Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$221
$2,662 in 24h
Trades
42
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$1,638
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 05:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $45 | $45 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $0 | $175 | $175 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $40 | $40 |
| Median | 9 | — | $155 | $155 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $8 | $8 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cloudy-Tote 0x7c56…9337 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-08 05:30 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +54 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 15:24 |
| Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-06 18:13 |
| Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 16:38 |
| Fussy-Technologist 0x6b1b…3f6d | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-07 12:40 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 08:33 |
| Wary-Tabernacle 0xa403…c104 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 16:22 |
| Idle-Lunchroom 0x4586…15f3 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 15:27 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 08:09 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 22:04 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 21:54 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 20:16 |
| Willing-Basin 0xb2a1…378a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 09:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 05:30:22 | Cloudy-Tote 0x7c56…9337 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xce6626… |
| 05-08 05:19:39 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x55df47… |
| 05-08 05:18:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa39c36… |
| 05-08 05:18:28 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc32407… |
| 05-08 05:18:28 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x14b518… |
| 05-08 05:18:26 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b0aee… |
| 05-07 22:26:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x36560e… |
| 05-07 22:05:03 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x159c73… |
| 05-07 22:05:03 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25f257… |
| 05-07 22:04:52 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x4adf34… |
| 05-07 22:04:07 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf51e54… |
| 05-07 22:04:07 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf8039… |
| 05-07 22:04:05 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29a0f4… |
| 05-07 21:54:26 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x50edf8… |
| 05-07 20:16:12 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x643ce4… |
| 05-07 20:16:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29f8db… |
| 05-07 16:38:07 | Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa3080a… |
| 05-07 16:27:33 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbf955b… |
| 05-07 16:27:33 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf36741… |
| 05-07 16:27:33 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x500c65… |
| 05-07 16:22:13 | Wary-Tabernacle 0xa403…c104 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xc676b2… |
| 05-07 15:27:00 | Idle-Lunchroom 0x4586…15f3 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x5c138e… |
| 05-07 15:24:42 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x823139… |
| 05-07 13:08:56 | Lonely-Promotion 0xd676…a859 | Yes | SELL | 223 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4803cb… |
| 05-07 13:01:02 | Lonely-Promotion 0xd676…a859 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b857f… |
| 05-07 12:40:23 | Fussy-Technologist 0x6b1b…3f6d | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xa9b63d… |
| 05-07 11:14:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a931e… |
| 05-07 11:00:11 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbe3ace… |
| 05-07 09:24:07 | Willing-Basin 0xb2a1…378a | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xae7638… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5bec3a… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x751c6e… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x92f1c7… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x503341… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1ae2b… |
| 05-07 08:09:36 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b249b… |
| 05-07 08:09:23 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x90c846… |
| 05-07 08:09:20 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x76503d… |
| 05-07 08:08:27 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c0275… |
| 05-07 08:08:26 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ed9e9… |
| 05-07 08:08:26 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x00c572… |
| 05-07 00:53:12 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x211364… |
| 05-06 18:13:20 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xd953f6… |