Realized P&L
-$351
Unrealized P&L
-$109
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
1,085
Trades
4,008
lifetime
Volume
$237.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$1.48K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 09:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 252 days
Categories
Other
46% 71% -$291
Politics
23% 73% -$56
Sports
15% 60% +$8
Crypto
11% 75% -$5
Tech
5% 70% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +495 $302 64¢ $319 +$17 05-25 09:15
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +495 $198 34¢ $171 -$27 05-25 09:16
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? No -170 -$158 99¢ $-168 -$10 08-05 16:57
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -121 -$120 98¢ $-119 +$1 04-28 16:04
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No +104 $102 97¢ $101 -$1 10-27 13:36
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +101 $99 97¢ $98 -$1 10-28 17:45
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +93 $90 76¢ $71 -$19 09-17 22:39
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +71 $70 96¢ $68 -$2 10-21 19:51
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +53 $51 96¢ $51 $0 10-26 23:02
Epic Games IPO before 2027? No +51 $51 98¢ $50 -$1 10-14 18:49
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +52 $50 96¢ $49 -$1 10-15 19:28
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +51 $50 96¢ $48 -$2 10-26 09:46
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? No +50 $50 96¢ $48 -$2 10-07 19:37
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +99 $90 44¢ $43 -$47 09-15 08:52
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +41 $40 92¢ $38 -$2 10-28 17:48
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +36 $35 91¢ $33 -$3 10-12 11:04
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $10 20¢ $7 -$3 10-06 04:26
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +26 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 07-27 17:42
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 07-11 18:57
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-18 22:43
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 08-20 12:12
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-20 03:03
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 10-14 11:31
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -0 $0 100¢ $-0 $0 07-17 13:44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-07 23:58
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 09-12 20:27
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 09-30 20:00