Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on May 9?
open
Total volume
$553
$7,376 in 24h
Trades
58
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$11,699
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 14:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $319 | $319 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $1 | $147 | $146 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | — | $289 | $289 |
| Median | 6 | — | $121 | $121 |
| Below median | 5 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 7 | $1 | $26 | $25 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arid-Grandfather 0xa343…6403 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:14 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +289 | $289 | $289 | 10 | 05-07 21:02 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 14:19 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 13:24 |
| Snoopy-Execution 0xe23f…699c | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-08 10:19 |
| Outlying-Van 0x9fab…6e44 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 08:20 |
| Outstanding-Airplane 0x97c1…017a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 06:15 |
| Finished-Organisation 0x01e8…f926 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 08:50 |
| Worldly-Perception 0x76ef…adc1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:34 |
| Masculine-Behold 0xaee7…f4bf | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:15 |
| Mediocre-Hemp 0x4f1d…aa03 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 14:19:44 | Stupendous-Algorithm 0x7db9…37b8 | No | SELL | 87 | 100¢ | $87 | 0x3098a6… |
| 05-08 14:19:40 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xcea95e… |
| 05-08 14:19:38 | Stupendous-Algorithm 0x7db9…37b8 | No | BUY | 87 | 100¢ | $87 | 0x620747… |
| 05-08 13:24:45 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x8cd94b… |
| 05-08 10:19:42 | Snoopy-Execution 0xe23f…699c | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x26ddcc… |
| 05-08 09:15:26 | Masculine-Behold 0xaee7…f4bf | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5738c1… |
| 05-08 08:50:44 | Finished-Organisation 0x01e8…f926 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xe1a6d9… |
| 05-08 08:20:49 | Outlying-Van 0x9fab…6e44 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x9d25c0… |
| 05-08 07:34:47 | Worldly-Perception 0x76ef…adc1 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0d76ec… |
| 05-08 07:19:58 | Mediocre-Hemp 0x4f1d…aa03 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2e2ffc… |
| 05-08 07:14:47 | Arid-Grandfather 0xa343…6403 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x74842b… |
| 05-08 06:15:29 | Outstanding-Airplane 0x97c1…017a | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x897534… |
| 05-08 01:27:33 | Grounded-Twist 0x6cf3…ae71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbfe0d1… |
| 05-07 21:02:11 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x30da51… |
| 05-07 21:02:04 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 66 | 100¢ | $65 | 0xe13fb5… |
| 05-07 20:51:45 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x3fc5cb… |
| 05-07 20:51:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 66 | 100¢ | $65 | 0xf33e5e… |
| 05-07 19:36:16 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x48b13f… |
| 05-07 19:36:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0x7927f9… |
| 05-07 19:26:35 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x171496… |
| 05-07 19:26:23 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e3597… |
| 05-07 19:26:05 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x06e24b… |
| 05-07 19:26:05 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85f684… |
| 05-07 19:26:03 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x541077… |
| 05-07 19:26:03 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xea358c… |
| 05-07 19:26:03 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e9c82… |
| 05-07 19:26:03 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x761c23… |
| 05-07 18:41:26 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08be70… |
| 05-07 15:56:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x42cdf9… |
| 05-07 15:42:12 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe75ea5… |
| 05-07 15:42:09 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa9c2a7… |
| 05-07 15:31:42 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3397e2… |
| 05-07 09:16:11 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x594762… |
| 05-07 08:34:53 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbca9fa… |
| 05-07 08:34:41 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe149dd… |
| 05-07 08:34:41 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe550b2… |
| 05-07 08:34:41 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1aadc3… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02ff3f… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfba0e4… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f2e8d… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2d3282… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x44bc89… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf2655e… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x22bfed… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a8b84… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x089b92… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x427535… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc0cf72… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe65c4f… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d2cd1… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb16efc… |
| 05-07 08:25:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x8264ca… |
| 05-07 08:23:23 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xdf6ec2… |
| 05-07 08:23:22 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xb2a911… |
| 05-07 05:08:16 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7881c5… |
| 05-07 05:08:16 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x245163… |
| 05-07 05:08:16 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe9b21… |
| 05-07 05:08:16 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf84ac8… |