b8f70…
06-20 03:21:37	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	43¢	$25	0x582119…
06-20 03:21:35	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x20caec…
06-19 00:14:46	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdf9fa6…
06-18 02:30:35	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	149	57¢	$85	0x5f503d…
06-18 00:11:31	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5870db…
06-12 00:09:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x6f1c42…
06-11 00:09:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xca4ee5…
06-10 00:08:30	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf96ca9…
06-09 13:07:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x2ecfed…
06-05 00:14:18	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by june 30	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x6f0d3e…
06-04 16:56:12	will the ethereum volatility index hit 70 by june 30	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x30eb18…
06-04 16:56:09	will the ethereum volatility index hit 90 by june 30	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x39149a…
06-04 16:56:09	will the ethereum volatility index hit 80 by june 30	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x28ad7d…
06-04 16:56:07	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by june 30	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x5a7264…
06-04 16:56:06	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 70 by june 30	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x72ab40…
06-04 00:04:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1257cd…
06-03 00:11:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb1ba1b…
06-02 10:26:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	1¢	$200	0xe9d066…
06-02 06:19:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50,000	1¢	$400	0x75ce1e…
06-01 23:39:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2761a4…
06-01 13:37:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xebf26c…
06-01 01:03:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x3c248f…
05-31 13:24:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xcc9798…
05-31 13:24:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6253eb…
05-31 13:24:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xfc3b7e…
05-31 13:24:19	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd8ea37…
05-31 13:24:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd6c39e…
05-31 13:24:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x73bcdf…
05-31 13:24:18	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf74e0c…
05-30 11:34:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,434	83¢	$8,678	0xd557f1…
05-29 14:26:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	SELL	21,224	93¢	$19,796	0x6199c5…
05-29 09:21:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,000	42¢	$840	0x350bcb…
05-29 09:03:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,235	50¢	$618	0x3f505f…
05-29 09:01:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	75	50¢	$37	0x0afc2f…
05-29 08:56:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	690	50¢	$345	0x49a4e7…
05-29 08:52:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	8,000	48¢	$3,840	0x1f4f59…
05-28 14:29:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	4,790	86¢	$4,115	0xe079b6…
05-28 14:14:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	1,694	99¢	$1,668	0x56d08a…
05-28 13:31:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x874de0…
05-28 13:30:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb9b9ff…
05-28 13:30:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	4,408	82¢	$3,610	0x6dd472…
05-27 11:19:13	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x23ee1b…
05-24 22:46:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	205	75¢	$154	0x2559aa…
05-24 22:45:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	SELL	192	82¢	$158	0x43e4c5…
05-24 13:11:08	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	877	79¢	$690	0xc08a03…
05-24 13:10:27	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,735	76¢	$2,066	0xbdcae3…
05-24 02:56:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	695	80¢	$555	0x5b6a50…
05-24 02:55:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	999	77¢	$771	0x2d3d9a…
05-23 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf18091…
05-23 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xe5d003…
05-23 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xadd5dd…
05-23 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x8a76af…
05-23 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x70c29e…
05-23 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x65cacc…
05-23 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	323	96¢	$310	0x627135…
05-23 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0x1a4384…
05-23 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x06de07…
05-23 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x067ea7…
05-23 08:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	86	96¢	$83	0xf633c7…
05-23 08:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	128	96¢	$123	0xd43e83…
05-23 08:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xca632a…
05-23 08:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0xb936fd…
05-23 08:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x4283a0…
05-23 08:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x06ff7a…
05-23 08:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x015fbf…
05-23 08:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xa95f19…
05-23 08:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x7eec43…
05-23 08:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0x30d80e…
05-23 08:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x29135b…
05-23 08:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x07b647…
05-23 08:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	153	95¢	$145	0xb2c115…
05-23 08:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2382db…
05-23 08:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x230867…
05-23 08:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0xc4b5b7…
05-23 08:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x9529d0…
05-23 08:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x4a03af…
05-23 08:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	114	94¢	$107	0xd2d43f…
05-23 08:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xc47933…
05-23 08:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	402	93¢	$373	0x64059d…
05-23 08:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,135	94¢	$1,064	0x592279…
05-23 08:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0x4e339e…
05-23 08:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0x26d61f…
05-23 03:09:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	12,041	100¢	$12,017	0x81a6b5…
05-21 13:59:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	8,654	98¢	$8,522	0x3b655c…
05-21 13:59:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,326	98¢	$1,302	0xa8df61…
05-21 13:59:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	726	98¢	$711	0x8f7b45…
05-21 13:59:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,335	97¢	$1,301	0x3063ef…
05-18 23:45:42	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	13,120	99¢	$13,002	0xa29f75…
05-18 06:25:45	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x460f1c…
05-18 06:23:15	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x76dd85…
05-18 06:18:44	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xc7d329…