Lonely-Promotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.95K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

1,484

Trades

2,425

lifetime

Volume

$74.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 08-21 13:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

100% 100% -$1,951

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	3	$3.0K	3,003	0	+3,003	No	+$3	08-15 05:46
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2.8K	2,811	0	+2,811	No	+$3	08-02 13:19
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$2.8K	2,790	10	+2,780	No	+$3	08-06 12:49
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	3	$2.7K	2,663	0	+2,663	No	+$3	08-18 18:54
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2.6K	2,640	0	+2,640	No	+$3	08-08 04:52
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2.6K	2,610	0	+2,610	No	+$3	08-12 00:00
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	2	$2.6K	2,600	0	+2,600	No	+$3	08-01 12:32
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$2.0K	2,000	600	+1,400	No	+$5	08-03 12:45
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	2	$1.8K	1,817	0	+1,817	No	+$2	08-15 05:53
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	10	$1.0K	0	2,610	-2,610	No	+$1,032	08-21 13:22
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	08-01 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 7?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	05-05 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or below on May 7?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	05-05 10:24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on May 7?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	05-05 10:26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 7?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	05-05 10:22
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 7?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	05-05 10:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	05-05 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 7?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	05-05 11:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 7?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	05-05 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 7?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	05-05 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 7?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	05-05 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 8?	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	05-06 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on May 8?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-06 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 9?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-07 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	-$300	05-06 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 8?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-06 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 8?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-06 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on May 9?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-07 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 9?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-07 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 9?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-07 07:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 13:22:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	38¢	$229	0x3161f6…
08-21 13:22:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	698	38¢	$263	0x06c573…
08-21 13:20:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	40¢	$32	0x942239…
08-21 13:19:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	380	41¢	$154	0x875baa…
08-21 13:18:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	41¢	$33	0xad6191…
08-21 13:18:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	570	41¢	$236	0x132bfe…
08-21 13:18:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xa46261…
08-21 13:18:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xabfa60…
08-21 13:17:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x6c06af…
08-21 13:17:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	42¢	$35	0x1f7831…
08-21 13:15:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	648	2¢	$14	0xbbcaa9…
08-21 03:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	293	34¢	$100	0xdde4cd…
08-21 03:00:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	34¢	$81	0x9c5466…
08-21 03:00:37	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	33¢	$38	0xa04c65…
08-21 02:59:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,610	9¢	$236	0x01ab55…
08-20 19:15:54	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,318	0¢	$1	0xfbe752…
08-20 05:35:25	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,610	0¢	$3	0xb70021…
08-20 05:32:37	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,196	0¢	$1	0x2c234e…
08-20 03:34:00	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,610	0¢	$3	0x288e40…
08-19 23:57:19	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1a0c6e…
08-19 19:37:57	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,580	0¢	$5	0xd43cb5…
08-19 19:23:07	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	662	0¢	$1	0xf7795d…
08-19 19:23:01	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	662	0¢	$1	0xe0f6f1…
08-19 19:11:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	628	0¢	$1	0x45f084…
08-19 19:11:19	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5ecd16…
08-19 19:11:12	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,001	0¢	$2	0xd3283f…
08-19 19:11:00	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,001	0¢	$2	0x5e0b7f…
08-19 19:09:43	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	982	0¢	$1	0xfc9269…
08-19 18:52:16	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,610	0¢	$3	0x02eccd…
