Content-Neurobiologist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,231

lifetime

Volume

$114.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

49% 44% $-42

Crypto

19% — —

Politics

18% 100% +$0

Sports

10% 60% +$3

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	28	$1.6K	842	842	-0	open	—	03-14 16:33
GTA VI released before June 2026?	24	$1.5K	779	779	+0	open	—	05-16 09:17
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	23	$1.4K	713	713	+0	open	—	03-16 23:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	9	$1.2K	539	692	-154	open	—	06-24 23:56
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	15	$1.2K	612	612	+0	open	—	03-24 18:30
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	14	$1.1K	581	581	+0	open	—	03-21 22:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	16	$1.1K	553	553	-0	open	—	01-31 09:26
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	15	$1.1K	591	495	+96	open	—	03-08 20:09
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	35	$1.0K	510	510	+0	open	—	02-11 21:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	19	$998	514	514	+0	open	—	02-23 15:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$988	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 19:51
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	22	$981	525	465	+60	open	—	02-18 14:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	8	$951	700	800	-100	open	—	04-06 16:16
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	15	$947	463	539	-75	open	—	01-31 10:27
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	16	$902	455	455	+0	open	—	04-16 17:53
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	17	$892	457	457	+0	open	—	01-29 09:23
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	17	$884	452	452	+0	open	—	04-18 19:12
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	10	$863	438	438	+0	open	—	04-22 15:41
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$848	434	434	+0	open	—	03-16 17:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	13	$844	428	428	+0	open	—	02-25 20:14
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	15	$804	411	411	+0	open	—	03-28 15:13
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	10	$786	401	401	+0	open	—	04-03 14:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	10	$781	396	396	+0	open	—	05-25 08:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	10	$754	384	384	+0	open	—	04-14 00:12
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	11	$720	366	366	+0	open	—	03-13 16:51
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	4	$691	350	350	+0	open	—	07-28 14:12
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	17	$687	353	353	+0	open	—	02-17 16:28
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$685	358	358	+0	open	—	01-15 00:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$670	344	344	+0	open	—	05-02 16:38
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	10	$666	341	341	+0	open	—	07-03 08:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 12:30:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x544f5a…
08-11 11:50:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xcecdeb…
08-11 11:27:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xe5f699…
08-11 10:27:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x6cae3f…
08-11 10:25:40	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	SELL	123	99¢	$121	0x15a42c…
08-10 00:36:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x4a677c…
08-09 10:00:55	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	123	99¢	$121	0x59e62b…
08-08 02:07:07	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	111	98¢	$109	0x6b9e38…
08-08 00:03:37	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	106	94¢	$100	0xc0804b…
08-07 19:33:24	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0x3ef504…
08-07 19:30:43	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x143bca…
08-07 19:22:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	121	98¢	$118	0xa2cbc6…
08-05 17:07:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	121	98¢	$118	0xe8ba7d…
08-05 16:57:36	Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	128	97¢	$124	0x133681…
08-04 20:04:53	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xe58258…
08-04 19:11:18	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x87b1f3…
08-04 19:10:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x7c7274…
08-04 18:21:29	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	SELL	131	99¢	$130	0x7e9123…
08-04 11:34:14	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x0ab150…
08-03 17:28:59	atp fritz jodar 2026 08 02	Rafael Jodar	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xaae261…
08-03 14:48:09	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	102	96¢	$99	0xe10b21…
08-03 14:16:36	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	127	96¢	$122	0xe68f04…
08-03 00:13:18	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0x602ceb…
08-02 11:15:57	Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	128	97¢	$124	0x999697…
08-02 11:12:08	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x803f04…
08-02 11:11:23	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd253e3…
08-02 11:10:44	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	127	96¢	$122	0xc537bf…
08-02 10:36:05	will ethereum dip to 700 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	126	96¢	$120	0xf7945d…
08-01 22:47:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x49de24…
07-31 20:55:29	will ethereum dip to 700 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	126	96¢	$120	0x4e02c0…
07-31 12:31:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0x6c2de1…
07-30 17:20:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	64	95¢	$61	0x97a3f0…
07-30 17:15:30	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	107	94¢	$100	0x23d5c4…
07-29 10:02:05	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc36d61…
07-29 09:49:18	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	SELL	139	99¢	$138	0x5c61f7…
