Willing-Basin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$325

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$856

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 08-25 06:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

96% 99% -$300

Crypto

3% 0% -$25

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$300	910	+910	Yes	-$300	06-15 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 10:15 UTC	1	$25	50	+50	Up	-$25	03-02 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on July 26?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	07-24 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 30?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	05-29 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 26?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	05-25 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on July 14?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	07-13 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	06-08 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on May 23?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	05-22 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 30?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	05-29 08:02
Will the lowest temperature in London be 1°C or below on May 14?	1	$9	10	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:16
Will "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	1	$9	10	+10	No	+$0	05-19 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on May 23?	1	$9	10	+10	No	+$0	05-22 10:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 30?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	05-29 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 26?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	08-25 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on June 9?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	06-08 09:07
Will the lowest temperature in London be -1°C or below on May 15?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	05-14 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on July 2?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	07-02 02:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$9	9	+9	Yes	+$0	05-29 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 21?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	05-20 10:19
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on May 25?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	05-25 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	05-14 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 14?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	05-14 03:09
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	05-19 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 22?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	05-21 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on May 25?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	05-25 05:57
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C or below on July 2?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	07-02 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on July 25?	1	$8	8	+8	No	+$0	07-24 09:20
Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?	1	$8	8	+8	No	+$0	05-19 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 25?	1	$8	8	+8	No	+$0	07-24 09:21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 14?	1	$8	8	+8	No	+$0	05-14 03:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 06:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7e5fd2…
08-25 06:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79ac67…
07-24 09:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24d28b…
07-24 09:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40d165…
07-24 09:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x872c75…
07-17 07:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27f603…
07-17 07:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C or below on July 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x81dc46…
07-17 07:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 41°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9f67c…
07-13 07:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9da630…
07-13 07:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x80db7b…
07-13 07:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcfce4e…
07-02 02:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x34fd80…
07-02 02:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C or below on July 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x628b70…
07-02 02:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x18a9ca…
06-15 14:56:06	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	910	33¢	$300	0xa495ec…
06-08 09:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x452ead…
06-08 09:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1ec4c…
06-08 09:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdabc03…
06-08 09:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x158db3…
06-08 09:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0bf5ec…
05-29 08:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a2a8f…
05-29 08:01:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9df989…
05-29 08:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7c0928…
05-29 07:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x487141…
05-25 05:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5ee0b8…
05-25 05:55:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc0133…
05-25 05:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1966e…
05-25 05:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf25e5a…
05-25 05:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91b049…
05-25 05:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcc00f3…
05-22 10:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x5a3fbc…
05-22 10:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x326509…
05-22 10:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1afc4c…
05-22 10:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 82°F or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f27b9…
05-22 10:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2a8625…
05-21 08:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf802a3…
05-21 08:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x39d692…
05-21 08:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xc7facf…
05-21 08:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0a285a…
05-21 08:50:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x42f5ef…
05-21 08:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf9fd6d…
05-20 10:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x279ef5…
05-20 10:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2c3aa6…
05-20 10:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x690609…
05-19 10:24:02	Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf85a6f…
05-19 10:23:01	Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xefb815…
05-19 10:21:51	Will "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x4ed687…
05-19 10:20:15	Will "Potential - sombr" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x31c483…
05-19 10:19:05	Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9271d8…
05-19 10:17:44	Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x447098…
05-19 10:17:14	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1ed197…
05-14 10:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0617d1…
05-14 10:17:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x01e435…
05-14 10:16:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be -1°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x193b51…
05-14 03:16:45	Will the lowest temperature in London be 1°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xd75080…
05-14 03:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd82f89…
05-14 03:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbd5759…
05-14 03:13:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c34de…
05-14 03:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7f7547…
05-14 03:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8cd8de…
05-14 03:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8bba28…
05-14 03:08:40	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xea16d9…
05-14 03:07:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d2181…
05-11 09:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1378b7…
05-11 09:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc76c94…
05-11 09:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc58a9…
05-11 09:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xce4d97…
05-11 09:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8dff8d…
05-11 09:40:39	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc52d07…
05-11 09:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x359253…
05-11 09:38:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xdeb557…
05-11 09:35:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x323f92…
05-11 09:34:21	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc81d87…
05-11 09:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e0730…
05-11 09:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8c97eb…
05-09 07:37:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4df3d6…
05-09 07:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x360370…
05-09 07:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x204a80…
05-08 09:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x718453…
05-08 09:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xa0adc5…
05-08 09:09:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x72c1bb…
05-07 09:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb93d3b…
05-07 09:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9a75d1…
05-07 09:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xae7638…
04-27 09:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb96a4c…
04-27 09:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f1db7…
04-27 08:59:26	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x483dee…
04-23 08:51:10	highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb53d5f…
04-23 08:48:50	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 17c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x075cd7…
04-23 08:47:02	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 19corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd3b61b…
03-02 10:12:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x15d5f2…