08-19 16:01:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	896	0¢	$1	0xea339b…
08-19 15:56:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,714	0¢	$2	0x007b0d…
08-19 15:55:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,897	0¢	$2	0xc1d1b8…
08-19 15:50:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	713	0¢	$1	0xd87913…
08-19 15:49:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,185	0¢	$1	0x1aea9b…
08-19 15:49:00	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,820	0¢	$5	0x951b75…
08-19 15:48:55	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,536	0¢	$5	0x30a0cd…
08-19 15:48:46	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,820	0¢	$5	0xb55cae…
08-19 15:48:40	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,635	0¢	$4	0x2fed96…
08-19 14:36:15	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,170	0¢	$1	0x0404ce…
08-19 14:32:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,610	0¢	$3	0x0562f8…
08-19 12:33:46	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x3929a1…
08-18 21:44:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,549	0¢	$3	0xe12bd9…
08-18 21:22:19	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,662	0¢	$2	0x3deef7…
08-18 18:54:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	661	100¢	$660	0x0c93b2…
08-18 18:51:19	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xb6e0ea…
08-18 18:49:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	0¢	$0	0xe2dfe8…
08-18 18:49:34	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,001	0¢	$1	0xe0e7e6…
08-18 18:48:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x6b00cc…
08-18 16:07:25	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,650	0¢	$7	0x30aae7…
08-18 16:07:19	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	284	0¢	$1	0x11b55f…
08-18 01:43:51	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,820	0¢	$5	0x2f23b8…
08-18 01:31:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,320	0¢	$3	0xcbde30…
08-17 23:42:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,610	0¢	$3	0x319f80…
08-17 10:34:43	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	0¢	$0	0x8cc7ef…
08-16 23:46:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$2	0x9f05b2…
08-15 10:14:39	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	816	0¢	$1	0x16dc27…
08-15 05:53:04	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	816	100¢	$815	0x4237c0…
08-15 05:51:00	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,002	0¢	$2	0x6761df…
08-15 05:50:01	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xe3eccd…
08-15 05:46:58	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xeff254…
08-15 05:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,001	0¢	$1	0xdb18b9…
08-15 05:43:55	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x551936…
08-15 05:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,001	0¢	$1	0x59862d…
08-15 05:38:52	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x4b5813…
08-14 16:12:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,610	0¢	$3	0xab0363…
08-14 10:33:31	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	542	0¢	$1	0x83ed56…
08-14 05:53:16	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2423c1…
08-13 13:26:40	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	414	0¢	$0	0x806603…
08-13 08:28:07	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,292	0¢	$1	0x46db6b…
08-13 08:27:57	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,292	0¢	$1	0x00e29c…
08-13 08:26:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,098	0¢	$1	0x819d63…
08-12 12:35:15	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,800	0¢	$3	0xe01009…
08-12 00:00:25	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2,610	100¢	$2,607	0x89d4ab…
08-11 23:58:00	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,640	0¢	$3	0x838c35…
08-08 15:17:07	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,800	0¢	$3	0xc6081e…
08-08 11:10:34	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,640	0¢	$3	0xa08d31…
08-08 04:52:21	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	2,640	100¢	$2,637	0xb8c3d0…
08-07 21:27:25	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xea426c…
08-07 12:14:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,600	0¢	$3	0x28c1c5…
08-06 16:19:45	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,600	0¢	$3	0x367e63…
08-06 12:49:44	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x93622f…
08-05 01:13:20	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,790	0¢	$3	0x983cba…
08-05 01:12:50	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2,790	100¢	$2,787	0x045665…
08-04 22:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x23231b…
08-04 16:08:38	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,571	0¢	$2	0x914754…
08-04 16:05:15	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,029	0¢	$1	0x74bec5…
08-04 06:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,600	0¢	$3	0xda9425…
08-04 04:32:03	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36e749…
08-04 03:05:53	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	470	0¢	$0	0x3829ec…
08-03 12:45:29	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x4c308b…
08-02 19:15:48	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,171	0¢	$2	0x32d8d3…
08-02 18:35:53	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0x482b67…
08-02 18:34:50	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	169	0¢	$0	0x439f41…
08-02 18:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x35e8ac…
08-02 17:15:35	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,811	0¢	$3	0x99790e…
08-02 13:19:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2,811	100¢	$2,808	0x877563…
08-02 01:36:41	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,600	0¢	$3	0x4b68be…
08-02 00:53:06	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,600	0¢	$3	0x49f0ef…
08-01 12:32:29	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x5c9c07…
08-01 12:30:02	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0xbdc838…