07-28 20:12:16	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xc075dc…
07-28 14:12:23	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	198	99¢	$195	0xfa93f7…
07-28 13:57:31	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	54	90¢	$49	0xee48c6…
07-28 13:57:02	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	132	94¢	$124	0xc358d2…
07-27 18:46:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x0a39c2…
07-27 17:47:28	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	198	98¢	$195	0x0cdf4f…
07-27 17:45:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x61c35e…
07-27 17:42:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc1cd09…
07-27 15:44:19	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 27 2026	No	SELL	99	99¢	$99	0xd2e01a…
07-27 15:43:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	121	97¢	$118	0x1e3bb0…
07-27 10:22:31	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	132	95¢	$125	0x2ae197…
07-27 10:22:12	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xcce54f…
07-27 10:17:55	hlt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 2pt25	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x81ed97…
07-27 10:17:45	celh quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x00e0ac…
07-27 10:17:31	ci quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 7pt6	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x240eba…
07-27 10:17:22	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x431dae…
07-27 10:17:12	dis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt86	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xf8cf25…
07-27 10:17:01	kkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt43	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2f2ab2…
07-27 10:16:48	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x9afc56…
07-27 10:16:31	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x4a05ba…
07-26 15:04:06	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xdfbbf1…
07-26 11:46:27	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xb49baa…
07-25 05:07:43	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 27 2026	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xdd9fbb…
07-25 05:05:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	121	97¢	$118	0x63ac18…
07-24 18:18:40	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x4554b0…
07-24 18:17:54	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4a2259…
07-24 18:15:43	will ethereum dip to 500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	123	97¢	$120	0xf9b9b9…
07-22 20:37:49	will xrp reach 1pt8 in july 2026	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xc21a16…
07-22 19:50:43	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0xf82957…
07-22 19:49:33	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0xa74b41…
07-20 10:01:55	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0xc0283a…
07-19 11:32:55	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	152	99¢	$150	0x9af469…
07-17 18:32:21	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xda8e12…
07-17 13:43:58	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	SELL	126	97¢	$123	0x3b18f1…
07-17 07:46:03	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf4ff61…
07-17 07:37:27	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	97¢	$68	0xbf131f…
07-16 15:24:05	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xc74648…
07-15 18:01:19	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$69	0xa0464d…
07-15 17:50:25	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x3e5d11…
07-15 14:50:31	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc29972…
07-15 14:49:34	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	115	90¢	$103	0x7fee89…
07-15 14:49:16	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0x3e908a…
07-15 09:58:40	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x67fdb8…
07-14 14:13:10	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0xc39a65…
07-14 14:06:58	ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 2pt81	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x364164…
07-14 14:06:44	ual quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 15 2026 1pt77	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9052a1…
07-14 14:06:29	tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 3pt88	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd6fc15…
07-14 14:06:16	unh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 16 2026 4pt85	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xfbec5a…
07-14 14:06:04	pnc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 4pt41	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa454e2…
07-14 14:05:07	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7d96b3…
07-14 14:00:56	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$16	0xe424e4…
07-13 10:45:17	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	125	100¢	$124	0x8b9b6b…
07-13 08:41:19	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x8a6676…
07-13 08:02:07	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	114	95¢	$109	0x917555…
07-13 08:01:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	155	96¢	$150	0xcb2176…
07-12 23:07:26	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd30819…
07-12 17:16:25	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	99	99¢	$99	0x8c7fea…
07-12 17:05:02	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x39e074…
07-12 13:29:02	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfaa17f…
07-11 08:05:23	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	92¢	$106	0xe681e9…
07-11 08:01:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0x19afba…
07-11 00:59:14	Will Adele perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xad89a8…
07-10 05:37:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0xe6d538…
07-10 05:37:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0x33d5b4…
07-09 19:09:53	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	61	93¢	$56	0x748c3b…